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Arsenal vs Leicester Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Fourth placed Arsenal host Leicester City who are 15th in the Premier League. The Gunners begin the weekend two poinits behind leaders Manchester City. They'd be top themselves but for that late equalizer City scored against them last Sunday. Here's our match prediction for this Premier League fixture.
That was their second draw in three league games for Arsenal but they remain unbeaten in the Premier League this season. With a strong home league record, Arteta's side will be confident of earning another three league points on Saturday.
Leicester City are still waiting to get their first win since returning to the Premier League. The Foxes are eight points behind their opponents but a couple above the drop zone which has to be their main focus. With three draws so far in their five games, City are proving difficult at times to beat. Can they play well enough to get a point at the Emirates though?
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Leicester Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.7 | 9 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.69 | 14 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.69 | 14 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.25 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.4 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.4 | 13 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.4 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.3 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.4 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 16 |
|
|
1.17 | 8 | 16 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.6 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.2 | 15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Leicester?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Leicester match is: Arsenal to win and lead at both half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Arsenal and Leicester in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.82% for a win of Arsenal against Leicester with odds of 1.36 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Leicester is 29.68% with odds of 8 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Arsenal with odds of 16 at Unibet.
Arsenal - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Leicester Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 58.82% | 1.36 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.23% | 1.62 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 32.32% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Leicester Form
Arsenal and Leicester's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
33 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 18 |
|
17
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -16 |
Arsenal and Leicester Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Aug 2024 - Premier League
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Arsenal vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Feb 2023 - Premier League
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
13 Mar 2022 - Premier League
30 Oct 2021 - Premier League
28 Feb 2021 - Premier League
25 Oct 2020 - Premier League
Arsenal - Leicester: Form Analysis
Arsenal are one of four sides in the Premier League yet to taste defeat. They have won three of their five league matches with the other two against Brighton and Manchester City ending level.
Wins have come at home against Wolverhampton Wanderers and on the road at Aston Villa and Tottenham. Midweek saw them make plenty of changes for their Carabao Cup game against Bolton but still secured a 5-1 home win.
Leicester are looking for their first league win of the season.
Leicester City have drawn three of their five league matches this season. They began with a home draw against Tottenham (after trailing) but then lost at Fulham. Their next home game also ended in defeat as they lost 2-1 to Aston Villa.
A 2-0 lead at Crystal Palace ended in a disappointing 2-2 draw. They drew their last league game too, coming from behind in a 1-1 home stalemate with Everton. Midweek saw them need penalties to win at Walsall in the Carabao Cup.
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Players list
D. Raya
DefenderJ. Timber
W. Saliba
G. Magalhaes
R. Calafiori
MidfielderD. Rice
E. Nwaneri
G. Jesus
ForwardB. Saka
K. Havertz
R. Sterling
M. Hermansen
DefenderJ. Justin
W. Faes
I. Fatawu
V. Kristiansen
MidfielderB. El Khannouss
H. Winks
J. Ayew
O. Edouard
ForwardB. De Cordova-Reid
J. Vardy
Substitutes
Neto
DefenderJ. Kiwior
M. Kacurri
J. Nichols
MidfielderJorginho
M. Lewis-Skelly
ForwardE. Nwaneri
G. Jesus
R. Sterling
D. Ward
DefenderR. Pereira
C. Coady
MidfielderH. Choudhury
B. El Khannouss
I. Fatawu
J. Ayew
B. De Cordova-Reid
O. Edouard
Missing players
B. White
T. Tomiyasu
O. Zinchenko
Arsenal & Leicester Squad Analysis
Both sides made several team changes for their midweek Carabao Cup fixtures. Arsenal blooded several youngsters in their 5-1 home win over Bolton. They will be recalling those players rested when naming their line-up for this match.
Trossard will be back for the Gunners.
Leandro Trossard has served his one-match suspension for being sent off against Manchester City. They are expected to be without Raya for this match and Neto is likely to again be between the sticks.
Jurrien Timber has an injury and is also doubtful for this Premier League match against Leicester City. Martin Odegaard remains on the injured list which also includes Kieran Tierney and Oleksandr Zinchenko.
Leicester City will be without Patson Daka and Jakub Stolarczyk for this match. They will also be bringing back the several players that didn't take part against Walsall in midweek.
Jamie Vardy, who has often been linked with a move to Arsenal in the past will be one of those returning players. He's scored 11 goals against the Gunners in 16 previous matches and the 37-year-old would love another this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Leicester
K. Havertz
(11 Goals)
J. Vardy
(6 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
W. Ndidi
(4 Assists)
Arsenal - Leicester Key Points
- Arsenal are unbeaten in league and cup games this season.
- Leicester City are yet to win a Premier League match this term.
- Arsenal have gone 11 Premier League games without defeat.
- Arsenal have earned 25 points from their last 10 home Premier League matches.
- Leicester have gone ten away Premier League matches without a victory.
- Arsenal have only lost once at home to Leicester since 1973, that was in 2020.
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Our Arsenal vs Leicester Prediction
Arsenal so nearly went top of the Premier League last weekend. Just how vital will that late equalizer by City be at the end of the season? The Gunners have an ideal opportunity to get back into winning ways this weekend.
They are strong at home with plenty of goals being scored by them. Leicester City have already conceded eight league goals this season and are yet to win a league game since making their return to the top flight. Our main Arsenal v Leicester City prediction is Arsenal to win and lead at half and full time.
Arsenal vs Leicester - Other Interesting Predictions
Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Leicester
| Arsenal vs Leicester | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.17 | 1.2 | +2.6% |
| Draw | 7 | 7.5 | +7.1% |
| Leicester wins | 15 | 13 | -13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 83.3% (-2.1%)
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Arsenal vs Leicester match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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