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South America - Copa America

Argentina
09 Jul 2024 20:00
Canada

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Argentina vs Canada Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America

 by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions

Defending champions Argentina will look to make it to their third consecutive final in a major tournament when they take on an improving Canada in the Copa America semi-final. Let's have a closer look at the match statistics and predictions for this intriguing showdown between La Albiceleste and Les Rouges.

The MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, will be hosting this knockout match, with the winner proceeding to the final to play either Uruguay or Colombia.

Argentina are on a roll and will be the team to beat, having won their last nine matches, including six with a clean sheet. The Canadians are massive underdogs here, but they know very well that the only team to defeat them in this tournament so far has been Argentina. This is a repeat of the matchday one fixture between these sides, which saw Argentina edge out 2-0 winners with goals from Julian Alvarez and Lautaro Martinez.

A chance to avenge defeat presents itself for Canada, but do they have the ability to stun the fancied Argentina?

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The Best Betting Odds for Argentina v Canada Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1 41 401
Ladbrokes
1.6 2.87 7
1xbet
1.35 5.09 10.6
22bet
1.35 5.09 10.6
Betobet
1.34 4.9 11
Betwinner
1.34 4.8 9.9
LSbet
1.34 4.8 9.9
Stake
1.33 5.4 11
Melbet
1.32 5.05 10
Tonybet
1.34 5.2 9.8
Betsson
1.34 5.25 9.9
William Hill
1.3 5 11
Vbet
1.34 5 11
Betway
1.35 4.75 9
Unibet
1.32 5 10.5
Betfair
1.3 4.75 11
Check all Argentina vs Canada odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Argentina and Canada?

Our prediction for the Argentina vs Canada match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/07/2024 between Argentina and Canada in Copa America :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.51% for a win of Argentina against Canada with odds of 1.6 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Argentina vs Canada is 20.89% with odds of 41 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Canada vs Argentina with odds of 401 at Bet365.

Argentina - Canada Prediction and Best Odds:

Argentina Canada Prediction Probability Odds
Argentina wins 65.51% 1.6 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 67.01% 2.02 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 29.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Argentina 37.14% 3.95 at Betsson

Argentina vs Canada Form

Argentina and Canada Last Matches

Argentina
Argentina Last matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

4 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
1 :  1
Ecuador

29 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Peru

25 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Chile
0 :  1
Argentina

20 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Canada

14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
1 :  4
Argentina

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
1 :  1
Ecuador

29 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Peru

20 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Canada

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  1
Costa Rica

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
El Salvador
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Chile
0 :  1
Argentina

14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
1 :  4
Argentina

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Brazil
0 :  1
Argentina

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Peru
0 :  2
Argentina

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Bolivia
0 :  3
Argentina

19 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Indonesia
0 :  2
Argentina
Canada
Canada Last matches
L D L W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Venezuela
1 :  1
Canada

29 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Canada
0 :  0
Chile

25 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Peru
0 :  1
Canada

20 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Canada

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  0
Canada

6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
4 :  0
Canada
L D W L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Canada
0 :  0
Chile

23 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  0
Trinidad And Tobago

21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  3
Jamaica

4 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011

Canada
4 :  2
Cuba

27 Jun 2023 - Gold Cup 2011

Canada
2 :  2
Guadeloupe

18 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
USA
W L D L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Venezuela
1 :  1
Canada

25 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Peru
0 :  1
Canada

20 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Canada

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  0
Canada

6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
4 :  0
Canada

18 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
1 :  2
Canada

Argentina vs Canada Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

20 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Canada
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Argentina - Canada: Form Analysis

World Champions Argentina are playing like one, chalking out wins one after another. They have topped their group, which also included Canada, with three wins in three.

They defeated Canada and Peru by a 2-0 scorelilne and Chile 1-0 to march into the last 16 unblemished. La Albiceleste seemed set for another win, leading 1-0 against Ecuador in the quarter-finals, but a late goal forced penalties.

Lionel Scaloni’s men have a rock in the shape of Emiliano Martinez between the sticks.

The exuberant ‘keeper has once again shown his nous by saving two penalties against Ecuador and thereby saving the blushes for Lionel Messi, who missed his spot kick.

Canada started their tournament with a 2-0 defeat to Argentina, conceding two second-half goals. The Canucks bounced back with a 1-0 win over Peru and then held Chile to a 0-0 draw.

