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Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
After over 40 years, the floodlights at Villa Park will be beaming down in midweek on a Champions League fixture, with Aston Villa set to play host to German giants Bayern Munich. The Villans enter round two of the competition in fourth place, while the Bavarians are already atop the League Phase standings. Check out our match prediction below.
This marks the second-ever meeting between Villa and Bayern, with the last encounter coming way back in 1982 when the Lions clinched the European Cup title - which was also the last time they had featured in Europe’s top club competition.
Since then, though, the Bundesliga behemoths have featured 28 times in the Champions League, reached the final on six occasions and went on to win the continental title three times, with the most recent being in 2019-20 when they beat PSG. Emotions will be running high at Villa Park this week, but can the hosts overcome the odds to pull off a victory? Here are the key stats to consider.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 4.2 | 1.67 |
|
|
3.8 | 2.8 | 2 |
|
|
4.77 | 4.19 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.77 | 4.19 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.7 | 4.4 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.4 | 4.4 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.4 | 4.4 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.2 | 4.2 | 1.76 |
|
|
4.2 | 4.16 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.3 | 4.3 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.75 | 4.33 | 1.71 |
|
|
4.5 | 4 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.25 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.2 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.6 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.6 | 4.2 | 1.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich match is: Over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2024 between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.35% for a win of Aston Villa against Bayern Munich with odds of 4.77 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich is 20.12% with odds of 4.4 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Aston Villa with odds of 2 at Ladbrokes.
Aston Villa - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 54.53% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.62% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 73.81% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 33.28% | 2.7 at Ladbrokes |
Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich Form
Aston Villa and Bayern Munich's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
|
17
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Aston Villa and Bayern Munich Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2024 - Premier League
2 May 2024 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Aston Villa - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Aston Villa have made a very promising start to the 2024-25 season, currently in fifth place in the Premier League with a record of four wins, one draw and one loss in their first six matches.
The Villans also kicked off their Champions League campaign very impressively, beating Swiss champions Young Boys 3-0 a fortnight ago. They are currently unbeaten in six matches in all competitions, including five wins and a draw.
The hosts undoubtedly do their best work at Villa Park, where they have conceded just two losses in their last 10 games. Notably, though, the Lions have scored two or more goals in all but one of their last 12 matches at this venue.
A win this week will see Aston Villa become only the second English team (after Leicester City) to win their first two matches in the Champions League!
Meanwhile, after a forgettable 2023-24 season, which ended trophyless, Bayern Munich come into this match looking very dangerous. After seven matches in all competitions, they are still unbeaten, notching up six wins and a draw.
Die Roten took top spot in the table with an incredible first-round result, beating Dinamo Zagreb 9-2 at home. That result smashed several club and competition records, including becoming the first team in Champions League history to score nine goals in one match.
The only negative to point out about the Bavarians is that they have failed to win any of their last three away games in the Champions League, drawing one and losing two.
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Aston Villa against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Aston Villa & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Unai Emery’s side have fared very well this season, despite being without the services of several first-team players, including John McGinn, who is ruled out until the end of the month with a hamstring injury.
Joining the skipper on the sidelines this week are Matty Cash (hamstring), Robin Olsen (head), Jaden Philogene (knock), and long-term absentees Boubacar Kamara (knee) and Tyrone Mings (knee).
For Bayern Munich, Harry Kane is flagged as a doubt after picking up a knock against Bayer Leverkusen over the weekend!
Indeed, the England captain was withdrawn in the latter stages of the match against the Bundesliga champions with an injured left ankle and will need to pass a late fitness test to feature against the Villans.
Aside from Kane, Sacha Boey (knee), Hiroki Ito (foot), Josip Stanisic (knee), Tarek Buchmann (knock) and Arijon Ibrahimovic (thigh), are all forced into watching briefs for this match owing to injury.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Bayern Munich
J. Duran
(8 Goals)
H. Kane
(17 Goals)
Y. Tielemans
(4 Assists)
H. Kane
(9 Assists)
Aston Villa - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Seven of Aston Villa’s eight matches this season have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 home games.
- Five of Bayern Munich’s seven matches this season have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Bayern Munich have scored two or more goals in each of their last five away matches.
- Three or more goals were scored in five of Bayern Munich’s last six Champions League matches.
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Our Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich Prediction
These two have looked extremely impressive in the early stages of this season and both teams notched up impressive opening-round results, with plenty of attacking play on display.
After a dismal last season, Bayern look the business again this term and will need all of their experience to overcome a free-flowing Villa in this one. Based on respective forms, this has all the ingredients for a goal-fest in the making - therefore, our Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich prediction: Over 2.5!
Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Six of Aston Villa’s eight games this season have ended with both teams scoring, while four of Bayern Munich’s last six Champions League away games have seen both teams find the back of the net.
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Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich will be played on October 2 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich will take place at Villa Park in Birmingham.
UK viewers can watch the Champions League match between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich live on TNT Sports and discovery+.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Radu Petrescu will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Adrian Ghinguleac, Mircea Grigoriu and Marcel Birsan as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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