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31 August 2024 - 07:30 

- Day 3

England - Premier League

Arsenal
VS
Brighton

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Sridhar in Premier League Predictions

Two of the four unbeaten Premier League sides will be in action in London as Arsenal host Brighton this weekend. This match will be played at the Emirates Stadium at lunchtime on Saturday, with our prediction of being a tight game with not more than three goals scored.

Both teams have won their first two matches of the season and are primed for an interesting match here. The Gunners have laid down the marker for the title race, and early signs are that Manchester City will have to battle it out with Arsenal to win this season.

Brighton is angling for a new beginning under the youngest manager in the league, Fabian Hürzeler, but their performance against United shows that they can’t be taken lightly. Arsenal will be a tough cookie, though, at home, and that gives the hosts a slight advantage.

Will the Gunners continue their winning start and make it three wins out of three? Is it the Seagulls who will stop the home team’s flight and make their mark? Read on to find more.

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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Brighton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.5 1.53 4.33
Ladbrokes
1.35 5.25 8
1xbet
5.68 1.58 4.48
22bet
5.68 1.58 4.48
Betobet
1.37 5.25 8
Betwinner
1.32 5.85 8
Stake
5.25 1.5 4.2
Melbet
1.32 5.8 8.1
Tonybet
1.36 5.6 8
Check all Arsenal vs Brighton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Brighton?

Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Brighton match is: Under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2024 between Arsenal and Brighton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.75% for a win of Arsenal against Brighton with odds of 5.68 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Brighton is 13.39% with odds of 5.85 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Arsenal with odds of 8.1 at Melbet.

Arsenal - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:

Arsenal Brighton Prediction Probability Odds
Arsenal wins 53.75% 5.68 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 64.01% 2.32 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 59.17% 1.8 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal 22.02% 2.05 at Bet365

Arsenal vs Brighton Form

Arsenal and Brighton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Arsenal
Arsenal
11 5 3 2 0 5
7
Brighton
Brighton
9 5 2 3 0 4

Arsenal and Brighton Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  2
Arsenal

17 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Wolves

11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Lyon

7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
4 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  1
Arsenal

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
2 :  1
Manchester United
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Brighton
4 :  0
Crawley Town

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester United

17 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  3
Brighton

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
4 :  0
Villarreal

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

QPR
0 :  1
Brighton

28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Tokyo Verdy
2 :  4
Brighton

Arsenal against Brighton : Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

50 %

Draw

0 %

Brighton

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.67
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Arsenal

17 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton

14 May 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  3
Brighton

31 Dec 2022 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  4
Arsenal

9 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  3
Brighton

9 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Brighton
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Arsenal - Brighton: Form Analysis

Arsenal started their hunt for a Premier League title with back-to-back wins. They defeated Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0 at home and followed it up with a 2-0 win over Aston Villa away from home. The win at Villa Park was a tough one, as the Gunners had to dig deep and saw their goals arrive beyond the hour mark.

With Tottenham and Manchester City up next in the league, Arsenal coach Mikel Arteta knows that he can’t afford to drop points here. Home form should give them hope of doing that, as the Gunners have won nine of their last ten Premier League matches at this venue.

Arsenal did a league double over Brighton last season.

Brighton is a different entity this time, though, as they started this season under new manager Fabian Hürzeler with three competitive wins. They defeated Everton 3-0 and Manchester United 2-1 in the league before defeating Crawley Town 4-0 in the League Cup.

The win against Everton was aided by a red card for Ashley Young, but the victory over United was driven by a late stoppage time goal. The midweek win over Crawley was along expected lines, and Brighton seem to be ready for bigger challenges starting with this match.

