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Arsenal vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Arsenal and Monaco will be aiming to maintain their top-eight status in the UEFA Champions League when they meet at the Emirates Stadium on Wednesday night. The Gunners and the Monegasques are level on 10 points and are seventh and eighth respectively in the League Phase standings. Check out our match prediction below!
The only previous meetings between these sides in this competition were back in 2014-15, when they split the results one win piece. Monaco have won five of their last seven matches against English opposition but this will be the first such meeting since 2017. Arsenal, meanwhile, have won the second-most home games (six) in the Champions League since the start of last season - only behind Barcelona and Bayern Munich (seven each).
Despite these sides being level on points after five rounds, the hosts are installed as short-priced favourites in this contest. Let’s take a look at the form guides and key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Monaco Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.91 | 7.98 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.91 | 7.98 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.5 | 8.25 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.3 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.3 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.8 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.8 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.75 | 8.9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.8 | 8.7 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.25 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.75 | 10.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Monaco?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Monaco match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2024 between Arsenal and Monaco in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.09% for a win of Arsenal against Monaco with odds of 1.36 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Monaco is 16.51% with odds of 5.91 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs Arsenal with odds of 10.5 at Unibet.
Arsenal - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Monaco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 61.09% | 1.36 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.33% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 61.9% | 1.91 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 27.31% | 1.92 at Betsson |
Arsenal vs Monaco Form
Arsenal and Monaco's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
|
16
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Arsenal and Monaco Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
Arsenal - Monaco: Form Analysis
Arsenal saw the gap to the Premier League leaders widen to six points over the weekend when they only managed a 1-1 draw against Fulham at Craven Cottage.
While that result was not what Mikel Arteta would have wanted, it did take the Gunners to six matches unbeaten, a period during which they trounced Sporting Lisbon 5-1 in this competition.
The hosts have also kept three clean sheets in the Champions League this season, which takes their tally to six over the last two seasons - the most of any team across that period.
In 2024, Arsenal have scored 20 goals from set pieces in the Premier League!
Meanwhile, Monaco bounced back from consecutive defeats to Benfica on matchday four and Marseille four days later with a morale-boosting 2-0 victory over Toulouse at the weekend.
With that, the Red and Whites have now scored two or more goals in four of their last five games, which is the same record they possess in the Champions League after the first five matches.
The visitors are unbeaten on the road in this competition, having drawn against Dinamo Zagreb and beaten Bologna. They have only lost two of their nine away matches all season.
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Arsenal against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
B. White
G. Magalhaes
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
E. Diop
K. Diatta
ForwardF. Balogun
Arsenal & Monaco Squad Analysis
Arteta is facing a serious injury crisis at present, particularly in defence, with no fewer than five players either ruled out or questionable for this matchup.
The confirmed absentees for the Gunners are Takehiro Tomiyasu and Ben White, both of whom are currently nursing knee injuries and are likely to miss the remainder of the year.
Oleksandr Zinchenko was an unexpected late withdrawal against Fulham and will need to pass a fitness test ahead of this match, while Riccardo Calafiori and Gabriel Magalhaes are also listed as doubts.
Defenders William Saliba and Gabriel have scored four goals combined in Arsenal’s last four matches!
Adi Hutter’s side were dealt a double blow over the weekend with midfield duo Denis Zakaria and Soungoutou Magassa both sustaining injuries in the lead-up to the match. Both players are major doubts for the trip to London as well.
Krepin Diatta (muscle) and Edan Diop (foot) are both sidelined for at least another two weeks, while Wilfried Singo was sent off in the last match and will be serving his one-match suspension.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Monaco
K. Havertz
(10 Goals)
E. Ben Seghir
(5 Goals)
B. Saka
(12 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(5 Assists)
Arsenal - Monaco Key Points
- Three of Arsenal’s last four matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Arsenal have scored in six consecutive matches ahead of this one.
- Four of Monaco’s five Champions League matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Monaco have scored in eight of their last nine matches.
- Monaco have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 games in all competitions.
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Our Arsenal vs Monaco Prediction
While Arsenal are the clear favourites in this match, they put in a fairly underwhelming performance over the weekend and were well below their usual defensive standard owing to injuries.
That will give Monaco plenty of incentive to go at the Gunners' backline in this match, and they certainly possess more than enough firepower to breach what should be a put-together back-four by Arteta. The hosts should get the win, but our Arsenal vs Monaco prediction is both teams to score.
Arsenal vs Monaco - Other Interesting Predictions
Gabriel Magalhaes Over 0.5 shots
Arsenal have scored 20 Premier League goals from set-pieces excluding penalties in 2024, and six of the last eight top-flight goals have come from corners. Gabriel scored from corners in each of his last two starts and is averaging 0.92 shots per 90 this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Monaco
| Arsenal vs Monaco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.27 | 1.33 | +4.7% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.75 | +9.5% |
| Monaco wins | 11 | 7.5 | -31.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 75.2% (-3.6%)
Use £30 free bets for the Arsenal vs. Monaco game!
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Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Arsenal vs Monaco match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Arsenal and Monaco will be played on December 11 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Arsenal and Monaco will take place at the Emirates Stadium in London.
The UEFA Champions League match between Arsenal and Monaco will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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