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Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions
Table-toppers Arsenal host Aston Villa at the Emirates in Sunday's late afternoon clash (4.30pm Kick Off) in the Premier League. The Gunners seeking revenge for their 1-0 defeat at Villa Park back in December.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 5.6 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.43 | 11.2 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.43 | 11.2 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.05 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.05 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.2 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.2 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 6 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
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1.29 | 6.1 | 11 |
|
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1.29 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.6 | 9.7 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.32 | 6 | 9.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Aston Villa?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/04/2024 between Arsenal and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.6% for a win of Arsenal against Aston Villa with odds of 1.32 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Aston Villa is 21.31% with odds of 6.6 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Arsenal with odds of 11.2 at 1xbet.
Arsenal - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 56.6% | 1.32 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.78% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 25.94% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Aston Villa Form
Arsenal and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
89 | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 62 |
|
4
|
68 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
Arsenal and Aston Villa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
12 Mar 2024 - Champions League
9 Mar 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
12 Mar 2024 - Champions League
9 Mar 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
4 Mar 2024 - Premier League
21 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2024 - Conference League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
17 Mar 2024 - Premier League
14 Mar 2024 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2024 - Conference League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
14 Mar 2024 - Conference League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Mar 2024 - Premier League
7 Mar 2024 - Conference League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
31 Aug 2022 - Premier League
19 Mar 2022 - Premier League
22 Oct 2021 - Premier League
6 Feb 2021 - Premier League
Arsenal - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Arsenal come into this game in sensational form in the Premier League. The Gunners have won 10 of their 11 games in the EPL in 2024, scoring an incredible 38 goals in those games and conceding just four. They have lost just once at home this season (to West Ham in December) but they do come into this game having only managed to draw with Bayern Munich in midweek in the Champions League at the Emirates. That 2-2 drew making next week's trip to the Allianz Arena a very tough one. 11 of their 15 home games this season have seen Over 2.5 goals scored in the matches and they have rattled in 38 goals in those games, conceding 13, which is two more than they have conceded on the road this season.
Their opponents Aston Villa have the fourth best away record in the Premier League this season, taking 25 points from their 16 away games. They have lost both away games to other teams in the top three heavily, losing 3-0 at Liverpool in September 2023 and then in their last away game, they were well beaten by Manchester City 4-1 at the Etihad. However, they have won on the road at Tottenham and Chelsea this season which shows they are capable of landing a result against top teams in the capital. Villa have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five on the road, with Over 2.5 goals in four of those games and both teams also scoring in four of them too.
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Arsenal against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
J. Timber
T. Mings
MidfielderE. Buendia
B. Kamara
J. Ramsey
Arsenal & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta has an almost perfectly healthy and full squad to pick from for the game with Aston Villa. Only long-term absentee Jurrien Timber, remains absent from the team and the feeling is that the Dutchman isn't too far away from a return, although it may be next season when he makes his full return. The Gunners have had so many players in great form this season, although notable stars have been the two wingers Bukayo Saka and Emilio Martinelli, center back pairing William Saliba and Gabriel, plus Declan Rice and Martin Odegaard in midfield.
Former Arsenal boss Unai Emery will be without several players for the game against his former club. Long term absentees Emi Buendia, Tyrone Mings and Boubacar Kamara are all out until next season at the earliest, while Matty Cash is unlikely to play as he continues to make his recover from a hamstring injury sustained on international duty with Poland. French defender Clement Lenglet was absent against Lille and remained a doubt for the weekend with what Emery said was a 'small' injury. A further blow is that influential midfielder Douglas Luiz, one of Villa's best and most consistent players, is out through suspension after reaching 10 bookings. He'll miss this game and Aston Villa's next EPL match with Bournemouth next weekend. More positively John McGinn and Ollie Watkins have both returned from niggling injuries and both played last weekend in the 3-3 draw with Brentford and in the midweek 2-1 win over Lille in the Europa Conference League.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Aston Villa
B. Saka
(20 Goals)
O. Watkins
(24 Goals)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
L. Bailey
(14 Assists)
Arsenal - Aston Villa Key Points
- No team has scored more than Arsenal's 75 goals in the Premier League this season. Villa are ranked fourth in that list with 66 goals in their 32 games.
- Four of Arsenal's last five home games have seen over 2.5 goals scored. As have 10 of their last 12 games in the Premier League. They have won 10 of their last 11 EPL games.
- Nine of Aston Villa's last 11 games in the EPL have seen Over 2.5 goals scored.
- Villa have scored 12 goals in their last five away games, winning three, drawing one and losing one.
- Villa were 1-0 winners when the teams met back in December at Villa Park. 12 of the last 17 games between the two have seen Over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction
Prediction :
Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored
Arsenal vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) to Score at Any Time
Arsenal vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
The Arsenal v Aston Villa Premier League match kicks off on Sunday at 4.30pm UK Time and it will be shown live on Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event.
If you can't tune in to the game but want to follow how it is going, SportyTrader's Premier League Livescore pages will have all the updates in real time on the Arsenal v Aston Villa matchup.
Arsenal and Aston Villa first faced off against each other in 1904. They have played a total of 202 games since.
Arsenal have won the most matches between the two with 87 wins, though Villa have 70 victories over that time and there have been 45 draws between the two.
The last eight games between the two have seen four wins a piece. There hasn't been a draw in the last 17 games between the two (Arsenal winning 12, Villa 5), ??with the last draw coming back in November 2012 (a 0-0 draw at Villa Park).
David Coote will take charge of the game between Arsenal and Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday (4.30pm kick off).
It will be his 14th Premier League game refereed this season and the second time refereeing Arsenal, but the fourth time he has taken charge of an Aston Villa game. He has awarded 70 yellow cards in those 13 previous games, as well as three red cards.
Mark Scholes and Tim Wood are designated assistant referees with Paul Tierney the fourth official. Peter Bankes will be the head VAR official assisted by Nick Hopton.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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