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Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The headline fixture in the English Premier League this weekend will come to us from the Emirates Stadium, where Arsenal will be facing off against Liverpool on Sunday evening. The Gunners are currently in third place in the league standings, while the Reds are sat atop the table after the first eight games. Check out our match prediction below.
Arsenal have won their last two Premier League home games against Liverpool and are now gunning for three in a row for the first time since between 2004 and 2006. The hosts are also unbeaten in their last four (home and away) against this opponent, though Liverpool have scored in each of their last 17 league matches against the Gunners dating back to 2015.
According to the latest bookmakers odds, the Gunners are the favourites to win this match, but Liverpool have been in great form this season, currently leading the league, and cannot be written off. To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.69 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.69 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 3 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.52 | 2.81 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.52 | 2.81 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.45 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.58 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.35 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.35 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.45 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Liverpool match is: Double Chance - Draw or Liverpool wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/10/2024 between Arsenal and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.09% for a win of Arsenal against Liverpool with odds of 2.55 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Liverpool is 17.92% with odds of 3.69 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Arsenal with odds of 3.45 at Vbet.
Arsenal - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 46.99% | 3.45 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.22% | 2 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | 1.7 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool | 16.94% | 5.6 at Betsson |
Arsenal vs Liverpool Form
Arsenal and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Arsenal and Liverpool Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
23 Dec 2023 - Premier League
9 Apr 2023 - Premier League
9 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Arsenal - Liverpool: Form Analysis
After being reduced to 10 men last time out, Arsenal suffered a 2-0 defeat to Bournemouth on the road which brought an end to their unbeaten record this season (W5 D2 L1).
That result has left the Gunners on 17 points, four behind the current league leaders, while Aston Villa are hot on their heels in fourth with the same points tally.
Still, the hosts are unbeaten at home this season with three wins and a draw in four matches, while the last time they were defeated at the Emirates was in mid-April against the Villans.
Notably, the loss to Bournemouth was the first time Arsenal failed to score in their last 14 league games!
Meanwhile, since conceding a shock home loss to Nottingham Forest last month, Liverpool have been flawless, and enter this match carrying an eight-match winning streak across all competitions.
Last weekend, the Reds secured a 2-1 victory over Chelsea, which was just the third goal they have conceded in the league this term - still the best defensive record in the division.
On the road, Liverpool have won all four league games this season and maintained clean sheets in three. Their last away defeat was against arch-rivals Everton back in April last season.
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Arsenal against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
K. Tierney
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
Alisson
MidfielderH. Elliott
F. Chiesa
ForwardD. Jota
Arsenal & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Arsenal were dealt a significant injury blow in midweek, with Riccardo Calafiori sustaining a knee injury that forced him off during their Champions League match against Shakhtar Donetsk.
That could prove a major factor for the Gunners’ defence this week given that Takehiro Tomiyasu, Jurrien Timber and Kieran Tierney are all sidelined at present due to injury.
Additionally, the hosts will also have to make do without the services of their captain Martin Odegaard owing to an ankle injury, while William Saliba is suspended after being sent off last weekend.
However, on the positive, reports in the build-up suggest that Bukayo Saka could return for this clash!
Liverpool are also expected to be missing a few first-team regulars for this match, starting with first-choice goalkeeper Allison Becker, who is out with a strained hamstring.
Conor Bradley is also ruled out with a knock and Harvey Elliott is still on the road to recovery after fracturing his foot while playing for the England Under-21s.
In attack, Diogo Jota is flagged as a major doubt after only playing 30 minutes against Chelsea before picking up a rib injury and Federico Chiesa is sidelined owing to a lack of fitness.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Liverpool
K. Havertz
(7 Goals)
M. Salah
(10 Goals)
B. Saka
(7 Assists)
M. Salah
(10 Assists)
Arsenal - Liverpool Key Points
- Arsenal are missing several key players in defence for this match.
- Arsenal have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last four league games.
- Liverpool are on an eight-match winning streak across all competitions.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in five of their last six away league games.
- Liverpool have only conceded three goals in eight league matches this season.
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Our Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction
While Arsenal do have home advantage and enter this match as favourites, they are fairly short-handed at the moment, particularly in defence, with Saliba out and Calafiori unlikely to feature.
Liverpool, meanwhile, arrive in North London in fine form, riding an eight-match winning streak and yet to drop a point on the road this season. The Gunners will still be very tough to beat but we feel that the visitors will not leave this match empty-handed. Our Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction: Double Chance - Draw or Liverpool wins!
Arsenal vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Over their last four league games, Arsenal have conceded two or more goals on three occasions, and three games in that period ended with over 2.5 goals in total. Additionally, three of Liverpool's last four league matches have ended with three or more goals scored.
Both teams to score
Both these sides have only failed to score in one of their eight league matches this season. Also, five of the last six matches between these two in all competitions have seen both teams find the back of the net.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Liverpool
| Arsenal vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 2 | 2.2 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.3 | -8.3% |
| Liverpool wins | 3.6 | 3.3 | -8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 30.3% (2.5%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Arsenal vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Liverpool will be played on October 27 at 17:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Liverpool will take place at the Emirates Stadium in London.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Liverpool will be broadcast on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League in the UK.
However, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Anthony Taylor will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Gary Beswick, Adam Nunn and Samuel Barrott as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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