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England - Premier League

Aston Villa

09 Dec 2023 12:30

Arsenal

Prediction :

Aston Villa or X

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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

Prediction published on 09/12/2023, 03:56 by Joseph King in Premier League Predictions

The highlight of matchday 16 in the Premier League sees leaders Arsenal traveling to the West Midlands to take on third-place Aston Villa. Both teams are in red-hot form which should make for a cracker of a match at Villa Park. The Gunners hold a slim two-point lead over second-place Liverpool while a win for Aston Villa would cut the gap between themselves and their opponents to just one point. Can Unai Emery get one over on his former employer or will Mikel Arteta’s side grab another win at Villa Park and put an end to the hosts’ remarkable run?

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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Arsenal Match

1	X	2
3.6	3.75	2
3.55	3.6	2
3.65	3.8	2.03
3.65	3.8	2.03
3.48	3.64	2.03
3.48	3.64	2.03
3.7	3.8	2.02
3.56	3.72	1.98
3.6	3.75	2.02
3.85	3.6	2.1
3.65	3.7	2.05
3.5	3.6	2
3.67	3.83	2.05
3.5	3.6	2

Check all Aston Villa vs Arsenal odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Arsenal?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/12/2023 between Aston Villa and Arsenal in Premier League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.13% for a win of Aston Villa against Arsenal with odds of 3.85 at Unibet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Arsenal is 11.81% with odds of 3.83 at Vbet.
Our prediction model gives a 39.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Aston Villa with odds of 2.1 at Unibet.

Aston Villa - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa Arsenal Prediction	Probability	Odds
Aston Villa wins	49.13%	3.85 at Unibet
Over 2.5 goals	65.56%	1.85 at Unibet
Both Team To Score	72.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa	17.64%	26 at Unibet

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Form

Aston Villa and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	62
4 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	15

Aston Villa and Arsenal Last Matches

Aston Villa Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W D W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

83% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 0

Manchester City

3 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 2

Aston Villa

30 Nov 2023 - Conference League

Aston Villa

2 : 1

Legia Warszawa

26 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham

1 : 2

Aston Villa

12 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

3 : 1

Fulham

9 Nov 2023 - Conference League

Aston Villa

2 : 1

AZ Alkmaar

W W W W W W

Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

83% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 0

Manchester City

30 Nov 2023 - Conference League

Aston Villa

2 : 1

Legia Warszawa

12 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

3 : 1

Fulham

9 Nov 2023 - Conference League

Aston Villa

2 : 1

AZ Alkmaar

29 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

3 : 1

Luton Town

22 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

4 : 1

West Ham

W D W L W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

3 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 2

Aston Villa

26 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham

1 : 2

Aston Villa

5 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

2 : 0

Aston Villa

26 Oct 2023 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar

1 : 4

Aston Villa

8 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Wolves

1 : 1

Aston Villa

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea

0 : 1

Aston Villa

Arsenal Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W W W

Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

3 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

5 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

3 : 4

Arsenal

2 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 1

Wolves

29 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Arsenal

6 : 0

Lens

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Brentford

0 : 1

Arsenal

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 1

Burnley

8 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Arsenal

2 : 0

Sevilla

W W W W W W

Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

33% BTTS

3.17 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

2 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 1

Wolves

29 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Arsenal

6 : 0

Lens

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 1

Burnley

8 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Arsenal

2 : 0

Sevilla

28 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

5 : 0

Sheffield United

8 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

1 : 0

Manchester City

D W L L W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

5 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

3 : 4

Arsenal

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Brentford

0 : 1

Arsenal

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 0

Arsenal

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

West Ham

3 : 1

Arsenal

24 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Sevilla

1 : 2

Arsenal

21 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea

2 : 2

Arsenal

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

33 %

Draw

0 %

Arsenal

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

50%

BTTS

1.33

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.67

Goals scored (Team 2)

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

2 : 4

Arsenal

31 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 1

Aston Villa

19 Mar 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa

0 : 1

Arsenal

22 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 1

Aston Villa

6 Feb 2021 - Premier League

Aston Villa

1 : 0

Arsenal

8 Nov 2020 - Premier League

Arsenal

0 : 3

Aston Villa

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Aston Villa - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Aston Villa come into this match off the back of a tremendous 1-0 win over Manchester City on Wednesday. The win maintained the Villains 100% winning home record in the Premier League. It also represented the hosts 14th consecutive league win at Villa Park dating back to last season. Unai Emery has been a roaring success since taking over in October of 2022, leading his squad to a seventh-place finish and a spot in the Conference League in 2022/23. They’ll have even grander aspirations this season as they are looking like they could challenge for a spot in the Champions League. Villa enter this match on a six match unbeaten run, five of which have resulted in victories.

