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Europe - Champions League

Arsenal
12 Mar 2024 16:00
Porto

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored

 
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Arsenal vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Ian John | in Champions League Predictions

Arsenal host FC Porto in the second leg of their Champions League Round of 16 tie on Tuesday Night, kick off 8pm at the Emirates Stadium. The Gunners are going to have to try to overcome a 1-0 deficit from the first leg after Galeno scored a 94th minute winner for the Portuguese side on the night. That defeat is the only blip in form for Arsenal of late but they are facing a side that do have plenty of Champions League experience and who showed their character to snatch the win after a gritty first leg display at the Estadio do Dragao.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Porto Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.22 6.5 12
Ladbrokes
1.25 5.5 11
NetBet
1.22 6.3 12.5
1xbet
1.27 6.46 13.1
22bet
1.27 6.46 13.1
Betwinner
1.27 5.75 11
LSbet
1.27 5.75 11
Stake
1.26 6.2 11
Melbet
1.23 6.25 12
Tonybet
1.26 6.4 11
Betway
1.22 6.5 11
Unibet
1.25 6.75 14
Betfair
1.22 6.5 13
Betsson
1.22 6.8 14.5
William Hill
1.24 5.8 13
Vbet
1.26 6.7 12
Check all Arsenal vs Porto odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Porto?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2024 between Arsenal and Porto in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.2% for a win of Arsenal against Porto with odds of 1.27 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Porto is 7.92% with odds of 6.8 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Arsenal with odds of 14.5 at Betsson.

Arsenal - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:

Arsenal Porto Prediction Probability Odds
Porto wins 47.87% 14.5 at Betsson
Over 2.5 goals 57.32% 1.7 at Vbet
Both Team To Score 43.75%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto 19.08% 27 at Betsson

Arsenal vs Porto Form

Arsenal and Porto Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brentford

4 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  6
Arsenal

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto
1 :  0
Arsenal

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  5
Arsenal

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  6
Arsenal
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brentford

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

4 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Liverpool

20 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Crystal Palace

7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Liverpool

28 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
West Ham
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  6
Arsenal

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto
1 :  0
Arsenal

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  5
Arsenal

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  6
Arsenal

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Arsenal

31 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Arsenal
Porto
Porto Last matches
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Portimonense
0 :  3
Porto

3 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
5 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Porto

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto
1 :  0
Arsenal

17 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Estrela Amadora

12 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  2
Porto
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
5 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto
1 :  0
Arsenal

17 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Estrela Amadora

3 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Rio Ave

20 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
5 :  0
Moreirense

14 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
SC Braga
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Portimonense
0 :  3
Porto

25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Porto

12 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  2
Porto

7 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Porto

28 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Farense
1 :  3
Porto

9 Jan 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Estoril
0 :  4
Porto

Arsenal vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto
1 :  0
Arsenal
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Arsenal - Porto: Form Analysis

Arsenal went top of the Premier League on Saturday night after their narrow 2-1 win over Brentford. Kai Havertz late goal handing the Gunners a hard-fought win over their London rivals. The result means Arsenal have won all their last eight games in the Premier League scoring 33 goals in that volume and conceding just four. Their only two defeats in that run have come in cup games, a 2-0 loss to Liverpool in the FA Cup and the 1-0 defeat to FC Porto in the first leg of this tie. In the Champions League, the Gunners have suffered two defeats in their seven games, drawing one other and winning the other four, including all of their three home games and they are yet to concede a goal at home in the Champions League this season, scoring an ominous 12 in the 3 games that they have had previously. 

After their 1-0 win over Arsenal in the first leg, FC Porto have remained unbeaten in their next four games. They drew away at Gil Vicente, then beat Santa Clara in the Taca de Portugal quarterfinal, but their best performances have been in their two most recent games where they thrashed Benfica 5-0 at home and followed that. up with a 3-0 win over Portimonense on Friday Night. Galeno, the goalscorer from the first leg, has been in great goalscoring form scoring four goals in the last three games for FC Porto. They now lie 3rd in the Portuguese league, three points behind Benfica, who do have a game in hand and four behind Sporting at the top of the table. They have won five of their seven Champions League games this season, their only two defeats both coming against Barcelona. They have scored 16 goals in those 7 games, conceding just 8. 

