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Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
Our next Premier League match prediction involves high-flying Arsenal, taking on strugglers Southampton at the Emirates Stadium. Will the Gunners have too much firepower for the flagging Saints, or can the visitors go marching back to St Mary’s with a shock three points in their pocket?
Mikel Arteta’s Gunners have had a solid start to their league campaign. They are third in the table, level on points with Manchester City and just a point behind Liverpool. Along with Manchester City, they are the only two remaining unbeaten teams in the division and look well set for another strong campaign. A win here is key especially with tricky games to come against Liverpool, Newcastle and Chelsea in the next few weeks.
In contrast to Arsenal’s fast start, Russell Martin’s Saints have not won any of their six games, drawing just one to sit 19th in the table. Another season of struggle beckons for the Saints who have scored just three league goals in their six games so far, the fewest of any team in the Premier League. With games against Man City and Liverpool in their next five league games, this is the start of a tough spell for the south-coast side.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.13 | 9 | 15 |
|
|
1.15 | 9.45 | 19.5 |
|
|
1.15 | 9.45 | 19.5 |
|
|
1.13 | 8.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.12 | 9 | 19 |
|
|
1.12 | 9 | 19 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.8 | 15 |
|
|
1.12 | 9.2 | 19 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.8 | 18 |
|
|
1.17 | 8.9 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.13 | 10 | 21 |
|
|
1.13 | 10 | 21 |
|
|
1.16 | 9.7 | 15 |
|
|
1.15 | 7.5 | 17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Southampton match is: Arsenal to win and Over 3.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2024 between Arsenal and Southampton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.03% for a win of Arsenal against Southampton with odds of 1.2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Southampton is 21.04% with odds of 10 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Arsenal with odds of 21 at Unibet.
Arsenal - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 66.03% | 1.2 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.59% | 3.12 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 44.27% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Southampton Form
Arsenal and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
|
20
|
4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -14 |
Arsenal and Southampton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Arsenal vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2023 - Premier League
23 Oct 2022 - Premier League
16 Apr 2022 - Premier League
11 Dec 2021 - Premier League
26 Jan 2021 - Premier League
23 Jan 2021 - FA Cup
Arsenal - Southampton: Form Analysis
Arsenal came into this game after making a very solid start to the season. Unbeaten in all competitions since the start of the campaign, the Gunners have won four of their six league games, drawing the other two (away to Manchester City and at home to Brighton).
They warmed up for this game with a last-gasp 4-2 victory over Leicester City last weekend, scoring twice in added time to secure a much-needed victory over the Foxes. They then welcomed Paris St. Germain to the Champions League in midweek and emerged with a fantastic 2-0 victory over the French Champions.
Kai Havertz has been a key man for Arsenal.
The German international has scored five goals in nine games in all competitions this season in a withdrawn central-striking role. He will certainly be one of many players the Southampton defenders must watch closely.
Saints manager Russell Martin was angry at his team’s performance in their recent 3-1 defeat to Bournemouth. That loss was Southampton's fifth in six games in the Premier League, with their only point coming in a 1-1 home draw to Ipswich Town the week before.
The manager will be under pressure to get results quickly, but doing so against Arsenal at the Emirates looks to be an incredibly difficult task. Especially for a team that has scored just three goals in the league this season.
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Arsenal against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
K. Tierney
G. Bazunu
MidfielderW. Smallbone
ForwardR. Fraser
Arsenal & Southampton Squad Analysis
Mikel Arteta will have to juggle his squad for this game with a number of players still unavailable, with the defence most notably hit. Definitely out for this game are Kieran Tierney, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Martin Odegaard and Takehiro Tomiyasu.
Ben White and Jurrien Timber are rated 50/50 chances for the game.
Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka, who both scored against Paris St Germain, will be amongst the key players for Arsenal as they seek to break down the Southampton defence. However, as important for the Gunners has been the form of central defensive duo William Saliba and Gabriel and goalkeeper David Raya.
The ex-Brentford keeper is enjoying a fantastic season for Arsenal since signing on a permanent deal in the summer.
Russell Martin doesn’t have as many injuries as his Arsenal counterpart, but the players that are out are big misses for the struggling Saints.
Goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu remains a long-term injury absentee and he is not due to return to fitness until early 2025. Kamaldeen Sulemana is another who is out for a while, at least until November according to reports.
Defender Jack Stephens, who is suspended, will also miss this game, while midfielder Will Smallbone has a thigh issue that will likely rule him out for two to three weeks.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Southampton
K. Havertz
(7 Goals)
C. Archer
(4 Goals)
B. Saka
(7 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
Arsenal - Southampton Key Points
- Three of Arsenal's last four games have seen Over 3.5 Goals scored.
- Three of Southampton's four away games this season have seen Over 3.5 Goals scored.
- Arsenal have scored 14 goals at home in five matches this season, conceding four.
- The Saints four away games this season have seen a total of 17 goals scored.
- The last match between the two teams finished in a 3-3 draw in April 2023.
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Our Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction
Our prediction for Arsenal vs. Southampton in the Premier League is: Arsenal to win and Over 3.5 Goals.
It has been a dismal start to the season for Southampton and the likelihood is that it will get worse on Saturday at the Emirates. Arsenal are in fantastic form at the moment, scoring plenty of goals, looking solid at the back and putting very top teams to the sword. The data for this game is pretty unequivocal: Arsenal should win and should do so by a fair few goals.
Arsenal vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) to score at any time
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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