Portugal - Liga Portugal
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Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions
Matchday five of the 2024-25 Primeira Liga season gets underway with Arouca playing host to Sporting Lisbon at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Arouquenses are currently in 14th place, while Leoes are sitting atop the league standings. Let's get into the match prediction.
Following a second consecutive season finishing in the top half of the table, Arouca have not made the best start to the 2024-25 league campaign, currently on three points, just one point above the drop zone.
Arouquenses have managed only one victory in the first four games of the season, which came against Nacional, but lost to Vitoria Guimaraes, Moreirense and most recently, 1-0 to Rio Ave.
The hosts have struggled in front of goal, recording just two goals over the span of their four matches and have failed to beat their upcoming opponents in their last three attempts.
Meanwhile, Sporting Lisbon surged to the league title 10 points clear of their closest opponents last season, and have begun this season in the same vein, as they are currently the only side in the top flight with a perfect record after four gameweeks.
Perhaps the most impressive part of their performance so far has been their form in front of goal, with the side already smashing in 16 goals, with the last match ending in a 2-0 victory over Porto.
Sporting have won their last seven in a row in the Primeira Liga and are unbeaten in their previous 25. The last time the Lions lost a league match was in December last year.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arouca v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13 | 5.75 | 1.22 |
|
|
12 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
10.5 | 6.55 | 1.25 |
|
|
10.5 | 6.55 | 1.25 |
|
|
12.5 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
9.5 | 6.2 | 1.27 |
|
|
9.5 | 6.2 | 1.27 |
|
|
11 | 6.4 | 1.23 |
|
|
10 | 6.5 | 1.25 |
|
|
12 | 6.4 | 1.22 |
|
|
14 | 6.5 | 1.17 |
|
|
12 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
11 | 5.8 | 1.24 |
|
|
14 | 7.2 | 1.22 |
|
|
11 | 6.5 | 1.2 |
|
|
12 | 6.5 | 1.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arouca and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting Lisbon -1!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2024 between Arouca and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.01% for a win of Arouca against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 14 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon is 14.76% with odds of 7.2 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 60.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca with odds of 1.27 at Betwinner.
Arouca - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arouca Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 60.22% | 1.27 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.11% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 27.72% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Arouca and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
36 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 33 |
|
18
|
11 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -17 |
Arouca and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
5 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Oct 2023 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2023 - League Cup
29 Oct 2022 - Liga Portugal
5 Mar 2022 - Liga Portugal
Players list
N. Mantl
DefenderC. Lamba
B. Popovic
G. Yalcin
MidfielderT. Esgaio
M. Loum
P. Santos
T. Fukui
ForwardJason
M. Sylla
A. Trezza
F. Israel
DefenderZ. Debast
Goncalo Inacio
G. Catamo
MidfielderD. Braganca
H. Morita
P. Goncalves
ForwardM. Araujo
O. Diomande
M. Edwards
V. Gyokeres
Substitutes
Thiago
DefenderA. Pinto
B. Popovic
Weverson
MidfielderA. Trezza
P. Santos
M. Sylla
P. Gozalbez
G. Yalcin
D. Callai
DefenderI. Fresneda
Quaresma
O. Diomande
H. Morita
G. Catamo
M. Araujo
M. Edwards
C. Harder
Most goals and assists
Arouca
Sporting Lisbon
Jason
(3 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(23 Goals)
C. Gonzalez
(1 Assists)
, 
G. Yalcin
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Trezza
(1 Assists)
, 
I. Rodrigues
(1 Assists)
,
Jason
(1 Assists)
F. Trincao
(9 Assists)
Arouca - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Arouca have failed to score in two of their four league matches this season.
- Sporting Lisbon have won all four matches this season by a -1 handicap.
- Sporting Lisbon are averaging four goals per match this season.
- Sporting Lisbon have kept clean sheets in their last two league games.
- Sporting Lisbon are unbeaten in their last four matches against this opponent.
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Our Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Arouca have not made the best start to the new league season and it is unlikely to improve here as they are set to face a Sporting Lisbon side that have flown out the blocks.
The defending champions, led by the prolific Swede Viktor Gyokeres, have already netted 16 times in just four matches and we feel they will ease to a comfortable victory in this one. Our Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon prediction: Sporting Lisbon -1!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arouca Sporting Lisbon
| Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca wins | 10 | 13 | +30.0% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.75 | +15.0% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.3 | 1.22 | -6.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 82.0% (5.0%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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