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Europe - Conference League

Aston Villa
14 Mar 2024 16:00
Ajax

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Aston Villa vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

 by Sridhar | in Conference League Predictions

Former European Cup winners Aston Villa and Ajax have nothing to separate them after the first leg, making this second-leg game a straight knockout. The second leg of this UEFA Europa Conference League round of 16 will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham on Thursday. Both teams played out cautiously and canceled each other in a 0-0 draw last week in Amsterdam. They were so closely stacked together that both teams even ended up with ten men. With everything hinging on this result, will Villa summon their impressive home form from earlier, or will Ajax prove to be a silent killer?

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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Ajax Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 5.25 7.5
Ladbrokes
1.4 4.8 6.5
NetBet
1.39 4.8 6.75
1xbet
1.42 4.95 6.85
22bet
1.42 4.95 6.85
Betwinner
1.42 4.94 6.8
LSbet
1.42 4.94 6.8
Stake
1.39 5 7.2
Melbet
1.42 4.94 6.8
Tonybet
1.4 4.9 7
Betway
1.38 4.75 7
Unibet
1.37 4.75 7
Betfair
1.4 4.75 7
Betsson
1.4 5 7
Vbet
1.43 5.1 7.7
Check all Aston Villa vs Ajax odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Ajax?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2024 between Aston Villa and Ajax in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.32% for a win of Aston Villa against Ajax with odds of 1.43 at Vbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Ajax is 18.61% with odds of 5.25 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Aston Villa with odds of 7.7 at Vbet.

Aston Villa - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa Ajax Prediction Probability Odds
Ajax wins 44.07% 7.7 at Vbet
Over 2.5 goals 72.56% 1.57 at Vbet
Both Team To Score 68.75%
Half-time / Full-time: Ajax/Ajax 15.97% 13 at Bet365

Aston Villa vs Ajax Form

Aston Villa and Ajax Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
L W W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  4
Tottenham

7 Mar 2024 - Conference League

Ajax
0 :  0
Aston Villa

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
2 :  3
Aston Villa

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Nottingham Forest

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Manchester United
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  4
Tottenham

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Nottingham Forest

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Manchester United

7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Chelsea

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

30 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
Burnley
D D W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2024 - Conference League

Ajax
0 :  0
Aston Villa

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
2 :  3
Aston Villa

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  5
Aston Villa

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Aston Villa

14 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Aston Villa
Ajax
Ajax Last matches
D W L W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Fortuna Sittard

7 Mar 2024 - Conference League

Ajax
0 :  0
Aston Villa

3 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Utrecht

25 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  0
Ajax

22 Feb 2024 - Conference League

Bodoe/Glimt
1 :  2
Ajax

18 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
NEC Nijmegen
D D D W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Fortuna Sittard

7 Mar 2024 - Conference League

Ajax
0 :  0
Aston Villa

3 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Utrecht

18 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
NEC Nijmegen

15 Feb 2024 - Conference League

Ajax
2 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

3 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
PSV Eindhoven
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  0
Ajax

22 Feb 2024 - Conference League

Bodoe/Glimt
1 :  2
Ajax

11 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
3 :  2
Ajax

27 Jan 2024 - Eredivisie

Heracles
2 :  4
Ajax

14 Jan 2024 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  3
Ajax

7 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Hannover 96
1 :  2
Ajax

Aston Villa vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

7 Mar 2024 - Conference League

Ajax
0 :  0
Aston Villa
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Aston Villa - Ajax: Form Analysis

Aston Villa managed to keep Ajax at bay in Amsterdam last week in a scrappy affair. Both teams ended up with a player less, as Villa's Ezri Konsa and Ajax's Tristan Gooijer were sent off. The English club failed to improve their fortunes after that, getting thrashed 4-0 by Tottenham Hotspur at this venue on Sunday. It was the joint-heaviest career home defeat for manager Unai Emery, who will look to work his well-known European magic to turn things around. Worryingly, though, his side has lost a bit of steam at home, which looked like a fortress not long ago. Villa Park has seen Aston Villa lose four of their last five matches in all competitions, each time conceding at least two goals. That is a tricky bit of state for Villa, who otherwise have lost just one of their last seven home European matches, winning five.

