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Argentina vs Chile Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Leaders Argentina and eighth-place Chile face off for the seventh match of the CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign. Let’s take a closer look at the statistics and offer up our prediction for this matchup between La Albiceleste and La Roja.
Hosts Argentina will be looking to increase their lead atop the standings, where their five wins from six matches sees them two points ahead of second-place Uruguay.
This is the first time that the current World Cup holders are taking to the field since successfully defending their Copa America crown back in July. A 1-0 extra time win over Colombia, courtesy of a Lautaro Martinez strike, means that Argentina’s winning rampage continues.
La Albiceleste have now been crowned champions of the last four consecutive cup tournaments that they have been a part of (two Copa Americas, one World Cup and one Finalissima). They take to this match riding an 11-match winning streak and having lost just once over their last 26 games.
Chile, who have failed to qualify for the past two World Cups, have some work to do as they sit eighth in the standings. A single win and two draws for a total of five points sees them trailing sixth-place Brazil by two points for the final automatic qualifying spot. They do, however, sit even on points with Paraguay for seventh-place, which grants an intercontinental playoff for the chance to go to the 2026 World Cup.
A disappointing Copa America performance by La Roja saw them eliminated in the group stage after failing to score a single goal. That tournament was preceded by a 1-0 World Cup qualifying away defeat to Ecuador which sparked a change in manager.
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The Best Betting Odds for Argentina v Chile Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 4.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.6 | 2.87 | 7 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.51 | 12 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.51 | 12 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.7 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.7 | 12 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.9 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.9 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.25 | 4.6 | 11 |
|
|
1.32 | 5 | 12 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.1 | 12 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.75 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.28 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Argentina and Chile?
Our prediction for the Argentina vs Chile match is: Argentina -1 European handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Argentina and Chile in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.91% for a win of Argentina against Chile with odds of 1.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Argentina vs Chile is 26.67% with odds of 5.28 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Chile vs Argentina with odds of 12 at Bet365.
Argentina - Chile Prediction and Best Odds:
| Argentina Chile Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 64.91% | 1.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 68.67% | 2.35 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 22.08% | 3 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Argentina/Argentina | 29.9% | 2 at Bet365 |
Argentina vs Chile Form
Argentina and Chile's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
|
9
|
9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -11 |
Argentina and Chile Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jul 2024 - Copa America
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jul 2024 - Copa America
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
19 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
Argentina vs Chile Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
27 Jan 2022 - World Cup
14 Jun 2021 - Copa America
3 Jun 2021 - World Cup
5 Sep 2019 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2019 - Copa America
Players list
E. Martinez
DefenderC. Romero
N. Molina
L. Martinez
N. Otamendi
MidfielderR. De Paul
E. Fernandez
A. Mac Allister
ForwardN. Gonzalez
J. Alvarez
L. Martinez
G. Arias
DefenderP. Diaz
M. Isla
T. Galdames
M. Catalan
F. Loyola
MidfielderM. Nunez
R. Echeverria
ForwardV. Davila
E. Vargas
D. Osorio
Substitutes
G. Rulli
W. Benitez
DefenderG. Pezzella
G. Montiel
M. Acuna
MidfielderL. Paredes
G. Lo Celso
G. Rodriguez
ForwardT. Castellanos
P. Dybala
M. Soule
A. Garnacho
B. Cortes
L. Vigouroux
DefenderE. Mena
G. Maripan
B. Kuscevic
MidfielderE. Pavez
C. Baeza
J. Meneses
W. Alarcon
V. Pizarro
ForwardC. Palacios
B. Brereton
Missing players
V. Carboni
Most goals and assists
Argentina
Chile
L. Messi
(6 Goals)
E. Vargas
(3 Goals)
Argentina - Chile Key Points
- Chile have lost all three of their World Cup qualifying away matches, scoring only once and conceding seven.
- Argentina have won six of their last 10 games by a margin of two goals or more.
- Chile haven’t beaten Argentina in over eight years, with Argentina winning four of their last seven meetings.
- The visitors have failed to score in their last three outings and have failed to score in eight of their last 13 matches overall.
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Our Argentina vs Chile Prediction
Chile now faces the toughest match on their World Cup qualifying fixture sheet as they head away to the defending World Cup champions. Argentina have been simply brilliant over the last five years under Scaloni, where they have won four trophies and have astonishingly lost only two matches.
The Chileans are coming off the heels of a hugely disappointing Copa America. They have a serious problem at putting the ball in the back of the net over the last year, something that likely isn't going to be rectified against the rock-solid Argentine defense. Our Argentina vs Chile prediction: Argentina -1 European handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Argentina Chile
| Argentina vs Chile | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 1.4 | 1.33 | -5.0% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
| Chile wins | 8 | 12 | +50.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Argentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 75.2% (3.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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