Argentina vs Canada Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions
Defending champions Argentina will look to make it to their third consecutive final in a major tournament when they take on an improving Canada in the Copa America semi-final. Let's have a closer look at the match statistics and predictions for this intriguing showdown between La Albiceleste and Les Rouges.
The MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, will be hosting this knockout match, with the winner proceeding to the final to play either Uruguay or Colombia.
Argentina are on a roll and will be the team to beat, having won their last nine matches, including six with a clean sheet. The Canadians are massive underdogs here, but they know very well that the only team to defeat them in this tournament so far has been Argentina. This is a repeat of the matchday one fixture between these sides, which saw Argentina edge out 2-0 winners with goals from Julian Alvarez and Lautaro Martinez.
A chance to avenge defeat presents itself for Canada, but do they have the ability to stun the fancied Argentina?
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The Best Betting Odds for Argentina v Canada Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 41 | 401 |
|
|
1.6 | 2.87 | 7 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.09 | 10.6 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.09 | 10.6 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.9 | 11 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.8 | 9.9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.05 | 10 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.2 | 9.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Argentina and Canada?
Our prediction for the Argentina vs Canada match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/07/2024 between Argentina and Canada in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.51% for a win of Argentina against Canada with odds of 1.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Argentina vs Canada is 20.89% with odds of 41 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Canada vs Argentina with odds of 401 at Bet365.
Argentina - Canada Prediction and Best Odds:
| Argentina Canada Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 65.51% | 1.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 67.01% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Argentina | 37.14% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Argentina vs Canada Form
Argentina and Canada Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2024 - Copa America
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Argentina against Canada : Head to Head (H2H)
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
Argentina - Canada: Form Analysis
World Champions Argentina are playing like one, chalking out wins one after another. They have topped their group, which also included Canada, with three wins in three.
They defeated Canada and Peru by a 2-0 scorelilne and Chile 1-0 to march into the last 16 unblemished. La Albiceleste seemed set for another win, leading 1-0 against Ecuador in the quarter-finals, but a late goal forced penalties.
Lionel Scaloni’s men have a rock in the shape of Emiliano Martinez between the sticks.
The exuberant ‘keeper has once again shown his nous by saving two penalties against Ecuador and thereby saving the blushes for Lionel Messi, who missed his spot kick.
Canada started their tournament with a 2-0 defeat to Argentina, conceding two second-half goals. The Canucks bounced back with a 1-0 win over Peru and then held Chile to a 0-0 draw.
That result was enough to secure a passage to the quarter-finals in second place behind Argentina in the group. Not many gave them a chance against Venezuela in the knockouts, but they gritted out a 1-1 draw before edging them out on penalties.
It is a matter of pride that they reached here, as no CONCACAF side has made it to the semi-final of this competition since 2016. It could be a fairy tale ending if they reach the final, as no side from this region has made it to the Copa America final since Mexico in 2001.
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Argentina against Canada Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
M. Acuna
A. Davies
ForwardT. Buchanan
Argentina & Canada Squad Analysis
Lionel Messi played the entire game against Ecuador and looked to have come out unscathed, but for his penalty miss. The Argentine talisman is all set to lead his side once again, with Lautaro Martinez likely to be his attacking partner.
The Inter Milan striker's four goals is the most in the competition.
Providing support will be Liverpool midfielder Alexis Mac Allister, who has justified his selection as a playmaker with two assists.
Canadian defender Derek Cornelius received his second yellow card of the tournament in the last match against Venezuela. Thankfully, his previous card was in the group stage, and Copa America rules reset the accumulated yellow cards after the group game, making him available for the semis.
Inter Milan forward Tajon Buchanan could play some part here after he resumed training. All eyes will be on Alphonso Davies, who is speculated to move to Real Madrid from Bayern Munich in the summer.
Jonathan David of Lille is another player subjected to heavy transfer speculation in the market, but the forward will hope to show his skill on the field, having netted just one goal in this competition.
Argentina - Canada Key Points
- In nine of Argentina’s last 12 matches, there have been two or fewer goals.
- Argentina have seen under 2.5 goals in all four of their matches in this Copa America competition.
- That includes a 2-0 win on matchday one of the group phase over Canada.
- Canada have also seen two or fewer goals in all four matches of their Copa competition.
- Canada have failed to score in four of their last six matches.
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Our Argentina vs Canada Prediction
Argentina defeated Canada 2-0 on matchday one, but things have changed so much since then. Argentina has been steady, if not spectacular, while Canada has surprised everyone with their run. They even got the better of Venezuela in the last round, so there could be some quiet confidence building up in the Canadian camp.
That said, Canada struggled to score goals, and that may work against them here against Argentina, who have consistently kept clean sheets. This game looks poised for another low-scoring affair, and our Argentina vs Canada prediction is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Argentina vs Canada - Other Interesting Predictions
Argentina to win to nil
Argentina conceded just one goal and kept three clean sheets in this competition. Even the goal they conceded came in the dying minutes of the game against Ecuador in the last round. Canada has failed to score in two of their four matches, including the 2-0 loss to Argentina. La Albiceleste could fancy another win here with a clean sheet up for grabs.
Total goals exact: two
Three of Argentina’s four matches in this competition have seen exactly two goals during regular time. That includes the 2-0 win over Canada, who have also seen exactly two goals scored in two of their four matches. Is there a repeat on the cards? Exactly two goals could be the order of the day.
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Argentina vs Canada match : Frequently asked questions
The Argentina vs Canada Copa America Group A match will be available live on TV in the USA on FOX Sports1. Cable users can watch it on TUDN or Univision for Spanish commentary. Live Streaming will be done on the Fubo App and Vixs.
Check out our Copa America Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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