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Europe - Champions League

Aston Villa
29/01/2025 15:00
Celtic

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Aston Villa vs Celtic Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions

Aston Villa are home to Celtic in their final match in this league phase. Villa are ninth in the Champions League table, a point and nine places above their visitors. Both sides are guaranteed a place in the play-offs but can the Villans automatically qualify for the last 16? Read our match prediction.

The home side are only behind the top eight on goal difference. A win for Villa could see them automatically qualify but with goal difference tight, they could yet win and be overtaken by another team, though the sides that could go above them have difficult fixtures.

Great comeback made by Celtic.

Celtic have recovered well since their disastrous 7-1 away loss at Borussia Dortmund in their second game. They are assured a place in the unseeded play-off positions. A win at Villa Park will see them finish ahead of their opponents but a top eight place is unlikely but would take them into the seeded play-off places.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Celtic Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.48 4.75 6
Betfred
1.44 5 6.5
Ladbrokes
1.73 3 4.8
1xbet
1.52 4.97 6.25
22bet
1.52 4.97 6.25
Betobet
1.52 4.5 5.75
Betwinner
1.47 4.8 6.05
LSbet
1.47 4.8 6.05
Stake
1.49 4.9 6
Melbet
1.47 4.8 6.05
Tonybet
1.5 5 6.2
William Hill
1.47 4.6 6
Vbet
1.5 4.8 6.3
Betway
1.48 4.75 5.75
Unibet
1.43 4.75 6.75
Betfair
1.47 4.75 6.5
Betsson
1.48 4.85 6.4
Check all Aston Villa vs Celtic odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Celtic?

Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Celtic match is: under 2.5 goals scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2025 between Aston Villa and Celtic in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.3% for a win of Aston Villa against Celtic with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Celtic is 34% with odds of 5 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Celtic vs Aston Villa with odds of 6.75 at Unibet.

Aston Villa - Celtic Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa Celtic Prediction Probability Odds
Aston Villa wins 44.3% 1.73 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 56.97%
Both Team To Score 54.76% 1.65 at Betway
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa 20.78% 4.6 at Unibet

Aston Villa vs Celtic Form

Aston Villa and Celtic's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
13 7 4 1 2 5
18
Celtic
Celtic
12 7 3 3 1 1

Aston Villa and Celtic Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
W W W D L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
West Ham

21 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
1 :  0
Aston Villa

18 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Aston Villa

15 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Aston Villa

10 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
2 :  1
West Ham

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Leicester
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
West Ham

10 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
2 :  1
West Ham

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Leicester

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Brighton

21 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester City

7 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Southampton
W L L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
1 :  0
Aston Villa

18 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Aston Villa

15 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Aston Villa

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Aston Villa

14 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  1
Aston Villa

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Leipzig
2 :  3
Aston Villa
Celtic
Celtic Last matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
1 :  0
BSC Young Boys

18 Jan 2025 - Scottish Cup

Celtic
2 :  1
Kilmarnock

14 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
3 :  3
Celtic

11 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Ross County
1 :  4
Celtic

8 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
2 :  0
Dundee United

5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  0
St Mirren
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
1 :  0
BSC Young Boys

18 Jan 2025 - Scottish Cup

Celtic
2 :  1
Kilmarnock

8 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
2 :  0
Dundee United

5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  0
St Mirren

29 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
4 :  0
St Johnstone

26 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
4 :  0
Motherwell
W D D L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
3 :  3
Celtic

11 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Ross County
1 :  4
Celtic

2 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
3 :  0
Celtic

22 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Celtic

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0 :  0
Celtic

4 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  1
Celtic
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Aston Villa - Celtic: Form Analysis

Aston Villa would have expected to be in the top eight after beginning this league phase with three successive wins. Since then, they have lost twice and only earned four points from as many games.

Their win at Leipzig was a vital one but they then lost away at Monaco. Their most recent league game saw them draw 1-1 at home with West Ham United in the Premier League. Only one of their last seven games has been lost but they have gone three without a win with two draws. 

Each of their three home Champions League games this season have had under 2.5 goals scored in them, though seven points have been earned against strong opponents including Bayern Munich and Juventus.

