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England - Premier League

Aston Villa

30 Dec 2023 10:00

Burnley

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

Prediction published on 30/12/2023, 01:11 by Sridhar in Premier League Predictions

Aston Villa will be keen to return to winning ways at home when they host a struggling Burnley side in their last match of the calendar year. This matchday 20 will be played at the Villa Park on Saturday with the hosts 3rd with 39 points and the visitors 19th with 11 points. Villa are one point behind Arsenal who have a game in hand and could move top. The hosts will be looking to get their season on track, as Man City are right behind with a game in hand and only two points adrift. They won 3-1 at Turf Moor earlier in the season and could do a league double over Burnley for the first time since the 1925/26 campaign. Unai Emery has happy memories of facing the Clarets having won all four of his Premier League matches against them.

Burnley are two points from the bottom of the table, while a five-point gap to safety shows the amount of work they have to do. The visitors will look back at their history of finishing a calendar year, having won five of the last eight games in a year. They drew one and lost two of those matches, so the visitors will have something to look back to. Additionally, they are unbeaten on their last four visits to Villa Park winning once and drawing three. Those stalemates came on the bounce and realistically, they wouldn’t mind going back with a point from this trip.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Burnley Match

1	X	2
1.36	5.25	7
1.39	4.8	7
1.41	5.33	7.65
1.41	5.33	7.65
1.35	5.25	8.2
1.35	5.25	8.2
1.4	5.4	7.6
1.38	5.2	7.4
1.38	5.6	7.4
1.4	5	7
1.38	5	7.5
1.39	5.35	8.1
1.36	4.8	8.5
1.4	5.3	8

Check all Aston Villa vs Burnley odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Burnley?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/12/2023 between Aston Villa and Burnley in Premier League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.86% for a win of Aston Villa against Burnley with odds of 1.41 at 1xbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Burnley is 19.46% with odds of 5.6 at Tonybet.
Our prediction model gives a 12.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Aston Villa with odds of 8.5 at William Hill.

Aston Villa - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa Burnley Prediction	Probability	Odds
Aston Villa wins	67.86%	1.41 at 1xbet
Under 2.5	50.85%	2.75 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score	60%
Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa	29.72%	6.5 at Unibet

Aston Villa vs Burnley Form

Aston Villa and Burnley's standings in the Premier League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
4 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	15
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	-37

Aston Villa and Burnley Last Matches

Aston Villa Last matches

All Home Away

W W D W D L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

3 : 2

Aston Villa

22 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 1

Sheffield United

17 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brentford

1 : 2

Aston Villa

14 Dec 2023 - Conference League

HSK Zrinjski Mostar

1 : 1

Aston Villa

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 0

Arsenal

6 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 0

Manchester City

W W W W W D

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

22 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 1

Sheffield United

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 0

Arsenal

6 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 0

Manchester City

30 Nov 2023 - Conference League

Aston Villa

2 : 1

Legia Warszawa

12 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

3 : 1

Fulham

9 Nov 2023 - Conference League

Aston Villa

2 : 1

AZ Alkmaar

L W D D W L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

3 : 2

Aston Villa

17 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brentford

1 : 2

Aston Villa

14 Dec 2023 - Conference League

HSK Zrinjski Mostar

1 : 1

Aston Villa

3 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 2

Aston Villa

26 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham

1 : 2

Aston Villa

5 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

2 : 0

Aston Villa

Burnley Last matches

All Home Away

L D L L W L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

17% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

0 : 2

Liverpool

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Fulham

0 : 2

Burnley

16 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

0 : 2

Everton

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 1

Burnley

5 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Wolves

1 : 0

Burnley

2 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

5 : 0

Sheffield United

L L W L L L

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

0 : 2

Liverpool

16 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

0 : 2

Everton

2 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

5 : 0

Sheffield United

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

1 : 2

West Ham

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

0 : 2

Crystal Palace

7 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

1 : 4

Chelsea

L L D L D W

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Fulham

0 : 2

Burnley

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 1

Burnley

5 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Wolves

1 : 0

Burnley

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 1

Burnley

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Everton

3 : 0

Burnley

28 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 1

Burnley

Aston Villa vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

50 %

Draw

33 %

Burnley

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

83%

BTTS

1.83

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.17

Goals scored (Team 2)

