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Arsenal vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
A third meeting in history between Arsenal and PSG is in the offing. The two clubs will clash on Match Day 2 of the UEFA Champions League, at the Emirates Stadium on Tuesday 1st October. We have the preview and prediction as the Gunners welcome Les Parisiens.
The last time these two teams faced off was in 2016, in the group stage of the old format of this competition. At the end of the two-legged affair, there wasn’t much to separate the sides. A 2-2 outcome at the Emirates Stadium followed on a 1-1 draw at the Parc des Princes to leave it all even between them.
On Match Day 1 this season, these teams had mixed fortunes but will be glad to have kept their unbeaten statuses coming here. As Arsenal bagged a hard-earned point at Atalanta, PSG had a fortuitous own goal to thank for a win against debutants Girona.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.7 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.8 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.66 | 5.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.66 | 5.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.92 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.92 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.85 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.92 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.85 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.75 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.78 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.9 | 4.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and PSG?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs PSG match is: Over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2024 between Arsenal and PSG in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.07% for a win of Arsenal against PSG with odds of 1.77 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs PSG is 34.85% with odds of 3.92 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.08% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Arsenal with odds of 5.4 at Vbet.
Arsenal - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 41.07% | 1.77 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.37% | 1.97 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 81.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 22.42% | 2.81 at Betsson |
Arsenal vs PSG Form
Arsenal and PSG's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
|
25
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Arsenal and PSG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
7 May 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - French Cup
Arsenal vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jul 2018 - International Champions Cup
23 Nov 2016 - Champions League
13 Sep 2016 - Champions League
Arsenal - PSG: Form Analysis
Arsenal will go into their third straight home match this Tuesday, eying three points. Both sides are still unbeaten in the season and Arsenal will be billed favorites here in light of their recent results.
Ravaged by injuries, Arsenal have come out as a resilient outfit, with a knack to grind out results, ugly or otherwise. Mikel Arteta’s charges are coming from one such outcome, a 4-2 win against Leicester City at home.
The Gunners took a 2-0 lead that was swiftly wiped away in the second half, but scored twice late on to win comfortably. Undefeated in five Champions League home games, Arsenal head here as favorites.
With a five-match unbeaten run at home in the Champions League, Arsenal come here as favorites.
PSG had a more comfortable outing in Ligue 1, beating Rennes 3-1 at home to stay top. Arnaud Kalimuendo’s goal didn’t rattle them, as by then they were leading with three goals.
However, the win put in a stat PSG would like to deal with – they are struggling to keep clean sheets. That will be a major concern heading to the Emirates, where Arsenal scored nine times in the last two matches.
PSG will be happy to note that one of the only two clean sheets they’ve managed, came in the Champions League. On a not-so-bright note though, their last seven away Champions League matches yielded four defeats.
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Arsenal against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
B. White
T. Tomiyasu
O. Zinchenko
Arsenal & PSG Squad Analysis
Arsenal will head into this game without much positives to report as regards players returning from injury. Perhaps the best of them is that Mikel Merino is close to getting back but this game comes too soon for the Spaniard.
Meanwhile, for the second straight game Ben White was missing for Arsenal and Arteta did confirm he is injured. He may not return for this game but Jurrien Timber has proven a good replacement.
Martin Odegaard, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Kieran Tierney and Oleksandr Zinchenko remain sidelined.
The Gunners are grappling with injuries in midfield while PSG have a number of defensive players out.
PSG are expected to welcome back goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma for this match. He is said to have recovered from a thigh injury and could be accompanied back by Vitinha.
However, there are still major doubts over the availability of Marco Asensio and Desire Doue. Confirmations are there though, that Presnel Kimpembe, Lucas Hernandez and Gonçalo Ramos are to miss the game.
The three are long-term absentees. Bradley Barcola, Marquinhos, Fabian Ruiz, Ousmane Dembele and Fabian Ruiz were all subbed against Rennes to rest them for this game.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
PSG
K. Havertz
(11 Goals)
B. Barcola
(10 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
A. Hakimi
(7 Assists)
Arsenal - PSG Key Points
- Three of Arsenal’s five home Champions League games had over 3.5 goals.
- Arsenal have scored an average of 3.6 goals in the last three matches.
- 17 goals were netted in Arsenal’s last five games in all competitions.
- Four goals were scored three times in PSG’s last five matches.
- PSG’s three away matches this season produced 11 goals.
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Our Arsenal vs PSG Prediction
Two teams that rarely fail to score in their matches will clash at the Emirates in this Champions League game. The last time Arsenal and PSG faced off, it ended with four goals and there are all signs this too could head the same direction.
They are both coming off high-scoring outings, their matches seeing at least four goals netted. Arsenal scored nine in the last two home matches and PSG’s last three away games had 11 goals. Our prediction for Arsenal v PSG is for the game to have over 3.5 goals.
Arsenal vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Arsenal, famed for their strength in defence have seemed porous in recent times and we expect PSG to breach them. On the other end, the hosts remain potent in attack while PSG have shown signs of defensive shakiness.
In this match there will likely be goals on both ends, and that makes our second prediction.
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Arsenal vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
The Arsenal v PSG Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 1st October.
The Arsenal v PSG Champions League match will be played at the Emirates Stadium in London.
If in France, you can watch the Arsenal v PSG Champions League match on M6 and Canal+. Fans in England will be able to catch the game on BBC, Prime Video and TNT Sports. You can also get the match updates on the SportyTrader’s Champions League Livescores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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