Ajax followed the first leg draw with a 2-2 draw in the Eredivisie, meaning they have avoided defeat at full-time in six of their last seven matches. Four of those were drawn, though, and another stalemate here will take the game deeper. Their domestic fortunes have been revived lately, with the Dutch giants back in the race to finish in the top four. They may need that confidence to boost their chances here, as the visitors have yet to win during normal time in this year's Conference League. Their travels to England don't make for happy reading, though, as Ajax have lost their last four away matches to Premier League teams. That includes a 2-0 loss to Brighton in October in the Europa League competition.

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Aston Villa against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
E. Martinez
2
M. Cash
3
D. Carlos
6
D. Luiz
14
P. Torres
27
M. Rogers
7
J. McGinn
19
M. Diaby
15
A. Moreno
31
L. Bailey
11
O. Watkins
8
K. Taylor
9
B. Brobbey
38
K. Hlynsson
25
B. Sosa
16
S. Mannsverk
6
J. Henderson
2
D. Rensch
4
J. Hato
13
A. Kaplan
37
J. Sutalo
40
D. Ramaj

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Ajax

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

Midfielder

E. Buendia

B. Kamara

J. Ramsey

Ajax
Ajax

Aston Villa & Ajax Squad Analysis

Aston Villa continue to miss their key players due to long-term injuries. Tyrone Mings is out with a knee injury, while Boubacar Kamara is also set to be unavailable. Ezri Konsa picked up a red card in the first leg and is suspended for this game. Question marks also remain over the participation of Jacob Ramsey. Ajax will be without Tristan Gooijer, who received his marching orders in the first leg. Steven Berghuis is also unavailable for this trip due to a knee injury. Gaston Avila, Steven Bergwijn, and van Axel Dongen are likely to be assessed late to check for their availability as they battle against time to get fit.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Ajax
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (24 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands B. Brobbey (20 Goals)
Best assists
Jamaica L. Bailey (14 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Berghuis (10 Assists)

Aston Villa - Ajax Key Points

  1. Villa’s last six matches at this venue in all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals
  2. In three of their last four matches in all competitions, Villa have conceded at least two goals
  3. Villa have scored at least two goals in three of their last four home matches in the Conference League
  4. In nine of their last 11 away matches in all competitions, Ajax have scored at least two goals
  5. Likewise, in nine of their last 11 away matches in all competitions, Ajax have ended up conceding two or more goals
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Our Aston Villa vs Ajax Prediction

Aston Villa didn't have the best of preparations for this match, losing 4-0 over the weekend. While that defeat has come at this venue, there's no denying the fact that Villa have enjoyed playing at home. Going by Unai Emery's legendary record in Europe, the home team could be plotting a comeback laced with goals. Ajax could sing along the same hymn sheet, as their recent trips have been full of goals. That makes our prediction for Aston Villa vs Ajax to be over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Aston Villa vs Ajax - Other Interesting Predictions

Brian Brobbey to score anytime for Ajax

Odds 5
Brian Brobbey seems to have recaptured his scoring form at the right time for Ajax. He has scored ten goals across his last ten competitive matches. That includes three in his last four matches coming into this encounter. As Brobbey looks to break his duck in the competition this season, this match could be his best option to do so. Back the forward to score a goal anytime in the match.
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Aston Villa vs Ajax match : Frequently asked questions

Aston Villa vs Ajax UEFA Europa Conference League match is scheduled for an 8 pm GMT kick-off on Thursday, March 14, 2024.
This is Aston Villa' home game and so Aston Villa vs Ajax match is set to be played at the Villa Park in Birmingham.

Aston Villa vs Ajax UEFA Europa Conference League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 2 in the UK.

You can also keep up to the minute with all the action on the SportyTrader livescore page .

Orel Grinfeeld of Israel will be the chief referee for this Aston Villa vs Ajax match. His assistant referees would be Roy Hassan and Idan Yarkoni. Gal Leibovitz will officiate as the fourth official, while Ziv Adler is the VAR. Phivos Constantinides will be the UEFA match delegate.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs Ajax Prediction
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