Argentina vs Ecuador Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions
A place in the last four beckons as an unstoppable Argentina face a plucky Ecuador in the quarter-finals of the Copa America. This match to be played at the NRG Stadium in Houston will see the Argentines take the field after winning Group A with a 100% record, winning all three matches without conceding. Ecuador scraped through their group in second place, edging Mexico on goal difference.
The winner of this knockout match will go on to face the winner of Venezuela vs Canada in the semi-finals. The likes of Brazil, Uruguay, and Colombia are in the bottom half. With Lionel Messi back in full training and available for selection, the Albiceleste look better placed to continue their march towards back-to-back Copa America titles. Ecuador will hope that they can continue to punch above their weight. Can La Tri turn the tables and cause a shock upset, or will it be the status quo in this big match? Let’s take a deeper look at our prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Argentina v Ecuador Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.4 | 4.2 | 11 |
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1.48 | 3.8 | 8 |
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1.88 | 1.04 | 2.03 |
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1.88 | 1.04 | 2.03 |
|
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1.44 | 4.1 | 8.25 |
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1.46 | 4.2 | 9.2 |
|
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1.43 | 4.2 | 8.6 |
|
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1.45 | 4.3 | 8.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Argentina and Ecuador?
Our prediction for the Argentina vs Ecuador match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 7/4/24 between Argentina and Ecuador in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.02% for a win of Argentina against Ecuador with odds of 1.88 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Argentina vs Ecuador is 16.66% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs Argentina with odds of 11 at Bet365.
Argentina - Ecuador Prediction and Best Odds:
| Argentina Ecuador Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 68.02% | 1.88 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 66.84% | 2.17 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 23.33% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Argentina | 29.5% | 4 at Bet365 |
Argentina vs Ecuador Form
Argentina and Ecuador Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Argentina against Ecuador : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
3 Jul 2021 - Copa America
8 Oct 2020 - World Cup
13 Oct 2019 - International Friendlies
Argentina - Ecuador: Form Analysis
World Champions Argentina showed their class and mettle with three consecutive wins in the group stage, topping Group A with nine points. A 2-0 win over Canada in the opener was followed up by a 1-0 win over Chile in the second match, with Lautaro Martinez netting the 88th-minute winner.
With qualification secured, the defending champions were afforded the opportunity to rest a few regulars for the final group stage game. Lautaro Martinez once again grabbed the spotlight, with the reigning Serie A top goalscorer's brace leading Argentina to a 2-0 win over Peru.
This trio of wins means that Argentina have now won their last eight on the trot, with six of those coming with a clean sheet. Since their World Cup triumph in December of 2022, Scaloni's men have won 16 of their 17 games while allowing just four total goals.
Additionally, the Albiceleste have won their last nine consecutive Copa America matches.
Ecuador qualified second in Group B, edging past Mexico via goal differential after both nations finished with identical 1-1-1 records. The Tricolor had early ground to make up after opening the group stage with a 2-1 loss to Venezuela, which also saw captain Enner Valencia sent off after just 22 minutes.
They bounced back quickly to brush aside Jamaica 3-1 on matchday two, with goals from Hincapie, Paez, and Minda. That multiple-goal victory kept things in their favor, and all they needed was a draw against Mexico in the final group game to advance to the quarter-finals. A 0-0 result saw them through, but their failure to win the group now sets up a difficult encounter with the top-ranked team in the world. Ecuador haven't had much luck in recent years against the world champions, with five losses and a draw in their last six meetings.
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Argentina against Ecuador Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. Acuna
K. Rodriguez
Argentina & Ecuador Squad Analysis
Captain Lionel Messi missed Argentina’s last group game with a hamstring injury but is back in full training and should start this match.
Manager Lionel Scaloni opted for wholesale changes for his team's final group stage clash against Peru.
Expect the likes of Lisandro Martinez, Cristian Romero, Rodrigo De Paul and Alexis Mac Allister to return to the fold here, while the competition's leading scorer Lautaro Martinez will be pushing for a start alongside Messi up top.
Ecuador record goalscorer Enner Valencia will lead the line and shoud be supported by John Yeboah and Jeremy Sarmiento on the flanks. The talented 17-year-old Kendry Paez, who joins Chelsea in the summer of 2025, will take up the #10 role in Ecuador's preferred 4-2-3-1 system. Moises Caicedo, also of Chelsea, will play a pivotal role as the engine room of the Ecuadorian midfield. Bayer Leverkusen left back Piero Hincapie, who scored in the 3-1 win over Jamaica, will also be one to watch in this match.
Argentina - Ecuador Key Points
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in all three of Argentina's matches this tournament.
- Argentina are yet to concede a goal in the Copa America 2024.
- Argentina have kept a clean sheet in 14 of their last 17 matches, conceding only four total goals.
- Seven of Ecuador’s last 11 matches have returned fewer than three goals.
- That includes a 1-0 loss to Argentina in a friendly before this tournament.
- The last three matches between these sides ended with two or fewer goals.
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Our Argentina vs Ecuador Prediction
Argentina strolled through their group effortlessly with three clean sheets. However, the goals have yet to really flow for the defending champions as they have managed to score just five in this tournament so far.
Ecuador proved in their draw against Mexico that they can be a stingy opponent to play against. This also rang true in their last three matches against Argentina, one of which was a friendly just prior to the start of this Copa America, where the Ecuadorians were able to keep the goals to a minimum. Therefore, our prediction for Argentina vs Ecuador is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Argentina vs Ecuador - Other Interesting Predictions
Argentina to win to nil
Clean sheets and Argentina are becoming synonymous lately, and this tournament has been no exception. All three of their wins so far have come with a clean sheet, and this match could go the same way.
Lautaro Martinez to score anytime
Lautaro Martinez has been at the center of all the good things that Argentina have done in this tournament. He has scored four of their five goals and netted in every match. That record could continue here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Argentina Ecuador
| Argentina vs Ecuador | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 1.44 | 1.4 | -2.8% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.2 | -6.7% |
| Ecuador wins | 7 | 11 | +57.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Argentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 71.4% (2.0%)
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Argentina vs Ecuador match : Frequently asked questions
The Argentina vs Ecuador Copa America Group A match will be available live on TV in the USA on FOX Sports. Cable users can watch it on TUDN or Univision. Live Streaming will be done on the Fubo App and SlingTV.
Check out our Copa America Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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