England - FA Cup
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Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Steve Ashfield in FA Cup Predictions
The match of the FA Cup third round sees Arsenal home to the cup holders Manchester United in an all-Premier League clash. Between them these two clubs have won the FA Cup 27 times with Arsenal winning 14 and the Red Devils 13. United are the cup holders and this competition represents one of their best chances to secure European football next season. It’s been a dismal few weeks for them despite appointing a new coach. The recent draw at Liverpool may give them some hope of a better 2025.
Arsenal last won the FA Cup in 2020 and since then have failed to get past round four. Drawing Manchester City and Liverpool in the past two seasons hasn’t helped though. Now they have another tough third round tie, the second in a run of five consecutive home matches. Can the Gunners make it into round four? Read our match prediction below.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.75 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.92 | 4.71 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.92 | 4.71 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.85 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.94 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.9 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.7 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Manchester United match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/01/2025 between Arsenal and Manchester United in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.93% for a win of Arsenal against Manchester United with odds of 1.75 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Manchester United is 17.03% with odds of 3.94 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Arsenal with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
Arsenal vs Manchester United Form
Arsenal and Manchester United Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Sep 2023 - Premier League
22 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jan 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Arsenal have lost four of their last five FA Cup matches so are probably overdue for a run in this competition. They are second in the Premier League but struggling to keep up with leaders Liverpool.
Midweek saw them lose 2-0 at home to Newcastle United in the first leg of their Carabao Cup semi-final. They certainly won't want an early FA Cup exit to swiftly follow that disappointing result.
Are United finally finding some form?
Manchester United ended a poor run of results with a 2-2 draw at Liverpool. They led and trailed in that match but at least it wasn’t another defeat after losing four in a row. Not since 2014 have United been beaten in the third round of the FA Cup.
They have conceded eight goals in their last three matches but have scored five themselves. United lost 2-0 to Arsenal last month but did win at the Emirates in 2019. Their last five FA Cup away games have been won but both teams have scored in three of the last four.
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Missing players
B. White
T. Tomiyasu
ForwardB. Saka
R. Sterling
K. Havertz
L. Shaw
MidfielderM. Mount
Arsenal & Manchester United Squad Analysis
There's been little change in the Arsenal injury situation after their midweek Carabao Cup loss. The Gunners will continue to be without Bukayo Saka, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Ben White and Ehan Nwaneri.
Leandro Trossard began the game against Newcastle and was tried out on the right flank. That didn't work well and he went off at half-time and might not start this FA Cup tie against Manchester United.
Jesus may start for the Gunners.
Gabriel Jesus could well start this cup tie and Riccardo Calafiori is another possible starter. Who'll be in goal? Neto couldn't play in the Carabao Cup but is eligible for this competition so may replace Raya.
Another big question is whether Marcus Rashford will feature for Manchester United. He's rumoured to be on the move this month and missed last weekend's match against Liverpool through illness.
Definitely missing for United will be Victor Lindelof, Luke Shaw and Mason Mount. United do tend to make a fair few changes to their starting line-up and that may well be the case again here, especially with a midweek Premier League game. Altay Bayinder will be in goal for United this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Manchester United
K. Havertz
(12 Goals)
M. Rashford
(7 Goals)
, 
A. Garnacho
(7 Goals)
, 
R. Hojlund
(7 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(11 Assists)
Arsenal - Manchester United Key Points
- Both teams have scored in four of the last six Arsenal matches.
- Seven of the last nine Manchester United away games have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in four of the last five Manchester United FA Cup ties.
- Three of the last four Arsenal home games against Manchester United have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- The last two FA Cup games between these two clubs have both seen each side score.
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Our Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction
Manchester United won't want to lose their grip on the FA Cup. They won the trophy last season and this time around it's one of their few chances to qualify for European football next season. They put in an improved performance against Liverpool last weekend but are still conceding too many goals.
Arsenal had a disappointing midweek result against Newcastle. The FA Cup might also be their best chance of winning a trophy this season. Our main Asenal v Manchester United prediction is both teams to score.
Arsenal vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
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Arsenal vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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