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Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Kennedy Kechula in Premier League Predictions
Fired up by wins in their last outings, Aston Villa and Bournemouth will be looking to build on when they meet in a Saturday Premier League game. Enjoying a good run so far, the Lions are easily the favorites as per bookies’ predictions. The Cherries, boosted by their win against Arsenal, will not give their hosts an easy pass as they target rising into the top half.
Aston Villa haven't shown any difficulty balancing Champions League football and domestic engagements. They are doing well on both fronts and could even close the week in third spot with a win and other favorable results.
Bournemouth’s win against Arsenal last week ranked among the top shocks and they could make it two here. This is actually a game they’ve done well in, looking at the two sides’ recent meetings. The ambition to break into the top half of the league standings will definitely be their fuel in Birmingham.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Bournemouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.9 | 4.33 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.62 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.89 | 3.89 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.89 | 3.89 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.9 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.78 | 3.78 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.78 | 3.78 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.95 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.78 | 3.78 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.82 | 4 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.9 | 4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.95 | 4.35 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Bournemouth match is: Aston Villa to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2024 between Aston Villa and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.85% for a win of Aston Villa against Bournemouth with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Bournemouth is 23.84% with odds of 4 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Aston Villa with odds of 4.4 at Vbet.
Aston Villa - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 53.85% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 51.59% | 2.36 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.08% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 26.69% | 5.1 at Unibet |
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Form
Aston Villa and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
|
12
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Aston Villa and Bournemouth Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - Premier League
6 Aug 2022 - Premier League
1 Feb 2020 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Unai Emery’s second full season at Aston Villa has started brilliantly following a top four finish in his first. They are doing well both home and in continental action and will hope to extend that with three points against Bournemouth.
The hosts are coming from a third straight win in the Champions League, having beaten Bologna 2-0. That win handed them a 10th unbeaten outing since losing at home to Arsenal in August.
They’ve won eight matches in that run and will be outright favorites coming here. Among those was a 3-1 victory against Fulham in their most recent league outing.
The one area the hosts will want to work on is their defence. Villa have managed just two clean sheets in 15 home league matches.
Aston Villa, on a 10-match unbeaten run, could rise into the top three with a win here.
Andoni Iraola will be looking to shock a fellow Spaniard for the second match in a row after stopping Mikel Arteta and Arsenal last week. A deserved 2-0 home win was helped on by Arsenal’s William Saliba’s sending off in the first half.
Bournemouth will be targeting a return to winning ways in this fixture seen between 2016 and 2022. During that time, they won four in four but come here winless in the last three. The two defeats in that period were inflicted at their Saturday venue.
Bournemouth will be more rested by the time they take on Villa. That should be part of their motivation to address a poor away streak that reads one win in seven matches.
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Aston Villa against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Aston Villa & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Aston Villa’s win against Fulham in the last game was soured by a late red card to Jaden Philogene. Suspended after committing two bookable offences, the 22-year-old will be out of this as he observes his one-match ban.
Amadou Onana was withdrawn at half time in the Bologna win in midweek and could be Villa’s only injury concern. A detailed injury report hasn’t been issued as regards the Belgian.
Ollie Watkins started from the bench in the midweek win but it is likely he will be restored to the starting team. Jhon Duran, scorer in that win, will be the likely one to give way.
These two sides aren’t ravaged by injuries and both could have full squads available.
The injury report is even kinder for the visitors and a full week of rest must have done them a lot of good.
Tyler Adams was initially the only player on their injury list but was deemed fit enough for the Arsenal game. He should be pushing for a starting berth here but will compete with Lewis Cook and Alex Scott.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
J. Duran
(8 Goals)
A. Semenyo
(4 Goals)
, 
Evanilson
(4 Goals)
Y. Tielemans
(4 Assists)
L. Cook
(3 Assists)
Aston Villa - Bournemouth Key Points
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in three matches against Bournemouth.
- Aston Villa have four wins in their last six matches in the league.
- Aston Villa haven't lost any of their last 10 matches, winning eight.
- In their last seven away matches, Bournemouth won just once.
- Bournemouth lost three times in their last five league matches.
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Our Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction
Bournemouth’s dominance in this fixture has in recent seasons been waning. After four straight wins over Aston villa between 2016 and 2022, they have failed to win any of the last three. In that period they lost twice and it may not get better with Villa playing at home and in their current shape.
While the visitors have had a longer time to recover from their last game, Villa parades confidence from a 10-match unbeaten run. This looks inclined towards the home team and our prediction for Aston Villa v Bournemouth is for Aston Villa to win.
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
In eight league matches this season, Bournemouth failed to score three times only. They’ll be particularly motivated to extend their scoring run after notching two goals against Arsenal. This target will be enhanced by the fact Aston Villa aren’t the best defensively.
The hosts have actually managed just one clean sheet in the league this season but failed to score just twice in the eight matches. As a second prediction, both teams scoring looks good.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Bournemouth
| Aston Villa vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.67 | 1.8 | +7.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.9 | -2.5% |
| Bournemouth wins | 4.8 | 4.33 | -9.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 55.6% (-4.3%)
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Aston Villa vs Bournemouth match : Frequently asked questions
The Aston Villa v Bournemouth match is scheduled for Saturday 26th October.
The Aston Villa v Bournemouth match will be played at Villa Park, in Birmingham.
As per the weatherman, Saturday afternoon will be cloudy with an average temperature of 13 °C and wind traveling at 8km/h with precipitation at 5%.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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