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England - Premier League

Aston Villa
27 Apr 2024 15:00
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5

 
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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John in Premier League Predictions

Aston Villa face Chelsea for the fourth time this season on Saturday evening. The previous three games saw Villa win 1-0 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League, then an FA Cup tie at the same venue finished 0-0 in January. Chelsea then stunned Villa with a 3-1 win at Villa Park in the replay. The home side lie fourth in the table - six points ahead of Tottenham - following their 3-1 win over Bournemouth last weekend. Chelsea occupy ninth in the table on 47 points, but they have one or two games in hand on the teams above them. Chelsea’s unbeaten run came to an abrupt end in midweek when they were thrashed 5-0 by title chasing Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Chelsea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
301 13 1.04
Ladbrokes
2.1 3.7 3.1
NetBet
2 3.8 3.15
1xbet
2.14 3.85 3.29
22bet
2.14 3.85 3.29
Betwinner
2.1 3.8 3.18
LSbet
2.1 3.8 3.18
Stake
2.13 4 3.25
Melbet
2.11 3.8 3.17
Tonybet
2.09 3.95 3.25
Vbet
9 1.35 5.6
Betway
15 1.09 10
Unibet
41 1.02 29
Betfair
2.15 3.9 3.1
Betsson
2.1 4.1 3.2
William Hill
2.05 3.9 3.2
Check all Aston Villa vs Chelsea odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Chelsea?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/04/2024 between Aston Villa and Chelsea in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.84% for a win of Aston Villa against Chelsea with odds of 301 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Chelsea is 28.47% with odds of 13 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Aston Villa with odds of 29 at Unibet.

Aston Villa - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa Chelsea Prediction Probability Odds
Aston Villa wins 44.84% 301 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 65.41% 1.64 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 54.58%
Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa 17.56% 3.3 at Betsson

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Form

Aston Villa and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
68 38 20 8 10 15
6
Chelsea
Chelsea
63 38 18 9 11 14

Aston Villa and Chelsea Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
L D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Apr 2024 - Conference League

Lille
2 :  1
Aston Villa

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

11 Apr 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Lille

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  3
Brentford

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Aston Villa
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Bournemouth

11 Apr 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Lille

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  3
Brentford

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Wolves

14 Mar 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Ajax

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  4
Tottenham
W D D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Apr 2024 - Conference League

Lille
2 :  1
Aston Villa

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Aston Villa

17 Mar 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Aston Villa

7 Mar 2024 - Conference League

Ajax
0 :  0
Aston Villa

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
2 :  3
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
D W D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Chelsea

20 Apr 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  0
Chelsea

15 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
6 :  0
Everton

7 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
2 :  2
Chelsea

4 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Manchester United

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Burnley
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
6 :  0
Everton

4 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Manchester United

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Burnley

17 Mar 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
4 :  2
Leicester

11 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Newcastle

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
3 :  2
Leeds
W D D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Chelsea

20 Apr 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  0
Chelsea

7 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
2 :  2
Chelsea

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Chelsea

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea

12 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  3
Chelsea

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

33 %

Draw

17 %

Chelsea

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Chelsea

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Aston Villa

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Aston Villa

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Aston Villa

16 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  2
Chelsea

26 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Chelsea
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Aston Villa - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Both Aston Villa and Chelsea come into this game with solid, but not unbeaten, Premier League form. The home side have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten Premier League games. Both defeats have been heavy ones, a 4-1 away loss to Man City and a few weeks before that, a 4-0 home hammering by Tottenham. However, the flip side is that Villa completed a league double over Arsenal, winning 2-0 at the Emirates the week before last week’s 3-1 win at home to Bournemouth. Unai Emery’s team are also still in the Europa Conference League, where they face a two-leg semi-final against Olympiakos. With the Premier League likely to receive four places in the new-look Champions League next season, Villa will also be fighting to hold onto that spot in the table over the last four games of the campaign.

Chelsea’s recent improved form came to a spectacular end in midweek when they followed up a 6-0 win over Everton, with a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Arsenal. Head coach Mauricio Pochettino accused his team of giving up in that game and will want a reaction here. The visitors could still claim a place in Europe if they can finish the season strongly. Seventh in the table should be enough for a Europa Conference League spot and Chelsea do have games in hand on their rivals for that spot above them in the table. Their aim in those remaining six games must be to rescue something from what has been a desperately poor season overall for the big-spending Londoners.