Arsenal were the last team to deal Aston Villa a loss at this ground after their 4-2 victory in February of 2023. The Gunners have picked up right from where they left off last season as they have shot up to the top of the standings. Arsenal’s record of 11-3-1 gives them a two-point cushion atop the standings. They’ve also delivered in the Champions League where they have guaranteed first-place in their group. Their most recent outing was a wild 4-3 comeback win away against Luton Town which saw Arsenal grab yet another last-gasp goal as Declan Rice headed home the winner in the 97th minute. The win was Arsenal’s sixth in a row across all competitions as the team is firing on all cylinders.

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Aston Villa against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

E. Martinez

E. Konsa

D. Carlos

P. Torres

L. Digne

L. Bailey

B. Kamara

D. Luiz

J. McGinn

Y. Tielemans

O. Watkins

G. Martinelli

G. Jesus

B. Saka

K. Havertz

D. Rice

M. Odegaard

O. Zinchenko

G. Magalhaes

W. Saliba

B. White

D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Aston Villa

Defender

T. Mings

Midfielder

E. Buendia

Forward

M. Rogers

Arsenal

Defender

J. Timber

Aston Villa & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Both managers have a few injury concerns to deal with ahead of this clash. Unai Emery will likely be without Leon Bailey after the Jamaican international was forced to come off just five minutes from full time in the win over Man City. Bailey was excellent in the win and will be a huge miss if he is unable to recover in time. Luckily, some smart investment in the summer means that Villa have a deep squad to work with. Expect Moussa Diaby to step in for Bailey and offer a similar direct threat. The hosts will be unable to call upon Emiliano Buendia, Bertrand Traore and Tyrone Mings who are all nursing injuries.

Unfortunately for Mikel Arteta, Arsenal will be without one of their most sound defenders in Japanese international Takehiro Tomiyasu who is expected to be sidelined for roughly six weeks. Alongside Tomiyasu, the Gunners will have to do without the services of Emile Smith-Rowe, Fabio Vieira, Thomas Partey and Jurrien Timber. Arteta also won’t be present on the touchline after picking up his third yellow card of the season, resulting in a one-week ban.

Most goals and assists

Aston Villa

Arsenal

Top Goalscorer

O. Watkins (24 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

B. Saka (20 Goals)

Best assists

L. Bailey (14 Assists)

Best assists

B. Saka (13 Assists)

Aston Villa - Arsenal Key Points

Aston Villa are riding a 14 match home Premier League winning streak dating back to last season.
The hosts are 7-0-0 in the league at home this season with a +19 goal differential.
Villa are on a six match unbeaten run, five of which have resulted in victories including a 1-0 home win over Man City.
All three of Arsenal's defeats this season across all competitions have come as the away side.
Arsenal are averaging 1.86 goals scored per away match compared to Aston Villa's incredible 3.43 goals scored average per home match.

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Our Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction

There are plenty of storylines at play here which should make for a captivating match. Aston Villa have been simply superb this season and have looked near invincible in front of their home fans dating back to February of this year. Arsenal were the last team to deal a home defeat to Aston Villa and certainly won't be intimidated by their current streak. Given what they showed midweek against Manchester City, we believe the hosts still aren't getting enough credit with the oddsmakers. We'll gladly back them to avoid defeat in a game where they are extremely live to even walk away with the three points. Our Aston Villa vs Arsenal prediction is for Aston Villa on the double chance.

Prediction :

Aston Villa or X

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Aston Villa vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions

The Premier League fixture between Aston Villa and Arsenal is taking place at Villa Park in the West Midlands.

The match between Aston Villa and Arsenal is set to kick off at 5:30 PM UK time on December 9th, 2023.

Those in the UK can catch the match by tuning into Sky Sports Main Event or by using the Sky Go App if opting to stream the game. If you're unable to watch the match live, head over to the Sportytrader Livescore page and follow along with the action as it unfolds on the pitch!

Tasked with referee duties for this game will be Jarred Gillett. The 37-year-old has taken charge of nine other matches this season, handing out 41 yellow cards (4.56 average per match) and two red cards (0.22 average).

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.