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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Second placed Arsenal travel to Aston Villa who are fifth in the Premier League. This is the second league fixture of the new season for both of these clubs. They both made winning starts to the new campaign and will want to make it two wins out of two this weekend.
Arsenal only just missed out on the Premier League title last season. The Gunners took their title challenge to the very last match but ended two points behind champions Manchester City. Villa did the double over them last season and but for that the title would have been won.
Aston Villa have a massive season to look forward to. They will be playing in the Champions League this season after finishing fourth in last season's Premier League. That was despite a not too impressive end to the season.
With one win under their belts already, the Villains will be looking to establish themselves in the top four. A title challenge doesn't look too likely though and they finished 21 points behind Arsenal last season. Here's our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
351 | 41 | 1 |
|
|
3.9 | 2.62 | 2.05 |
|
|
501 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
501 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.9 | 1.76 |
|
|
4.48 | 3.98 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.48 | 3.98 | 1.73 |
|
|
100 | 31 | 1.01 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.92 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.4 | 4 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
|
|
301 | 29 | 1.01 |
|
|
151 | 34 | 1 |
|
|
46 | 6.4 | 1.14 |
|
|
501 | 126 | 1.01 |
|
|
4.65 | 4.05 | 1.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2024 between Aston Villa and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.06% for a win of Aston Villa against Arsenal with odds of 501 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Arsenal is 15.12% with odds of 126 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Aston Villa with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
Aston Villa - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 49.82% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.16% | 10 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal | 23.43% | 14 at Unibet |
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Form
Aston Villa and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
53 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 28 |
|
7
|
42 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
Aston Villa and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2024 - Premier League
2 May 2024 - Conference League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
11 Apr 2024 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
20 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Apr 2024 - Premier League
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
31 Aug 2022 - Premier League
19 Mar 2022 - Premier League
22 Oct 2021 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Arsenal got their season off to a winning start with a comfortable 2-0 home victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers. A goal in each half secured their win and took their unbeaten run to seven Premier League matches.
The Gunners last lost a league game at Aston Villa in April. That's the only loss they have had in the Premier League in their last 19 matches with 52 goals scored. 17 of those 19 matches have ended in victory for Arsenal.
Arsenal have scored 28 goals in their last nine away league games.
On their travels, Arsenal have won eight of their last nine away Premier League fixtures. The goals have been flowing on the road with 28 goals scored in those nine matches and just three conceded.
Aston Villa finished fourth last season but only just. They finished two points clear of fifth-placed Tottenham who lost three of their final five Premier League matches. Villa also struggled towards the end of last season with just two points from four games.
Aston Villa have drawn their last two home games.
This season began well with a 2-1 away win at West Ham United. They are unbeaten in their last five home league games but drawn the last two. We tip Arsenal to get the win here.
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Aston Villa against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Disasi
MidfielderB. Kamara
T. Tomiyasu
ForwardG. Jesus
Aston Villa & Arsenal Squad Analysis
It's hoped that defender Matty Cash will be able to play after having to go off in Villa's win at West Ham last weekend. If he doesn't play then Ezri Konsa may be switched to right-back with Diego Carlos returning to the side despite transfer talk.
Still out injured for the midlands side are Tyrone Mings and Boubacar Kamara. Robin Olsen is also unlikely to feature this weekend.
Rice expected to play despite being taken off against Wolves last week.
Declan Rice went off with cramp in Arsenal's win over Wolves last week. He's fully expected to play in this match at Villa Park. It's also hoped that Fabio Vieira may have overcome his hip injury. It'll be a while until Kieran Tierney and Takehiro Tomiyasu make their returns.
Eddie Nketiah is not expected to be part of this match with ongoing talk of him leaving the Emirates with a transfer to Notts Forest possible.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Arsenal
O. Watkins
(13 Goals)
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
O. Watkins
(9 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Aston Villa - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal have won 17 of their last 19 league games.
- Arsenal have scored 52 goals in those 19 matches.
- Aston Villa have failed to win their last two home league matches.
- Aston Villa have only won one of their last five league matches.
- Arsenal have won two of their last three away games against Aston Villa.
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Our Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal lost at Aston Villa last season and if they'd won the match, they'd have been champions. They ended last season in top form and have made a strong start with a home win over Wolverhampton Wanderers last weekend.
Aston Villa were also successful with a 2-1 win away at West Ham United. They will find this a lot more difficult though against in-form Arsenal who have been scoring plenty of away goals. Our main Aston Villa v Arsenal prediction is Arsenal to win.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals scored
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Arsenal
| Aston Villa vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 4.75 | 351 | +7,289.5% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 41 | +993.3% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.62 | 1 | -38.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 38.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 100.0% (38.3%)
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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