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Arsenal against Porto Lineups: Starting 11

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
D. Raya
4
B. White
2
W. Saliba
6
G. Magalhaes
15
J. Kiwior
8
M. Odegaard
41
D. Rice
20
Jorginho
7
B. Saka
29
K. Havertz
19
L. Trossard
30
Evanilson
13
W. Galeno
11
Pepe
10
F. Conceicao
22
A. Varela
16
N. Gonzalez
18
Wendell
31
Otavio
3
Pepe
23
J. Mario
99
D. Costa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Porto

Arsenal & Porto Squad Analysis

Mikel Arteta will have David Raya back available for selection for the game with FC Porto after he was forced to sit out Saturday night's win over Brentford, who are his parent club. Gabriel Jesus and Oleksandr Zinchecnko have returned from injury of late, while Gabriel Martinelli remains a doubt with a foot issue. Takehiro Tomiyasu is closed to a return but Jurrien Timber remains out although he is looking likely to return in Apro; Arsenal's excellent season has seen a number of players shine, but at home in the Champions League, with no goals conceded, the central defensive pairing of William Saliba and Gabriel along with Declan Rice providing a shield in front of they have been an impenetrable barrier for their opponents in the competition thus far. 

Sergio Conceicao doesn't have too many injury concerns for the second leg with Arsenal. Long term absentees Zaidu and Ivan Marcano are both still absent and likely to be so for a good while yet. However, there is hope that Mehdi Taremi, their main goalscoring threat, could be fit enough to return to the squad for the trip to London. Wendell is also a slight doubt with a muscle injury sustained earlier in the month but he should be fit to play. One to watch for Porto is Brazilian star Wenderson Galeno who has scored 6 goals in the league this season, as well as creating six assists. However, he is Porto's top scorer in the Champions League with 5 goals in that competition alone, creating three more with assists too. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato Porto
Top Goalscorer
England B. Saka (20 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Evanilson (17 Goals)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil W. Galeno (10 Assists)

Arsenal - Porto Key Points

  1. Arsenal have won all their last eight Premier League games in impressive fashion. They have now scored 70 goals in the Premier League, six more than the next best team and have the best defensive record too with just 24 goals conceded.
  2. FC Porto ave 55 points from 25 Portuguese League games, scoring 46 goals, but conceding a league low of 17. They have won 5 of 7 in the Champions League, losing only to Barcelona in the Group Stages.
  3. There have been Over 2.5 goals in eight of Arsenal's last ten games in all competitions. For Porto the number is six in their last ten games have seen over 2.5 goals.
  4. The Portuguese side are unbeaten in their last 15 games in all competitions, winning 12 and drawing 3 of those games. Both teams have scored in just six of those games.
  5. The teams have met seven times previously and both have won three games, with one draw. Arsenal have won all of their three home games against Porto, winning 2-0, 4-0 and 5-0. Porto have won three of their home games against Arsenal (2-0, 2-1 and 1-0) and drew the other 0-0.
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Our Arsenal vs Porto Prediction

There's no doubt that this game should be an intriguing one. Arsenal and FC Porto played out a tough and bruising encounter in the first leg with that late goal giving Porto a slight advantage. But recently Arsenal have been scoring plenty of goals, especially at home and doing so against good teams too. Our prediction for Arsenal v FC Porto is a safe one as we've gone for Over 2.5 Goals to be scored in the game. 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored

 
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Arsenal vs Porto - Other Interesting Predictions

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) to score at any time

Odds 2.3
Arsenal's England winger Bukayo Saka has been in exceptional form for the Gunners this season. He's top scored with 13 in the Premier League, and also has seven assists and he has added three more goals and four more assists in the Champions League so far, from just six appearances in the competition. He will be a huge threat to FC Porto in this game and as a penalty taker for Arsenal, our secondary prediction here is for Bukayo Saka to score at any time. 
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Arsenal vs Porto match : Frequently asked questions

Arsenal have met FC Porto seven times so far in European competition (all in the Champions League), meaning this game on Tuesday will be the eighth encounter between the two teams.

At home, Arsenal have won all three of the games with FC Porto without conceding a goal. Winning 2-0 in 2006, 4-0 in 2008 and their biggest victory was a 5-0 win in March 2010. 

Away from home, the Gunners have not won at FC Porto. They drew 0-0 in 2006, but lost 2-0 in 2008, 2-1 in 2010 and also lost 1-0 when the teams put a couple of weeks back.

If you cannot get a ticket for the Emirates for Arsenal's second leg tie against FC Porto in the Champions League, then you can catch the action live on TNT (Formerly BT Sport) in the UK. 

Alternatively, if you do not have a subscription with that channel, or you are otherwise busy, use the specific Arsenal vs FC Porto Champions League page for all the latest data on the game as it happens, with real-time data updates keeping you bang up to date with all the action in North London!

The weather forecast for the next few days in North London looks to be rather benign. While rain is forecast for parts of Sunday, it is only expected to be a few showers and for the rest of the time in the lead up to the game it is expected to be dry with light winds.

The temperature for the Arsenal v FC Porto. game at kick off time (8pm on Tuesday night) is going to be around 8 degrees centigrade, which is about the seasonal average at this time of the year. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arsenal vs Porto Prediction
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