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Aston Villa against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

1
E. Martinez
2
M. Cash
4
E. Konsa
14
P. Torres
12
L. Digne
31
L. Bailey
8
Y. Tielemans
6
D. Luiz
27
M. Rogers
7
J. McGinn
11
O. Watkins
15
N. Jackson
10
M. Mudryk
20
C. Palmer
11
N. Madueke
23
C. Gallagher
25
M. Caicedo
3
M. Cucurella
5
B. Badiashile
6
T. Silva
14
T. Chalobah
28
D. Petrovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

Midfielder

E. Buendia

B. Kamara

J. Ramsey

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

R. Sanchez

Defender

W. Fofana

R. James

Midfielder

R. Lavia

E. Fernandez

C. Chukwuemeka

Aston Villa & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Aston Villa will welcome back Brazilian midfielder Douglas Luiz for the game with Chelsea. The midfielder has served his two-match ban for receiving his 10th yellow card of the season in the 3-3 draw with Brentford. Villa’s long-term injury absentees, that remain unavailable and likely not to feature until next season, are Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings and Jacob Ramsey. Alex Moreno and Nicolo Zainolo are ruled out for the game with Chelsea, but should make a return in early May from their knocks. 

Mauricio Pochettino’s Chelsea still have their own lengthy injury list. Wesley Fofana and Romeo Lavia are both ruled out for the season. Cole Palmer missed the game with Arsenal in midweek through illness but is expected to recover to be available for this game. That might be the only piece of good news for Chelsea fans from the physio room as Malo Gusto, Ben Chilwell, Levi Colwill, Christopher Nkunku, Robert Sanchez, Reece James and Lesley Ugochukwu all remain a week or more away from being fit enough for consideration.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (24 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (24 Goals)
Best assists
Jamaica L. Bailey (14 Assists)
Best assists
England C. Palmer (12 Assists)

Aston Villa - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Six of Aston Villa’s last eight home games in the Premier League have averaged 3.5 goals or more.
  2. There have been over 3.5 goals in all of Chelsea’s last seven matches in the Premier League.
  3. 56% of both Aston Villa and Chelsea’s Premier League games this season have seen four goals or more scored in the game.
  4. Two of the last three matches between the two teams at Villa park have seen four goals scored.
  5. This game features two of the top three leading goalscorers in the Premier League this season; Cole Palmer (Chelsea) with 20 goals and Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) with 19.
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Our Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

Both Aston Villa and Chelsea have had similar form coming into this game. Both have not lost many of late, but when they have, it has been by a hefty scoreline against one of the top five teams. Both teams have also been in amongst the goals recently too, which is the standout point from the data given their relatively inconsistent set of results. Add to that the fact Villa home games tend to see a fair few goals, as do Chelsea away matches, and our prediction for Aston Villa v Chelsea is for there to be over 3.5 goals scored in this important game for both teams.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5

 
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Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions

Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) to score at any time.

Odds 2.3
Aston Villa and England striker Ollie Watkins has been in impressive form for Aston Villa this season. He has amassed 19 goals in the Premier League, with 12 assists, leading both categories for his club. Only Erling Haaland (Man City) and Cole Palmer (Chelsea) have scored more often this campaign. Those figures are even more impressive when you factor in that Watkins does not take penalties for his team. He didn't find the net against Bournemouth last weekend in a 3-1 win for Villa, so he is due a goal having netted three in the two games prior to that. Our second prediction is for Ollie Watkins to score at any time.
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Aston Villa vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions

Aston Villa take on Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday evening at Villa Park. 

The game will kick off at 8pm UK Time.

Craig Pawson will be in charge of hostilities when Aston Villa and Chelsea meet at Villa Park on Saturday evening in the Premier League. 

It will be the 17th Premier League game he has officiated this season. In the past 16, he has handed out 68 yellow cards (4.25 per game) and three red cards. He averages a penalty award around once every three games. 

Mr Pawson’s assistant referees are Nick Greenhalgh and Steve Meredith. Sam Barrott will be the fourth official at Villa Park. The VAR official will be Chris Kavanagh, assisted by Constantine Hatzidakis.

The game between Aston Villa and Chelsea on Saturday evening will be shown live in the UK on TNT (formerly BT Sport).

If you don’t have a TNT subscription but would like detailed coverage of the game then you can follow the live data on the game with Sportytrader’s Premier League Livescore page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction
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