England - Carabao Cup
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Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Steve Ashfield | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Arsenal play host to Newcastle United in the first leg of their Carabao Cup semi-final. The winners will be up against either Tottenham or the holders Liverpool in the final. Who will get to Wembley? Read our match prediction.
The Gunners haven't won this competition since 1993 and only twice in their history. The weekend saw them draw at Brighton extending their unbeaten run to 13 games with no defeat since mid-November. Home form has seen them avoid defeat in 17 straight competitive games.
Newcastle last won at the Emirates in 2010 and since then, only avoided defeat once in 12 matches. They are fifth in the Premier League, five points behind second-placed Arsenal. Over 90 minutes they have only lost once in their last 14 Carabao Cup games.
That defeat came in the final two seasons ago to Manchester United. They come into this match having won their last six matches, most recently 2-1 at Tottenham. Alexander Isak is in top form and the Magpies scored at least twice in each of their last four on the road.
While the only Premier League opponent faced by Arsenal in this competition has been Crystal Palace, it's been tougher for United. They've had to get past Forest, Chelsea and Brentford. We go for both teams to score in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.9 | 4.36 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.9 | 4.36 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.82 | 4.28 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.82 | 4.28 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.65 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.82 | 4.28 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.85 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.55 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.75 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Newcastle match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/01/2025 between Arsenal and Newcastle in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.86% for a win of Arsenal against Newcastle with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Newcastle is 18.8% with odds of 3.9 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Arsenal with odds of 4.7 at Unibet.
Arsenal vs Newcastle Form
Arsenal and Newcastle Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
7 May 2023 - Premier League
3 Jan 2023 - Premier League
16 May 2022 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
B. White
T. Tomiyasu
ForwardB. Saka
R. Sterling
K. Havertz
N. Pope
DefenderJ. Lascelles
E. Krafth
ForwardC. Wilson
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Newcastle
K. Havertz
(12 Goals)
A. Isak
(14 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
, 
B. Guimaraes
(6 Assists)
Arsenal - Newcastle Key Points
- Both teams have scored in three of Newcastle's last five Carabao Cup games.
- 12 of the last 15 Newcastle away matches have seen both teams score.
- Both teams scored in Arsenal's last home game against Newcastle.
- Newcastle have scored in their last seven away matches. Arsenal have scored in all but one of their last 20 home competitive fixtures.
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Our Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction
The Carabao Cup is one of the best chances these sides have of winning a trophy this season. North London fans will be dreaming of an Arsenal v Spurs final but Newcastle and Liverpool are out to stop that.
Both Arsenal and Newcastle are in good form at present, especially the visitors. Arsenal need to find a way to stop Isak scoring as they hope for a good lead to take to the North East for the second leg. Our Arsenal v Newcastle predicton is both teams to score.
Use £30 free bets for the Arsenal vs. Newcastle game!
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Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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