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Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Daniel Ngulu in Premier League Predictions
After recent struggles, Arsenal will look to get back to winning ways when they host Southampton on Friday in Round 32 of the English Premier League. Arsenal have seen their advantage at the top of the standings cut to just four points and cannot afford to drop points again here, Southampton, on the other hand, are struggling at the foot of the table and come to this match four points away from safety.
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For this match, bookmakers have backed Arsenal winning and have priced a home win at 1.2 with a draw coming at 8.2. A win for Southampton is the least likely result according to the bookies who have priced an away win at 18.5.
Arsenal vs Southampton Form
Arsenal and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
|
84 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 45 |
20
|
25 | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | -37 |
Arsenal and Southampton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2023 - Premier League
9 Apr 2023 - Premier League
1 Apr 2023 - Premier League
19 Mar 2023 - Premier League
16 Mar 2023 - Europa League
12 Mar 2023 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2023 - Premier League
19 Mar 2023 - Premier League
16 Mar 2023 - Europa League
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
1 Mar 2023 - Premier League
15 Feb 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2023 - Premier League
9 Apr 2023 - Premier League
12 Mar 2023 - Premier League
9 Mar 2023 - Europa League
25 Feb 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
2 Apr 2023 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - Premier League
15 Mar 2023 - Premier League
12 Mar 2023 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - Premier League
15 Mar 2023 - Premier League
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
1 Mar 2023 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2023 - Premier League
12 Mar 2023 - Premier League
25 Feb 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
31 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup
Arsenal vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Oct 2022 - Premier League
16 Apr 2022 - Premier League
11 Dec 2021 - Premier League
26 Jan 2021 - Premier League
23 Jan 2021 - FA Cup
16 Dec 2020 - Premier League
Arsenal - Southampton: Form Analysis
Though they’ve played a game more Arsenal still have the title race in control but failure to win here will change those dynamics drastically. This is thus a must-win match for the Gunners who have amassed 74 points and have a four-point advantage on second-placed Manchester City but the defending champions have a game in hand. Mikel Arteta’s men have drawn their last two matches, losing two-goal leads to settle for a share of the spoils against Liverpool and West Ham United with both matches ending 2-2. Arsenal will be relieved to be playing in front of home support for this fixture with their last two matches having been on the road. Arsenal’s home form in the Premier League is superb as they have dropped only seven points from a possible 54 that were on offer since last April.
Southampton’s chances of survival are out of their hands and even if they win their remaining seven matches, they will have to depend on other results going their way for them to maintain their top-flight status for a 12th successive season. Ruben Selles’ men have 23 points after 31 matches, and have lost the joint most matches, at 20. They come into this match having not won in their last six matches and have lost four straight, conceding seven goals while scoring just one. Despite this woeful form, Southampton have always found some reprieve when coming up against Arsenal. Earlier this season, the Saints held the league leaders to a 1-1 draw, extending their unbeaten run to two in this matchup. A win here will send them to within one point of safety before the rest of the teams above them take to the field on Saturday.
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Arsenal against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
T. Tomiyasu
W. Saliba
J. Larios
Arsenal & Southampton Squad Analysis
Arsenal don’t have any injury concerns to report on following the West Ham game but will still continue to be without William Saliba, Mohammed Elneny and Takehiro Tomiyasu. Bukayo Saka missed a crucial penalty in the game against West Ham and will be under pressure to make up for that. The England international has not scored in the last three matches but remains one of Arsenal’s main threats in attack together with Gabriel Jesus and Gabriel Martinelli. Jesus has scored four goals in his last three matches.
Southampton will be without Ainsley Maitland-Niles as the defender, on loan from Arsenal, isn’t eligible to play against his parent club. Apart from Niles, everyone who was involved for Southampton in their last match against Crystal Palace will be available for selection. The Saints have scored just one goal from their last three matches but should be boosted by the possible return of top scorer Che Adams who has missed the last three matches due to a calf injury. The forward has scored 10 league goals while assisting three more. Theo Walcott could also get a run against his former club.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal - Southampton Key Points
- Arsenal have won two of the last four matches against Southampton
- Arsenal have won six of their last 10 matches
- Southampton have lost six of their last 10 matches
- Southampton have lost six of their last 10 away matches in the Premier League
- Arsenal have won four of their last five home matches
- Arsenal have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine matches
- Gabriel Jesus has scored four in the last three matches for Arsenal
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Our Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction
Arsenal have stuttered in recent weeks but they have enough quality in them to put a struggling Southampton to the sword. Playing at home has favored Arsenal this season and we will back the same here. The most exciting stat coming from the recent matches is Gabriel Jesus scoring in all the last three games as he enjoys a great return from injury. Our prediction for Arsenal v Southampton is for Gabriel Jesus to score.
Arsenal vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Arenal to score first
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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