England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Second placed Arsenal host Manchester United who are ninth in the Premier League. This is a rehearsal for their FA Cup third round game in January 2025. Can the Gunners win a fourth straight game? Read our match prediction.
Arsenal had been struggling for form but have returned to their top level of performances with three big wins and 13 goals scored. They are yet to lose a home Premier League game this season but find themselves nine points behind leaders Liverpool.
Manchester United made a slow start to the season both domestically and in Europe. That led to a change of coach and Ruben Amorim has made an impressive start to his reign at Old Trafford. They are unbeaten now in their last seven games in all competitions but this is a big test for them away to Arsenal who they haven't beaten in their last six league visits. Will they get a win on Wednesday?
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 2.9 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.71 | 6.42 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.71 | 6.42 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.8 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.46 | 5 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.86 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.9 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.46 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.46 | 5 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Manchester United match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/12/2024 between Arsenal and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.41% for a win of Arsenal against Manchester United with odds of 1.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Manchester United is 35.95% with odds of 5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Arsenal with odds of 7.2 at Vbet.
Arsenal - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 54.41% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.71% | 1.86 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 25.47% | 4.4 at Betsson |
Arsenal vs Manchester United Form
Arsenal and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
44 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 22 |
|
13
|
26 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -5 |
Arsenal and Manchester United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Sep 2023 - Premier League
22 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jan 2023 - Premier League
4 Sep 2022 - Premier League
Arsenal - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Arsenal have won seven of their 13 games in this season's Premier League with only two defeats. They have scored 26 league goals which is nine more than their opponents in this match. Home form has produced four wins and two draws in six matches and 15 goals have been scored.
Their form had slipped and the gap between them and Liverpool kept growing. They have found their form in the past week or so with wins over Nottingham Forest, Sporting Lisbon and at the weekend, West Ham. 13 goals have been scored in those games.
United back in form under their new coach.
Manchester United are ninth in the table and six points behind their opponents. The Red Devils made a slow start to this season's Premier League but are only four points adrift of the Champions League places.
They are unbeaten in their last seven league and cup games. The weekend saw them beat Everton 4-0 at home and Marcus Rashford is back in form under his new coach. The Reds have only won one away league game this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Arsenal against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
B. White
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
L. Shaw
V. Lindelof
J. Evans
Arsenal & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Arsenal had an impressive 5-2 away win at West Ham on Saturday but have some injury problems ahead of this match. Gabriel went off at half-time in that game and the injury he sustained against Sporting last week hasn't been fully recovered from. He's doubtful for this game and may be replaced by Jakub Kiwior. Thomas Partey and Mikel Merino are also doubts. Ben White and Takehiro Tomiyasu are definitely out due to both having knee problems.
Fernandes is doubtful for this match.
Bruno Fernandes has been in good form for United in recent games. He had to come off against Everton on Sunday after 65 minutes after suffering an ankle injury. He's doubtful for this match and that would be a blow for United.
Harry Maguire is available for selection and may replace Martinez for this match. Leny Yoro is also fit but Victor Lindelof and Johnny Evans aren't expected to play at the Emirates.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Manchester United
K. Havertz
(13 Goals)
A. Diallo
(9 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(11 Assists)
Arsenal - Manchester United Key Points
- The last three Arsenal games have all had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of the last nine Arsenal home matches.
- Three of the last four Manchester United matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last six games played between these two clubs.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction
Both of these clubs have shown much-improved form in recent weeks. Arsenal went through a bad patch and the loss of Odegaard hit them hard. Manchester United had been struggling all season until they changed their coach. Under interim coach Ruud Van Nistelrooy and new boss Amorim, they have turned a corner but still look a bit shaky in defence at times.
United do need to improve their away record and that will be a big task in the coming weeks. Our Arsenal v Manchester United prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Arsenal vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Arsenal to win and both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Manchester United
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.6 | 1.42 | -11.3% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.5 | +12.5% |
| Manchester United wins | 5.5 | 6.5 | +18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 70.4% (7.9%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Arsenal vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
