France - Ligue 1

Angers

07 Feb 2020 14:45

Lille

Prediction :

Lille wins the match

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Angers vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

Prediction published on 04/02/2020, 07:36 by James | Modified on 04/02/2020 at 08:36 in Ligue 1 Predictions

The Ligue 1 weekend opens with an intriguing fixture that pits Angers against Lille. The home side are going through an erratic period, scoring bucketloads one week, conceding the same amount the next. Dwindling in 12th place in the French top flight, they have scored five goals across their last two matches in all competitions; this is a goals-per-game average to rival the best. The problem, the reason that Angers is a midtable club, is that they have let in nine goals across those two games. Now they take on Lille, the fourth-best team in the division, at least based on the table. While Lille don't score many goals (26 in 22 Ligue 1 games), previous goalscoring form is shaky ground to base a prediction on when Angers are playing like this. A case in point would be Reims. Prior to last week's meeting, 90% of Reims matches featured less than 2.5 goals. Yet, they left Angers with a 4-1 win.

So why are Angers conceding so many goals? Three of Reims' goals came from set-pieces (one penalty, two headers from free-kicks) and the other came from a breakaway counter-attack. Angers are conceding at a higher rate than their expected goals metric suggests they should (29 conceded; expected goals 22.74). This could be an indication of poor goalkeeping, poor defending, or exquisite finishing on the part of their opponents. Thus far, Lille have not been deadly in front of goal, their XG being higher than the actual number of chances they have put away. That may change against opponents who have the third-worst XG rate for goals conceded. Given that Lille have won their last two fixtures against Angers and ended a losing streak at the weekend with their win over Strasbourg, we think they could come away with a win here. Back the visitors to win the match.

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Angers vs Lille Form

Angers and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
4 Lille	49	28	15	4	9	8
11 Angers	39	28	11	6	11	-5

Angers and Lille Last Matches

Angers Last matches

All Home Away

D W D L L L

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

4 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 0

Angers

1 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1

Angers

1 : 4

Reims

28 Jan 2020 - French Cup

Angers

4 : 5

Rennes

25 Jan 2020 - Ligue 1

Marseille

0 : 0

Angers

19 Jan 2020 - French Cup

FC Rouen

1 : 4

Angers

11 Jan 2020 - Ligue 1

Angers

1 : 1

Nice

W L D D L L

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1

Angers

1 : 4

Reims

28 Jan 2020 - French Cup

Angers

4 : 5

Rennes

11 Jan 2020 - Ligue 1

Angers

1 : 1

Nice

14 Dec 2019 - Ligue 1

Angers

0 : 0

Monaco

3 Dec 2019 - Ligue 1

Angers

0 : 2

Marseille

23 Nov 2019 - Ligue 1

Angers

1 : 0

Nimes

L W W W D L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

4 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 0

Angers

25 Jan 2020 - Ligue 1

Marseille

0 : 0

Angers

19 Jan 2020 - French Cup

FC Rouen

1 : 4

Angers

5 Jan 2020 - French Cup

Dieppe FC

1 : 3

Angers

21 Dec 2019 - Ligue 1

Nantes

1 : 2

Angers

7 Dec 2019 - Ligue 1

Rennes

2 : 1

Angers

Lille Last matches

All Home Away

W D L L W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

4 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1

Lille

1 : 0

Rennes

1 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg

1 : 2

Lille

29 Jan 2020 - French Cup

Epinal

2 : 1

Lille

26 Jan 2020 - Ligue 1

Lille

0 : 2

PSG

21 Jan 2020 - Coupe de la Ligue

Lyon

2 : 2

Lille

18 Jan 2020 - French Cup

ESM de Gonfreville

0 : 2

Lille

W W W W L W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals

17% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

4 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1

Lille

1 : 0

Rennes

26 Jan 2020 - Ligue 1

Lille

0 : 2

PSG

8 Jan 2020 - Coupe de la Ligue

Lille

2 : 0

Amiens SC

13 Dec 2019 - Ligue 1

Lille

2 : 1

Montpellier Hsc

6 Dec 2019 - Ligue 1

Lille

1 : 0

Brest

30 Nov 2019 - Ligue 1

Lille

1 : 0

Dijon

W L W D L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg

1 : 2

Lille

29 Jan 2020 - French Cup

Epinal

2 : 1

Lille

21 Jan 2020 - Coupe de la Ligue

Lyon

2 : 2

Lille

18 Jan 2020 - French Cup

ESM de Gonfreville

0 : 2

Lille

12 Jan 2020 - Ligue 1

Dijon

1 : 0

Lille

5 Jan 2020 - French Cup

US Raon L Etape

2 : 3

Lille

Angers vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Angers

50 %

Draw

17 %

Lille

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83

Total goals

67%

BTTS

1.17

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.67

Goals scored (Team 2)

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

13 Sep 2019 - Ligue 1

Lille

2 : 1

Angers

18 May 2019 - Ligue 1

Lille

5 : 0

Angers

1 Sep 2018 - Ligue 1

Angers

1 : 0

Lille

24 Feb 2018 - Ligue 1

Lille

1 : 2

Angers

27 Aug 2017 - Ligue 1

Angers

1 : 1

Lille

11 Feb 2017 - Ligue 1

Lille

1 : 2

Angers

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Players list

Angers

Goalkeeper

L. Butelle

Defender

V. Manceau

C. Ninga

M. Pavlovic

R. Thomas

Midfielder

P. Capelle

A. Fulgini

B. Santamaria

M. Pereira Lage

Forward

S. Thioub

S. Bahoken

Lille

Goalkeeper

M. Maignan

Defender

Z. Celik

J. Fonte

G. Magalhaes

R. Mandava

Midfielder

Xeka

R. Sanches

B. Andre

Forward

J. Bamba

L. Araujo

O. Gaitan

Substitutes

Angers

Goalkeeper

D. Petkovic

Defender

A. Bamba

S. Doumbia

Midfielder

A. Bobichon

M. Pereira Lage

T. Mangani

Forward

C. Ninga

I. Traore

S. Bahoken

R. Alioui

Lille

Goalkeeper

L. Jardim

Defender

J Pied

T. Djalo

Midfielder

B. Soumare

Xeka

J. Ikone

Forward

L. Araujo

L. Remy

O. Gaitan

V. Osimhen

Most goals and assists

Angers

Lille

Top Goalscorer

R. Alioui (7 Goals) ,

S. Bahoken (7 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

V. Osimhen (18 Goals)

Best assists

R. Ait-Nouri (3 Assists) ,

J. Reine-Adelaide (3 Assists) ,

M. Pereira Lage (3 Assists) ,

V. Pajot (3 Assists)

Best assists

J. Bamba (6 Assists)

Angers - Lille Key Points

Lille have won their previous two meetings with Angers.
Angers have the third-worst XG rate (29 conceded; expected goals 22.74) for conceding goals in Ligue 1.
Lille ended a three-game losing streak with their 2-1 win at Strasbourg on Matchday 22.

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Our Angers vs Lille Prediction

Leakier than a faucet, Angers need to tighten up their defence before they are dragged into a relegation dogfight at the close of the season. They have work to do and a decent record at home to Lille may be the foundation to rebuild on. However, the slick passing and neat play of the visitors could cause disarray for a defence badly lacking composure. Back the visitors to win.

Prediction :

Lille wins the match

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Up to $150 to bet on Angers - Lille!

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