Celtic must have feared the worst after their 7-1 hammering at Borussia Dortmund. They continually win the Scottish title but struggle in Europe. However, they've fought back well since that defeat and have earned nine points from four Champions League games.

They are unbeaten in their last six matches and didn't play at the weekend due to poor weather in Scotland. Celtic are yet to win away from home in this league phase and four of their last fie games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.

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Aston Villa vs Celtic last Lineups

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
E. Martinez
2
M. Cash
4
E. Konsa
5
T. Mings
12
L. Digne
8
Y. Tielemans
44
B. Kamara
31
L. Bailey
27
M. Rogers
41
J. Ramsey
11
O. Watkins
38
D. Maeda
9
K. Furuhashi
10
N. Kuhn
41
R. Hatate
42
C. McGregor
27
A. Engels
3
G. Taylor
6
A. Trusty
20
C. Carter-Vickers
2
A. Johnston
1
K. Schmeichel

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Celtic

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

P. Torres

Midfielder

R. Barkley

A. Onana

Celtic
Celtic

Aston Villa & Celtic Squad Analysis

Aston Villa have Tyrone Mings doubtful for this Champions League home game against Celtic. He had to come off in the first half of their weekend fixture against West Ham United with a knee injury, though he says it's not serious.

John McGinn was back in the squad at the weekend after missing four games due to a hamstring problem and  he is again likely to feature. Villa remain without Ross Barkley and Amadou Onana so could do with some back-up in midfield. 

There are no problems up front and they will hope for more goals from England international Ollie Watkins.

Maeda is suspended for this match.

Celtic will definitely be without Daizen Maeda for this game. He was sent off against Young Boys last week so is suspended. Unlikely to play is Kyogo Furuhashi who is expected to sign for Rennes this month. Also out are Odin Thiago Holm and James Forrest.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Celtic
Top Goalscorer
Colombia J. Duran (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany N. Kuhn (11 Goals) Japan K. Furuhashi (11 Goals)
Best assists
England O. Watkins (7 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium A. Engels (3 Assists)

Aston Villa and Celtic Stats in Champions League

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Celtic
Celtic
57%
Victories
43%
14%
Draw
43%
29%
Defeats
14%
1.86
Total goals per match
3
1.29
Goals scored per match
1.57
0.57
Goals conceded per match
1.43
29%
Over 2.5
43%
71%
Under 2.5
57%
14%
BTTS
57%
57%
No goals conceded
43%

Aston Villa - Celtic Key Points

  1. All of Villa's home Champions League games this season have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last five Celtic games in the Champions League.
  3. Three of the last four Aston Villa games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  4. Celtic have only scored one goal in their last six Champions League away matches.
  5. The last two Celtic away games in the Champions League have ended goalless.
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Our Aston Villa vs Celtic Prediction

Although both sides will definitely be in the play-offs, there's a lot more that could be achieved. A Villa win could take them into the top eight and even Celtic have a faint chance of automatically qualifying. A tight match is therefore expected on Wednesday.

Villa are yet to concede a home goal in this season's Champions League, while Celtic struggle to score on the road with just one so far this season Our Aston Villa v Celtic main prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Aston Villa vs Celtic - Other Interesting Predictions

Aston Villa to win

Odds 1.55
Aston Villa have earned seven points from their three home games in this season's Champions League. They are yet to concede a goal and have only lost one of their 16 games. Celtic have only won one of their last five away matches and haven't won away in this competition in 11 games.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Celtic

Aston Villa vs Celtic Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Aston Villa wins 1.57 1.48 -5.7%
Draw 4 4.75 +18.8%
Celtic wins 5.5 6 +9.1%
Latest odds movements:

At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Aston Villa is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 67.6% (3.9%)

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Aston Villa vs Celtic match : Frequently asked questions

This Champions League game between Aston Villa and Celtic is being played on Wednesday January 29. It has a scheduled kick-off of 20:00 UK time.
This is a home game in the Champions League for Aston Villa. That means it will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham. They have seven points from their three home Champions League games this season and are yet to concede a goal.
This Champions League game will be shown live on TNT Sports and a subscription is required. To be able to keep up with all that's happening, go to our Champions League livescore to access live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs Celtic Prediction
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