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

27 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

1 : 3

Aston Villa

19 May 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 1

Burnley

7 May 2022 - Premier League

Burnley

1 : 3

Aston Villa

27 Jan 2021 - Premier League

Burnley

3 : 2

Aston Villa

17 Dec 2020 - Premier League

Aston Villa

0 : 0

Burnley

1 Jan 2020 - Premier League

Burnley

1 : 2

Aston Villa

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Aston Villa - Burnley: Form Analysis

Aston Villa were beaten 3-2 by Manchester United in their Boxing Day fixture, despite leading 2-0 at half time. That ended a run of ten competitive matches, where they remained unbeaten. In that sequence, Villa won seven and drew three matches underlining their potential. In the league, the hosts have won three and drew two of their last six league games before that defeat to Manchester United. The story is entirely different at home where Villa have won eight and drew just one of their nine league matches this season to be played at Villa Park. Burnley are coming off a 2-0 loss to Liverpool in their Boxing Day fixture which came on the heels of a 2-0 win of theirs over Fulham. In fact, seven points over five matches preceding that defeat to Liverpool raised hopes of turning things around in a difficult season. The Clarets did win on their last away match, when they beat Fulham 2-0 but have otherwise struggled. They were beaten on four and drawn one of the five away league games preceding that won at Fulham.

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Aston Villa against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

E. Martinez

D. Carlos

E. Konsa

C. Lenglet

A. Moreno

L. Bailey

J. McGinn

D. Luiz

J. Ramsey

M. Diaby

O. Watkins

Z. Amdouni

L. Foster

J. Gudmundsson

J. Brownhill

S. Berge

W. Odobert

C. Taylor

J. Beyer

D. O'Shea

Vitinho

J. Trafford

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Burnley

Missing players

Aston Villa

Defender

T. Mings

M. Cash

Midfielder

E. Buendia

B. Kamara

Y. Tielemans

Forward

M. Rogers

Burnley

Forward

L. Koleosho

Aston Villa & Burnley Squad Analysis

Aston Villa will be without Boubacar Kamara who remains suspended for this match. There are injury concerns around Emiliano Buendia and Tyrone Mings. The duo joins the likes of Robin Olsen, Youri Tielemans, and Bertrand Traore who are also unavailable. Question marks remain over the availability of Lucas Digne as well. Burnley do not have many issues as far as injuries are concerned with only two players ruled out of this trip. The Clarets are going to be without Luca Koleosho and Jack Cork for this match.

Most goals and assists

Aston Villa

Burnley

Top Goalscorer

O. Watkins (24 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

D. O'Shea (8 Goals)

Best assists

L. Bailey (14 Assists)

Best assists

D. O'Shea (8 Assists)

Aston Villa - Burnley Key Points

In five of the last seven league matches between Aston Villa and Burnley, there have been over 2.5 goals scored
Five of Villa’s last eight league matches have also returned over 2.5 goals
Six of Aston Villa’s last nine home league matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Ten of Aston Villa’s last 14 home matches in all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals
Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals scored in four of their last seven away league games

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Our Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction

Aston Villa have seen their title hunt fizz out in the recent matches, although with only three points separating them from the leaders ahead of this round, there’s still hope. Unai Emery’s side will be hopeful of recapturing their home form that was near-impeccable until a drawn game against Sheffield United last time out at this venue. That sounds alarm bells for the visiting Burnley side that is still deep in the relegation zone. With a leaky defensive unit that is struggling to keep goals at a minimum, Burnley may feel the heat on this trip. Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Burnley is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Aston Villa vs Burnley match : Frequently asked questions

Aston Villa vs Burnley English Premier League match is scheduled for a 3:00pm GMT time kick-off on Saturday, December 30, 2023.

Aston Villa vs Burnley English Premier League match is set to be played at the Villa Park in Birmingham.

Aston Villa vs Burnley English Premier League match isn’t televised live in the UK. Outside of the UK, there are specific TV listings and can be streamed using a VPN.

You can also keep up to the minute with all the action on the SportyTrader livescore page.

Stuart Attwell has been named as the match referee for the Aston Villa vs Burnley Premier League match. He will be assisted by the duo of James Mainwaring and Mark Scholes. The fourth official will be Tony Harrington while the Video Assistant Referee is Peter Bankes. He will be assisted on the VAR by Eddie Smart.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.