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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John | in FA Cup Predictions
Aston Villa and Chelsea could not have more contrasting form heading into Wednesday night's FA Cup Fourth Round Replay at Villa Park. The home side bounced back from a surprise home defeat to Newcastle by thrashing Sheffield United 5-0 on the road at the weekend, with five different players on the scoresheet and all goals scored by the 47th minute mark of the game. It was a much-needed return to form for the Villains after a lackluster run of results in the league, all of which stemmed from their 3-2 loss at Manchester United on Boxing Day. It was also a welcome return to goalscoring form for the team as they had recorded just two goals in their previous four games, with two 0-0 draws in amongst their previous four matches ahead of the thrashing of the Blades at the weekend.
In sharp contrast, Chelsea come into this game on the back of two poor performances and heavy defeats in the Premier League. The Carabao Cup Finalists were held by Villa after their big 6-1 win over Middlesbrough in the semi-final 2nd leg of that competition but have since lost 4-1 to Liverpool (who they will play in the Carabao Cup Final) and then a 4-2 defeat at home to Wolves followed at the weekend. With the cups offering Chelsea their only realistic chance of a successful season, the pressure is on Mauricio Pochettino and his expensively assembled squad to stay in this competition and I think that is going to lead to an open game as I cannot see Chelsea being able to keep Villa out, and similarly, Villa have looked susceptible to conceding goals on the counter attack this season. The winner of this tie will have a home tie in the fifth round to look forward to, against the winner of the Leeds United v Plymouth Argyle replay on Tuesday night.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 4.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.04 | 4.29 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.04 | 4.29 | 3.25 |
|
|
1.99 | 4.2 | 3.19 |
|
|
1.99 | 4.2 | 3.19 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
|
|
1.99 | 4.2 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.01 | 4.1 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.06 | 4 | 3.45 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.8 | 3.25 |
|
|
2 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Chelsea?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2024 between Aston Villa and Chelsea in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.54% for a win of Aston Villa against Chelsea with odds of 2.1 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Chelsea is 17.04% with odds of 4.29 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Aston Villa with odds of 3.45 at Vbet.
Aston Villa - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 61.54% | 2.1 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 50.57% | 2.75 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 29.83% | 5.8 at Unibet |
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Form
Aston Villa and Chelsea Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
22 Dec 2023 - Premier League
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
30 Nov 2023 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
27 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
24 Dec 2023 - Premier League
10 Dec 2023 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
24 Sep 2023 - Premier League
1 Apr 2023 - Premier League
16 Oct 2022 - Premier League
26 Dec 2021 - Premier League
22 Sep 2021 - Carabao Cup
Players list
E. Martinez
DefenderD. Carlos
M. Cash
C. Lenglet
MidfielderT. Iroegbunam
J. Ramsey
Douglas Luiz
M. Diaby
N. Zaniolo
ForwardA. Moreno
O. Watkins
D. Petrovic
DefenderA. Gilchrist
M. Gusto
B. Chilwell
A. Disasi
MidfielderC. Gallagher
C. Chukwuemeka
E. Fernandez
T. Silva
ForwardC. Nkunku
R. Sterling
Substitutes
J. Wright
R. Olsen
DefenderC. Chambers
P. Torres
MidfielderT. Iroegbunam
J. Ramsey
N. Zaniolo
M. Diaby
O. Kellyman
L. Bergstrom
M. Bettinelli
DefenderA. Gilchrist
T. Silva
I. Samuels-Smith
MidfielderC. Chukwuemeka
M. Mudryk
C. Nkunku
R. Sterling
Missing players
T. Mings
MidfielderE. Buendia
ForwardM. Rogers
W. Fofana
MidfielderR. Lavia
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Chelsea
O. Watkins
(24 Goals)
C. Palmer
(24 Goals)
L. Bailey
(14 Assists)
C. Palmer
(12 Assists)
Aston Villa - Chelsea Key Points
- Aston Villa have conceded just three goals in their last five games, all of those came in their recent 3-1 home defeat to Newcastle United.
- After successive 1-0 wins over Man City and Arsenal in December, Villa's last three home games have seen them draw with Sheffield United, narrowly beat Burnley 3-2 and then lose 3-1 to Newcastle United, who had previously won just one other away game all season.
- Villa have not lost to Chelsea in any of the last three games (winning two, drawing one), but all three of those games have come at Stamford Bridge. Their last win against Chelsea at home was back in May 2021.
- Chelsea have won five of the last six games that they have played against Aston Villa at Villa Park.
- The Blues come into this game on the back of two successive four-goal defeats in the Premier League, losing 4-1 to Liverpool at Anfield and then 4-2 at home to Wolves at the weekend.
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Our Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction
Prediction :
Both Teams to Score And Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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