Argentina vs Colombia Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Joseph King in Copa America Predictions
The 48th edition of the Copa America reaches its conclusion on Sunday night (early morning UK time) as defending champions Argentina square off against red-hot Colombia. Let’s take a deeper look at the match statistics and predictions for this captivating clash between La Albiceleste and Los Cafeteros.
For Argentina, this final represents the opportunity to claim a record 16th Copa America crown (breaking their current stalemate with Uruguay) and the first back-to-back titles since 1993. Success for the Argentines would also mark their third consecutive international competition victory after famously winning the World Cup in 2022.
On the other side, Colombia will be looking to put an end to their 20+ year drought since last hoisting the coveted trophy. Despite their rich footballing culture and history, this is only the third time that the Tricolor have made the Copa America final. They would lose to Peru in 1975 before later triumphing over Mexico in 2001 to claim their solitary title.
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The Best Betting Odds for Argentina v Colombia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 1.1 | 15 |
|
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2.15 | 2.8 | 4.2 |
|
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1.02 | 19 | 101 |
|
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1.02 | 19 | 101 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.85 | 4.3 |
|
|
2 | 3.03 | 4.52 |
|
|
2.9 | 2 | 4.45 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.93 | 4.28 |
|
|
2.11 | 2.95 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Argentina and Colombia?
Our prediction for the Argentina vs Colombia match is: BTTS (No) + under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/07/2024 between Argentina and Colombia in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.93% for a win of Argentina against Colombia with odds of 11 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Argentina vs Colombia is 24.49% with odds of 19 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Argentina with odds of 101 at 1xbet.
Argentina - Colombia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Argentina Colombia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 40.93% | 11 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 62.99% | 1.79 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Argentina/Argentina | 14.98% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Argentina vs Colombia Form
Argentina and Colombia Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2024 - Copa America
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
15 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Argentina against Colombia : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2022 - World Cup
6 Jul 2021 - Copa America
8 Jun 2021 - World Cup
11 Sep 2018 - International Friendlies
Argentina - Colombia: Form Analysis
Both teams come into this final in scorching form, which should make this battle all the more interesting.
Argentina kicked their tournament off with a perfect three wins from three in Group A. They needed penalties to get by Ecuador in the quarter-final before strolling to a routine 2-0 win over Canada in the semis.
The win against the Canadians marked the 10th straight victory for La Albiceleste, nine of which came after 90 minutes. Since winning the World Cup title in Qatar, Lionel Messi and company have played 19 matches in total, posting a 17-1-1 record in regulation time.
Colombia come into this final putting their 28 match unbeaten run on the line.
During that time, Colombia have posted 22 wins and only six draws. With their remarkable streak, the Colombians have set a new national record and possess the longest current unbeaten run in international football.
This will undoubtedly be their biggest test during the course of this run, especially considering that the last team to beat them all the way back in 2022 was Argentina.
Néstor Lorenzo’s side reached this stage after topping Group D over South American powerhouse Brazil with two wins and a draw. That would earn them a quarter-final matchup with Panama, in which Colombia romped to a 5-0 victory.
Los Cafeteros needed to dig deep in the semi-final as they played the entire second half with 10 men. They were able to effectively shut down Uruguay in the second 45 minutes and see out the 1-0 win.
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Argentina against Colombia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. Acuna
J. Lerma
Argentina & Colombia Squad Analysis
Argentina come into this Copa America final unscathed after their 2-0 win over Canada in the semi-final. The most interesting part of Argentina’s team selection will be to see if Copa America 2024 leading scorer Lautaro Martínez (4 goals) is handed the start for the final.
Manager Lionel Scaloni appears to prefer the dynamics of the Julián Álvarez and Leo Messi pairing up top.
The Manchester City man got the nod in the semi-final is likely to continue in the starting lineup on Sunday, with Martínez offering an explosive option from the bench. Nahuel Molina, who has started three of the five matches so far, could replace Gonzalo Montiel at right back with the latter reportedly dealing a slight ankle injury.
On the other side, manager Néstor Lorenzo will be forced to replace right back Daniel Muñoz following his first half red card against Uruguay. Muñoz's absence will be a huge blow to Colombia as they relied on his attacking prowess. Santiago Arias is the most likely candidate to take up the vacated position.
All eyes will be on James Rodríguez, who has set the record for assists in a single Copa America tournament at six, along with Liverpool winger Luis Díaz.
31-year-old Jhon Córdoba has impressed this tournament, with his physicality making him a nightmare for defenders to mark. The Krasnador striker should continue to lead the line for Colombia.
Argentina - Colombia Key Points
- 15 of 30 matches so far in Copa America 2024 have seen under 2.5 goals with BTTS: No.
- Both teams have scored in just 37% of matches this tournament.
- There has been an average of 2.17 goals scored in the 2024 Copa America.
- Argentina have seen BTTS only once of their last five, while for Colombia only twice in their last six.
- The last meeting between the two teams ended in a 2-0 win for Argentina.
- The three most common scorelines in this tournament so far: 1-0 (20%), 0-0 (16.7%), 2-0 (13.3%).
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Our Argentina vs Colombia Prediction
International tournaments tend to see things really start to tighten up once reaching the knockout rounds and the 2024 Copa America is no exception. There’s been an average of only 2.00 goals scored from the quarter-finals on, and that’s including Colombia’s 5-0 blowout of Panama.
Four of the six knockout matches have also finished in draws after 90 minutes, further illustrating just how close many of these games have been. This bet covers the three most common score lines in this tournament so far (1-0, 0-0 and 2-0), which have accounted for half of the total games played. Our Argentina vs Colombia prediction is: Both teams to score (No) + under 2.5 goals.
Argentina vs Colombia - Other Interesting Predictions
Half time correct score: 0-0
Under 1.5 goals
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Argentina vs Colombia match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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