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Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The penultimate match of 2024 in the Premier League will come to us from Villa Park where Aston Villa will be playing host to Brighton & Hove Albion on Monday night. The Villans are ninth in the league standings with 28 points while the Seagulls are two points behind them in 10th place. Check out our match prediction below!
Aston Villa lost their last Premier League match against this opponent, which brought an end to their five-match win streak in this fixture. Brighton, meanwhile, have won only one of their last 14 league games at Villa Park (W1 D3 L10), including a 6-1 drubbing at this venue last season.
The hosts have been solid at home this season and are the bookmakers' favourite in this contest. However, the visitors are never easy to write off and are in need of a change in fortune following a run of underwhelming results. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.7 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.73 | 4.29 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.73 | 4.29 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.7 | 4 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.64 | 4.22 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.64 | 4.22 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.72 | 3.72 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.95 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.78 | 4 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.8 | 4.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Brighton match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/12/2024 between Aston Villa and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.28% for a win of Aston Villa against Brighton with odds of 1.95 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Brighton is 28.62% with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Aston Villa with odds of 4.29 at 1xbet.
Aston Villa - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 45.28% | 1.95 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.91% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 15.4% | 3.1 at Ladbrokes |
Aston Villa vs Brighton Form
Aston Villa and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
42 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
|
9
|
40 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 4 |
Aston Villa and Brighton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2023 - Premier League
28 May 2023 - Premier League
13 Nov 2022 - Premier League
26 Feb 2022 - Premier League
20 Nov 2021 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Brighton: Form Analysis
After the euphoria of beating Manchester City before Christmas, Aston Villa were brought crashing back to earth on Boxing Day when they were hammered 3-0 by Newcastle United.
The Villans have had a fairly poor run-in to the festive period, managing just three wins since the end of October, drawing two and losing the remaining five games during that period.
However, as mentioned, they have been solid at home this term, currently unbeaten in their last eight league games, while they’ve only suffered one league defeat since the end of March.
Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in five of their last eight home league matches!
Meanwhile, Brighton & Hove Albion have been steadily slipping in the league standings lately and played out a somewhat disappointing goalless draw at home to Brentford on Friday.
That result marked the Seagulls’ sixth consecutive league match without a victory, and they have now earned only two wins in their last 10 top-flight games since the end of October.
On the road, the visitors are winless in three (W0 D2 L1) but they have scored in all nine of their away matches this season and were last shut out in a 3-0 loss to Bournemouth back in April.
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Aston Villa against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Disasi
F. Kadioglu
MidfielderJ. Milner
Aston Villa & Brighton Squad Analysis
Aston Villa will have to make do without the services of Jhon Duran, who received a controversial red card for a foul on Newcastle United defender Fabian Schar on Boxing Day.
Matty Cash is another player who will not be part of Unai Emery’s squad on Monday night after he crossed the yellow card threshold against the Toons. Diego Carlos and Ollie Watkins are the most likely to come in for the suspended duo.
Jacob Ramsey and Kortney Hause are the only two players ruled out through injury for the Villans!
Fabian Hurzeler said that he will not be taking “any more chances” with injured forward Danny Welbeck, who has been carrying a knock and playing on painkillers of late.
The former Manchester United and Arsenal forward was left out against Brentford on Friday and is not expected to travel with the squad to Birmingham on Monday night.
Joining Welbeck on the sidelines this week are James Milner (knee), Adam Webster (hamstring), Jack Hinshelwood (knee) and Ferdi Kadioglu (muscle).
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Brighton
O. Watkins
(13 Goals)
K. Mitoma
(7 Goals)
O. Watkins
(9 Assists)
J. Pedro
(6 Assists)
Aston Villa - Brighton Key Points
- Four of Aston Villa’s last six league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in six of Aston Villa’s last eight home league games.
- Nine of Brighton & Hove Albion’s last 10 league matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have scored in every away league game this season.
- Both teams have scored in three of the last four league matches between these sides.
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Our Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction
While Brighton & Hove Albion have struggled for consistency with results on the road this season, what they have been able to do in every match is find the back of the net.
The Seagulls will need to keep up that record here too, given that Aston Villa have been one of the best home teams in the league this season, losing only once in their nine matches at Villa Park to date. Our Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction is both teams to score.
Aston Villa vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Seven of both these sides’ last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Brighton
| Aston Villa vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.7 | -2.6% |
| Brighton wins | 3.6 | 4 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 52.6% (0.0%)
Use £30 free bets for the Aston Villa vs. Brighton game!
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Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Aston Villa vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion will be played on December 30 at 19:45 GMT.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion will take place at Villa Park in Birmingham.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Craig Pawson will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Daniel Robathan, Darren Cann and Gavin Ward as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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