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Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Super Sunday in the Premier League kicks off with a London Derby at the Emirates Stadium where Arsenal will face off against familiar foes Chelsea. The Gunners are in second place in the league standings, while the Blues are six points behind them in fourth. Check out our match prediction below!
Arsenal have enjoyed the bulk of success in this fixture in recent times, having remained unbeaten in their last six Premier League matches against this opponent (W4 D2 L0). This is their longest run without defeat against the Blues since between 1995 and 2005 (19 games). Chelsea, meanwhile, have lost their last two away games against the Gunners, including a 5-0 drubbing in this exact fixture last season.
The latest bookmaker odds show the hosts installed as the clear favourites, but can the visitors spoil the party on enemy territory? Let’s get into the key stats at play between these cross-town rivals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.6 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.91 | 4.53 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.91 | 4.53 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.7 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.75 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.75 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.77 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.65 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.7 | 4.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Chelsea match is: Chelsea +1.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2025 between Arsenal and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.68% for a win of Arsenal against Chelsea with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Chelsea is 27.74% with odds of 3.91 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Arsenal with odds of 4.6 at Betfred.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Form
Arsenal and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
55 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 28 |
|
4
|
49 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
Arsenal and Chelsea Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
20 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
23 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
2 May 2023 - Premier League
6 Nov 2022 - Premier League
23 Jul 2022 - Florida Cup
Arsenal - Chelsea: Form Analysis
While they still have a game in hand, Arsenal saw the gap to league leaders Liverpool widen to 15 points last week when they were held to a 1-1 draw by Manchester United at Old Trafford.
The Gunners have now failed to win any of their last three league games (W0 D2 L1), a notable downturn after going 15 matches unbeaten between November and mid-February (W10 D5 L0).
The hosts lost their last home game 1-0 to West Ham United - they have never lost back-to-back London Derby matches at the Emirates, However, they did lose to Chelsea and the Irons at Highbury in 2005-06.
Arsenal have won six of their last nine Premier League games against Chelsea (W6 D2 L1)!
Meanwhile, Chelsea moved back into the Champions League qualification zone last weekend when they managed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Leicester City at Stamford Bridge.
That victory marked the Blues' second clean sheet in succession - they have only kept consecutive clean sheets on one other occasion this season, back in mid-September.
However, the visitors have been very poor on the road of late, currently riding a three-match losing streak and winless in their last six (W0 D2 L4), dating back to the start of December.
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Arsenal vs Chelsea last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
T. Tomiyasu
ForwardB. Saka
G. Jesus
K. Havertz
M. Gusto
ForwardM. Mudryk
O. Kellyman
N. Jackson
N. Madueke
M. Guiu
Arsenal & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Arsenal have been ravaged by injury, particularly in attack, this season, which has allowed Ethan Nwaneri to receive an extended run in the team.
The 17-year-old has scored eight goals across all competitions and was rested for the side’s midweek clash against PSV, which could mean he will be part of the attacking trio this weekend.
Centre-forward has been a problematic spot for Mikel Arteta since Kai Havertz’s season-ending injury. Mikel Merino has led the line in recent times, but Leandro Trossard is also an option this week.
Cole Palmer has gone over 600 minutes without scoring in the Premier League!
Indeed, the England international has been performing well below the levels we saw at the start of the season, when he had 20 direct goal contributions in 20 games (14 goals, 6 assists).
Marc Cucurella has been invaluable to the Blues in recent weeks. He has scored in his last two starts for his team, taking his goal tally to four for the season. The Spaniard is now the second-highest-scoring defender in the top flight behind Josko Gvardiol (5).
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Chelsea
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
E. Fernandez
(8 Assists)
Arsenal and Chelsea Stats in Premier League
Arsenal - Chelsea Key Points
- Arsenal are winless in their last three league games.
- Arsenal have only won two of their last nine league games by two clear goals.
- Arsenal have only won one of their last six home games by two clear goals.
- Chelsea have only lost one of their last five league games by two clear goals.
- Chelsea are on a four-match win streak across all competitions.
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Our Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Arsenal have dominated this fixture at this venue in recent seasons, but it’s difficult to overlook their attacking issues. The side is lacking a specialist number nine and has failed to score in two of their last three league games.
Chelsea, on the other hand, scored five goals in their last two league games, but more impressively, they kept clean sheets in both those matches. The hosts are still expected to win this match, but we feel it will not be by more than one goal. Our Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction is Chelsea +1.
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Arsenal wins the match
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last six league matches against this opponent (W4 D2 L0) and won six of the last nine encounters. Chelsea are winless in their last six away league matches (W0 D2 L4).
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Arsenal vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea will be played on March 16 at 13:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea will take place at the Emirates Stadium in London.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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