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Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
Saturday night in the Premier League sees Arsenal face Newcastle United in what is a crucial game for both clubs. Arsenal currently lie third in the table and are five points behind leaders Liverpool, but with this game in hand. Newcastle are currently eighth in the table and cannot drop too many more points if they are harboring any hopes of European football next season. They are seven points adrift of Manchester United in 6th and 10 behind Spurs in 5th. However, they did beat Arsenal 1-0 at St James' Park earlier in the season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.3 | 7.75 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.59 | 7.33 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.59 | 7.33 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.45 | 8.7 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.8 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.4 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.8 | 7.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Newcastle?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/02/2024 between Arsenal and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.19% for a win of Arsenal against Newcastle with odds of 1.4 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Newcastle is 8.91% with odds of 5.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Arsenal with odds of 9 at Betfred.
Arsenal - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 53.19% | 1.4 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.39% | 1.51 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 23.96% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Newcastle Form
Arsenal and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
89 | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 62 |
|
7
|
60 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 23 |
Arsenal and Newcastle Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
20 Jan 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
20 Jan 2024 - Premier League
7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
28 Dec 2023 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
2 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
31 Dec 2023 - Premier League
23 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
13 Dec 2023 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2024 - Premier League
23 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
7 May 2023 - Premier League
3 Jan 2023 - Premier League
16 May 2022 - Premier League
27 Nov 2021 - Premier League
2 May 2021 - Premier League
Arsenal - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Arsenal face Newcastle United on Saturday Night in the Premier League knowing that rivals Liverpool have already secured a win over Luton in midweek to move them five points clear of the Gunners. Therefore, Mikel Arteta's team will know nothing less than a win will suffice against Newcastle. After a disappointing performance in midweek in the Champions League, where they went down a 1-0 defeat away to FC Porto, the Gunners will be looking to rediscover their deadly Premier League form of late which has seen them rattle in 25 goals in their last five games, winning them all, including two big away wins in successive weeks - 5-0 at Burnley and 6-0 at West Ham. The Gunners though will be wary of their opponents on Saturday night as their first defeat of the season in the league came in a 1-0 loss away at Newcastle back in November.
Eddie Howe's Newcastle United team have had a somewhat Jekyll and Hyde season, being very strong at home, but somewhat poor on the road, winning just 11 points out of 36 available. Recently, it has been their home form that has deserted them a little, losing to Nottingham Forest and Manchester City in successive games at St James' Park and then following that with scoring draws with Luton (4-4) and Bournemouth (2-2 ). They have won their last two away games, 3-1 at Aston Villa and then a 3-2 win at the City Ground against Nottingham Forest and with the two latest draws at home, it means Eddie Howe's mean are unbeaten in four. Furthermore, there's been plenty of goals in their games with just 2 of their last 13 matches seeing fewer than three goals scored.
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Arsenal against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Timber
M. Targett
MidfielderS. Tonali
ForwardC. Wilson
Arsenal & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Both Arsenal and Newcastle have a number of injury concerns ahead of their game on Saturday night. For the Gunners, long-term injury absentee Jurrien Timber remains out, while it is extremely doubtful that Oleksandr Zinchenko (calf), Takehiro Tomiyasu (knock) and Gabriel Jesus (knee) will be fit enough to play apart on Saturday. Thomas Partey has returned to training but missed the game with FC Porto, but should be in contention against Newcastle, while Fabio Viera returned after three months out in the defeat to FC Porto in midweek. Mikel Arteta was critical of his sides lack of attacking decisiveness and energy levels in the defeat in Portugal and he could give Jorginho a chance in the team, after the Italian played a key role in the big home win over Liverpool a few weeks back. Emile Smith Rowe is another the manager could consider if he feels the team needs fresh impetus.
Newcastle's injury problems over the course of the season have been well-documented and they still have a number of players unavailable for selection. Goalkeeper Nick Pope remains out and Callum Wilson will be out for around 12 weeks with a pectoral injury. Sandro Tonali is suspended, while Matt Targett and Joelinton both remain sidelined with thigh problems and Elliot Anderson is out with a back issue. Fabian Schar did return to training during the week following sustaining a wrist injury against Bournemouth and Joe Willock and Alexander Isak are both said to be closed to a return for the Magpies. Isak's return would be welcome given how important he has been to Newcastle this season as along with Bruno Guimaraes and Kieran Trippier, he has been one of the Tynesiders most consistent performers.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Newcastle
B. Saka
(20 Goals)
A. Isak
(23 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
K. Trippier
(11 Assists)
Arsenal - Newcastle Key Points
- Arsenal have the best form in the Premier League over the last five matches, winning them all.
- The Gunners have lost just once at home this season and have the third best record at home in the Premier League.
- Newcastle are unbeaten in their last four and have won their last two away games but despite that they still are ranked 14th in the division in terms of away form this season.
- Newcastle have won just one away game against a team currently in the top half of the Premier League this season. Losing four and drawing two of the other games against top ten teams on the road.
- Both teams have scored in none of the last 11 games between Arsenal and Newcastle United.
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Our Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction
Arsenal vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle United) to be booked
Arsenal vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to the Arsenal v Newcastle United game on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate with kick off at 8pm UK Time on Saturday evening.
if you are not available to tune in to the live action on TV, then you can catch all the latest incidents and major events in the game by following our Arsenal v Newcastle United livescore page, which will contain reams of data on the match, including text highlights of the action.
Paul Tierney will be the official in charge for the Arsenal vs Newcastle United Premier League clash at the Emirates Stadium, kick off 8pm on Saturday night.
Mr Tierney has officiated in 16 games in the Premier League this season, second only to Anthony Taylor. He has handed out 52 yellow cards in those games (3.25 per game) and 3 red cards over that period too.
He has officiated Arsenal twice in the Premier League this season, first in a 2-2 draw with Fulham at the Emirates and then in their recent 5-0 win over Crystal Palace in January 2024. He has not yet officiated a Newcastle United game this season.
Neil Davies and Nick Hopton will be the assistant referees running the line, with Anthony Taylor as the fourth official. Peter Bankes will be the on duty VAR official assisted by Lee Betts.
None of the last eleven games between Arsenal and Newcastle have seen both teams score in the same match.
Arsenal have won eight of those games (1-0 once, 2-0 five times, 3-0 once and 4-0 once), Newcastle two (1-0 once, 2-0 once), with one 0-0 draw between the two.
The last game that saw both teams score in the same 90 minutes took place in September 2018 at St James' Park when Arsenal defeated Newcastle 2-1 thanks to goals from Granit Xhaka and Mesut Ozil, with Ciaran Clark getting a late 90th minute consolation for the home team.
Since 2012, Arsenal have won 20 of the 23 games between the two teams, with just two wins for Newcastle and one drawn in that run.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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