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Players list

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

D. Raya

Defender

B. White

W. Saliba

G. Magalhaes

O. Zinchenko

Midfielder

G. Martinelli

T. Partey

D. Rice

R. Calafiori

Forward

B. Saka

K. Havertz

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

B. Verbruggen

Defender

P. Estupinan

J. van Hecke

L. Dunk

Midfielder

J. Hinshelwood

Y. Ayari

C. Baleba

S. Adingra

Forward

G. Rutter

J. Pedro

J. Enciso

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

T. Setford

Defender

R. Calafiori

L. Trossard

O. Zinchenko

J. Timber

J. Kiwior

Midfielder

S. Oulad M Hand

Jorginho

M. Lewis-Skelly

Forward

G. Martinelli

M. Odegaard

E. Nwaneri

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

Igor

A. Webster

T. Lamptey

P. Estupinan

J. Veltman

Midfielder

Y. Ayari

J. Milner

Forward

S. Adingra

K. Mitoma

G. Rutter

Y. Minteh

J. Enciso

D. Welbeck

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

K. Tierney

T. Tomiyasu

O. Zinchenko

Midfielder

M. Merino

M. Odegaard

Brighton
Brighton
Midfielder

S. March

M. O'Riley

J. Milner

Forward

B. Gruda

Arsenal & Brighton Squad Analysis

Gabriel Jesus missed Arsenal’s last match against Aston Villa due to a groin injury and is set to miss this game too. Kieran Tierney and Takehiro Tomiyasu remain the other absentees for the Gunners.

Mikel Merino has completed his transfer and is available for selection, although the Spaniard could be making an appearance off the bench. It is a former Seagull who’s making the right noises ahead of this match.

Leandro Trossard could make a start for Arsenal.

The Belgian came off the bench against Aston Villa and looked lively while scoring a goal. Trossard featured just 35 minutes this season but averages 1.5 shots per game.

One player from Brighton who’s topping the charts is former Arsenal forward Danny Welbeck. He has two goals and one assist to his name this season, scoring in both Premier League matches. He also averages 2.5 shots per game and two key passes in the season, making him a key player for the visitors.

Brighton will be worried about their latest signing, Matt O’Riley, who has been forced off nine minutes into his debut against Crawley. He joins Solly March on the injury table, while other summer arrivals Mats Wieffer and Brajan Gruda are also unlikely to feature here.

Arsenal - Brighton Key Points

  1. In six of Arsenal’s last seven Premier League home matches, there have been under 3.5 goals scored.
  2. Arsenal have seen fewer than four goals scored in 11 of their last 13 Premier League matches.
  3. Brighton’s last seven Premier League matches have all witnessed three or fewer goals scored.
  4. Likewise, Brighton’s last seven away Premier League matches have also seen under 3.5 goals scored.
  5. The last three Premier League matches between Arsenal and Brighton have all seen three or fewer goals scored.
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Our Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction

Brighton made a great start to life under new manager Fabian Hürzeler, including a win against Manchester United last time out. Yet, Arsenal is a different fish altogether. The Gunners have been a tough team to beat, especially in their home conditions.

Mikel Arteta has conditioned the side to be a defensive powerhouse, and that could see them keep the goals at a minimum here. That’s why our prediction for Arsenal v Brighton is for under 3.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Arsenal vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions

Bukayo Saka to score anytime

Bukayo Saka has started this season in smashing form, scoring one and assisting two goals in the first two Premier League matches. The Arsenal forward also scored in their last match against Brighton, helping them to a 3-0 win in April. Back the England international to find the back of the net once again.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Brighton

Arsenal vs Brighton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Arsenal wins 1.3 5.5 +323.1%
Draw 5.5 1.53 -72.2%
Brighton wins 8 4.33 -45.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Arsenal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 323.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 18.2% (-58.7%)

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Arsenal vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions

The Arsenal vs Brighton English Premier League match is scheduled for a 12:30 pm UK time kick-off on Saturday, August 31, 2024.
The Arsenal v Brighton match will take place at the Emirates Stadium in London, the home ground for the Gunners.

This Arsenal vs Brighton English Premier League match will be televised live on TNT Sports in the UK. The match can also be caught live online via the Discovery+ App and website.

You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction
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