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Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Second placed Arsenal are home to defending champions Manchester City on Sunday afternoon. City are fourth in the table but will be as low as sixth in the table if Newcastle and Bournemouth pick up points on Saturday. Here's our match prediction.
The Gunners begin the weekend six points behind leaders Liverpool. The gap could be as much as nine if the Reds win away at Bournemouth on Saturday afternoon. Arsenal really can't afford to drop more points, especially as Liverpool will have a game in hand on them.
Manchester City are six points behind their opponents and had a nervous midweek. They had to come from behind to win over Club Brugge and reach the Champions League play-off stages. While the Citizens have won their last two Premier League games, they are still a dozen points behind Liverpool and will be hoping Bournemouth can beat them this weekend. It seems their main task now is to ensure a top four finish is achieved.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.85 | 3.87 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.85 | 3.87 |
|
|
1.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.6 | 3.92 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.6 | 3.92 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.95 | 4 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.66 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.89 | 4.1 | 3.84 |
|
|
1.88 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.5 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 3.9 |
|
|
3.9 | 4.15 | 1.88 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Manchester City match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/02/2025 between Arsenal and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.26% for a win of Arsenal against Manchester City with odds of 3.9 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Manchester City is 29.18% with odds of 4.15 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Arsenal with odds of 4 at Bet365.
Arsenal - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 42.26% | 3.9 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.94% | 1.81 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 16.5% | 6.2 at Betsson |
Arsenal vs Manchester City Form
Arsenal and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
54 | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 28 |
|
4
|
47 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
Arsenal and Manchester City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
Arsenal vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
6 Aug 2023 - Community Shield
26 Apr 2023 - Premier League
15 Feb 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Arsenal won 2-1 at Girona on Wednesday to clinch their place in the last 16 of the Champions League. That was their third successive victory after wins against Dinamo Zagreb and Wolverhampton Wanderers.
In the Premier League, the Gunners are unbeaten in their last 13 games since an away loss at Newcastle United. Five games have been drawn though and that's allowed Liverpool to open up a gap at the top of the table.
Arsenal are yet to lose a home league game this season.
Home form has seen Arsenal win seven and draw four league games. They are the only side in the Premier League yet to suffer a home league defeat this season.
Manchester City have come through their bad patch but still look a vulnerable side at times. That was shown in that midweek win over Club Brugge. The Blues are unbeaten in their last six league fixtures with four of the last five being won.
On the road, City have won two of their last three league matches with ten goals scored.
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Players list
D. Raya
DefenderJ. Timber
W. Saliba
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderR. Calafiori
M. Merino
T. Partey
D. Rice
E. Nwaneri
ForwardG. Martinelli
R. Sterling
S. Ortega
DefenderJ. Gvardiol
M. Akanji
J. Stones
MidfielderM. Nunes
M. Kovacic
B. Silva
Savinho
J. McAtee
ForwardK. De Bruyne
E. Haaland
Substitutes
Neto
DefenderR. Calafiori
K. Tierney
J. Kiwior
O. Zinchenko
MidfielderM. Merino
Jorginho
ForwardR. Sterling
E. Nwaneri
S. Carson
DefenderA. Khusanov
R. Lewis
V. Reis
MidfielderN. O'Reilly
J. Grealish
I. Gundogan
J. McAtee
K. De Bruyne
Missing players
T. Tomiyasu
ForwardB. Saka
G. Jesus
O. Bobb
Rodri
Arsenal & Manchester City Squad Analysis
After his sending off against Wolves was overturned, Myles Lewis-Skelly is able to be selected against Manchester City. David Raya is doubtful for this match and if he can't play then Neto will be between the sticks for them.
The Gunners continue to be without Gabriel Jesus, Bukayo Saka, Ben White and Takehiro Tomiyasu. Attempts to sign Ollie Watkins from Aston Villa have so far been unsuccessful. Leading the line for the home side will be Kai Havertz, with the German having found the net 14 times in 32 appearances across all competitions so far this season.
New signings could feature for City.
Manchester City have been busy in the transfer market and their three signings are all able to play this weekend. That wasn't the case for the midweek Champions League match. Abdukodir Khusanov, Omar Marmoush and Vitor Reis could all feature against Arsenal.
There are still plenty of injury problems for City though and none of those on the injured list are fit enough yet to make their return.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Manchester City
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
E. Haaland
(28 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Savinho
(9 Assists)
Arsenal - Manchester City Key Points
- Both teams have scored in seven of City's last nine games.
- Four of the last six games between these two clubs have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in seven of the last ten Manchester City away matches.
- The reverse fixture this season ended 2-2.
- Six of the last nine Arsenal games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction
The last two Arsenal home league games have seen both teams score. That looks a statistic that could well come up again this weekend as they host Manchester City. The statistics for previous meetings between these two Premier League giants certainly points us in that direction.
Both teams are in good form at present but keeping clean sheets isn't happening a great deal. While Arsenal still need a new striker, they should be able to score against City's often fragile defence. Our main Arsenal v Manchester City prediction is both teams to score.
Arsenal vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Manchester City
| Arsenal vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 2.1 | 1.85 | -11.9% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.75 | +10.3% |
| Manchester City wins | 3.4 | 4 | +17.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 54.1% (6.4%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Arsenal vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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