That result was enough to secure a passage to the quarter-finals in second place behind Argentina in the group. Not many gave them a chance against Venezuela in the knockouts, but they gritted out a 1-1 draw before edging them out on penalties.

It is a matter of pride that they reached here, as no CONCACAF side has made it to the semi-final of this competition since 2016. It could be a fairy tale ending if they reach the final, as no side from this region has made it to the Copa America final since Mexico in 2001.

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Argentina against Canada Lineups: Starting 11

Argentina

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

23
E. Martinez
4
G. Montiel
13
C. Romero
25
L. Martinez
3
N. Tagliafico
11
A. Di Maria
7
R. De Paul
24
E. Fernandez
20
A. Mac Allister
10
L. Messi
9
J. Alvarez
9
C. Larin
10
J. David
14
J. Shaffelburg
7
S. Eustaquio
8
I. Kone
22
R. Laryea
19
A. Davies
13
D. Cornelius
15
M. Bombito
2
A. Johnston
16
M. Crepeau

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Canada

Argentina & Canada Squad Analysis

Lionel Messi played the entire game against Ecuador and looked to have come out unscathed, but for his penalty miss. The Argentine talisman is all set to lead his side once again, with Lautaro Martinez likely to be his attacking partner.

The Inter Milan striker's four goals is the most in the competition.

Providing support will be Liverpool midfielder Alexis Mac Allister, who has justified his selection as a playmaker with two assists.

Canadian defender Derek Cornelius received his second yellow card of the tournament in the last match against Venezuela. Thankfully, his previous card was in the group stage, and Copa America rules reset the accumulated yellow cards after the group game, making him available for the semis.

Inter Milan forward Tajon Buchanan could play some part here after he resumed training. All eyes will be on Alphonso Davies, who is speculated to move to Real Madrid from Bayern Munich in the summer.

Jonathan David of Lille is another player subjected to heavy transfer speculation in the market, but the forward will hope to show his skill on the field, having netted just one goal in this competition.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Argentina
CD Huachipato Canada
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Canada J. David (2 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina A. Mac Allister (2 Assists)
Best assists
Canada J. Shaffelburg (1 Assists)
Canada M. Bombito (1 Assists)

Argentina - Canada Key Points

  1. In nine of Argentina’s last 12 matches, there have been two or fewer goals.
  2. Argentina have seen under 2.5 goals in all four of their matches in this Copa America competition.
  3. That includes a 2-0 win on matchday one of the group phase over Canada.
  4. Canada have also seen two or fewer goals in all four matches of their Copa competition.
  5. Canada have failed to score in four of their last six matches.
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Our Argentina vs Canada Prediction

Argentina defeated Canada 2-0 on matchday one, but things have changed so much since then. Argentina has been steady, if not spectacular, while Canada has surprised everyone with their run. They even got the better of Venezuela in the last round, so there could be some quiet confidence building up in the Canadian camp.

That said, Canada struggled to score goals, and that may work against them here against Argentina, who have consistently kept clean sheets. This game looks poised for another low-scoring affair, and our Argentina vs Canada prediction is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Argentina vs Canada - Other Interesting Predictions

Argentina to win to nil

Odds 1.91

Argentina conceded just one goal and kept three clean sheets in this competition. Even the goal they conceded came in the dying minutes of the game against Ecuador in the last round. Canada has failed to score in two of their four matches, including the 2-0 loss to Argentina. La Albiceleste could fancy another win here with a clean sheet up for grabs.

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Total goals exact: two

Odds 3.6

Three of Argentina’s four matches in this competition have seen exactly two goals during regular time. That includes the 2-0 win over Canada, who have also seen exactly two goals scored in two of their four matches. Is there a repeat on the cards? Exactly two goals could be the order of the day.

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Argentina vs Canada match : Frequently asked questions

The Argentina vs Canada Copa America semi-final match is scheduled for a 1am UK time kick-off on Wednesday, July 10, 2024, which will be 8pm ET Tuesday.
This knockout match will be played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
In this competition, there is no extra time for knockout matches prior to the final. So, if Argentina and Canada play out a draw in regular time, they will directly proceed to a penalty shoot-out.

The Argentina vs Canada Copa America Group A match will be available live on TV in the USA on FOX Sports1. Cable users can watch it on TUDN or Univision for Spanish commentary. Live Streaming will be done on the Fubo App and Vixs.

Check out our Copa America Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Argentina vs Canada Prediction
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