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Aston Villa vs Cardiff Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Kennedy Kechula in FA Cup Predictions
Three FA Cup fifth round matches will involve a Premier League team and another from the lower tiers. One of them will feature Aston Villa taking on Championship side Cardiff City. Villa will be playing host in this particular fixture, which comes about seven years since the two sides last faced off, back then in the Championship. In this preview, apart from the teams’ stats, we will have two predictions of the possible outcomes.
For both competing teams, this match presents a welcome break from their respective league engagements. Aston Villa need the distraction after a heavy loss earlier in the week punctured their hopes for Europe next season. They have a good home run and will be confident of bouncing back here.
Cardiff City are coming off a win in the Championship which boosted their season’s targets. However, being just six points above the bottom three, they remain dangerously exposed in the relegation battle. The FA Cup comes with exciting opportunities for their season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Cardiff Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.2 | 6 | 15 |
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1.18 | 7 | 15 |
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1.4 | 3.5 | 9 |
|
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1.2 | 7.7 | 15.5 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.7 | 15.5 |
|
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1.21 | 6.25 | 13 |
|
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1.17 | 7.3 | 15 |
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1.17 | 7.3 | 15 |
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1.2 | 6.8 | 13 |
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1.17 | 7.4 | 15 |
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1.21 | 7 | 13 |
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1.18 | 7 | 13 |
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1.22 | 6.7 | 15 |
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1.2 | 6 | 12 |
|
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1.17 | 7.5 | 16 |
|
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1.22 | 6.5 | 17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Cardiff?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Cardiff match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2025 between Aston Villa and Cardiff in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.91% for a win of Aston Villa against Cardiff with odds of 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Cardiff is 34.45% with odds of 7.7 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Cardiff vs Aston Villa with odds of 17 at Betsson.
Aston Villa vs Cardiff Form
Aston Villa and Cardiff Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
9 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
Aston Villa vs Cardiff Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Apr 2018 - Championship
12 Aug 2017 - Championship
Aston Villa - Cardiff: Form Analysis
Aston Villa will come into this game eyeing a fast recovery after their 4-1 away loss at Crystal Palace. While this match presents Cardiff City’s biggest challenge in the FA Cup this season, it hasn’t been any easier for Aston Villa.
The hosts have encountered Premier League opposition in both earlier rounds. Unai Emery’s side saw off West Ham United 2-1 in the third round. By the same score line, they dumped out Tottenham Hotspur in the fourth round.
This will be the first time Villa meet a side not from the Premier League in five FA Cup matches. The last time they faced a second-tier side, they beat Middlesbrough 1-0 in the third round last season.
Cardiff City gets to meet a Premier League team for the first time this season.
These teams last faced off in 2018, in a Championship match hosted by Aston Villa. Cardiff suffered a 1-0 defeat then.
Away fans will have reason to be concerned about this game, as the team playing as away team hasn’t won this fixture in the last 15 meetings. The last away team to win it wasn’t Cardiff either.
They will, however, take heart from their 1-0 win against Hull City in the last outing. That win snapped a five-match winless run. In that streak, they progressed in the FA Cup on post match penalties after a 3-3 draw with Stoke City.
Cardiff will be disappointed after having had to rise from behind despite leading 2-0 after 19 minutes. They did a better job defensively in the third round as they beat Sheffield United 1-0.
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Aston Villa vs Cardiff last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
P. Torres
MidfielderR. Barkley
A. Onana
B. Kamara
Aston Villa & Cardiff Squad Analysis
Morgan Rogers has settled well at Aston Villa and is proving to be a key member of the team. While for most of the season he is playing second fiddle to Ollie Watkins, the Englishman has been able to chip in with crucial goal contributions.
With 12 goals scored across all competitions and four assists, Rogers is already on his best season and can only look to better it here.
He has attempted 69 shots this season across all competitions. With his versatility, operating in five different attacking positions, Rogers will definitely be a thorn to Cardiff City.
Callum Chambers will be back at Villa Park to face his former employers.
Cardiff City will want to bring their best game here after only facing lower tier sides in the previous rounds. We expect to see their best men line up for this game and one such player will be Callum Robinson.
With 12 goals so far, Robinson is the team’s leading scorer.
A former Aston Villa man, Robinson will have a point to prove here as he is expected to feature in the FA Cup for the first time.
He comes into this game with an expected goals return of 6.85. From 50 shots attempted, 26 were on target, translating to 52% and thus will be the Cardiff City dangerman.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Cardiff
O. Watkins
(13 Goals)
C. Robinson
(12 Goals)
O. Watkins
(10 Assists)
R. Colwill
(4 Assists)
Aston Villa and Cardiff Stats in FA Cup
Aston Villa - Cardiff Key Points
- In Aston Villa’s last five matches, both teams scored.
- Cardiff City have one clean sheet in their last eight matches.
- In eight of Cardiff City’s last 10 away matches both teams scored.
- In their last 15 matches, Villa managed two clean sheets and scored in 14.
- Villa have one clean sheet in 10 FA Cup home matches, both teams scoring in seven.
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Our Aston Villa vs Cardiff Prediction
On paper Aston Villa will go into this game as favorites. However, we don’t anticipate that they will keep a clean sheet. Unai Emery’s attacking system ensures his teams are really prolific in attack but that comes with a sacrifice in the defence.
It has happened a lot this season and Cardiff City will be aware. As Cardiff stand at risk of conceding in this match, so do the hosts. As such, our prediction for Aston Villa v Cardiff City is for both teams to score.
Aston Villa vs Cardiff - Other Interesting Predictions
Aston Villa to win.
After seeing off topflight sides in the last two rounds, Aston Villa are expected to secure a quarter-final slot. History favors Villa coming into this game. This fixture hasn’t gone in favor of the visiting team in the course of the last 15 meetings.
Furthermore, Villa come into this game with a good home run, unbeaten in their last 14 games at Villa Park. Our second prediction is, therefore, for Aston Villa to win.
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Aston Villa vs Cardiff match : Frequently asked questions
The Aston Villa v Cardiff City match will be played on Friday 28th February.
The Aston Villa v Cardiff City match will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham.
Yes. VAR was not used in the initial rounds but from this round it will be implemented and it will also involve referees announcing their final decisions.
Yes. The semi-automated offside technology will be used for the first time in English football in this match.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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