Spain - LaLiga
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by Ian John in LaLiga Predictions
Deportivo Alaves host Villarreal in an intriguing La Liga clash on Saturday at the Mendizorroza. The home side Babazorros have struggled this season and in this match against El Submarine Amarillo with the visitors in excellent recent form, especially away from home. Let's check out our prediction for the game.
Eduardo Coudet took over as Alaves manager earlier this season but has not managed to improve their fortunes much. They still lie 19th in the table, in the drop zone with 23 points from 26 games. In contrast, Marcelino's Villarreal ties fifth with 44 points, but with a game in hand on the teams around them having played 25 matches.
Alaves have not won any of their last six at home but have drawn two of their last three. A 3-3 draw at Leganes was followed by a 1-0 home defeat to Espanyol and then last weekend, they earned a 1-1 draw away to Real Mallorca.
Villarreal's form is markedly better with three wins in their last four. They thrashed Valladolis 5-1 at home before a 2-1 win on the road at Las Palmas and then a 1-1 home draw with Valencia. They didn't play last weekend so their last result in the league was a 1-0 away win over Rayo Vallecano a couple of weeks back.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alavés v Villarreal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.1 | 2.55 |
|
|
3 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.3 | 2.75 |
|
|
3.08 | 3.18 | 2.56 |
|
|
3.08 | 3.18 | 2.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Villarreal match is: Villarreal wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Alavés and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.29% for a win of Alavés against Villarreal with odds of 3.15 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Villarreal is 35.14% with odds of 3.3 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Alavés with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
Alavés - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 46.57% | 2.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 69.83% | 2.25 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Villarreal | 23.2% | 6 at Betsson |
Alavés vs Villarreal Form
Alavés and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
52 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
|
16
|
34 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -11 |
Alavés and Villarreal Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2021 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2021 - LaLiga
Players list
A. Sivera
DefenderF. Tenaglia
A. Abqar
S. Mourino
MidfielderM. Diarra
A. Blanco
C. Vicente
C. Alena
ForwardA. Rodriguez
F. Garces
A. Villalibre
D. Conde
DefenderJ. Foyth
T. Buchanan
L. Costa
A. Pedraza
MidfielderT. Barry
D. Parejo
D. Suarez
ForwardS. Comesana
N. Pepe
A. Perez
Substitutes
A. Rodriguez
G. Swiderski
DefenderA. Sedlar
A. Pica
M. Diarra
F. Garces
A. Guevara
J. Guridi
ForwardA. Villalibre
T. Martinez
C. Vicente
L. Junior
DefenderP. Navarro
E. Bailly
R. Albiol
MidfielderT. Buchanan
S. Comesana
D. Suarez
T. Barry
A. Pedraza
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Villarreal
K. Garcia
(12 Goals)
A. Perez
(14 Goals)
C. Vicente
(5 Assists)
A. Baena
(8 Assists)
Alavés - Villarreal Key Points
- Alaves have won just one of their last 13 games, and lost three of the last five.
- Villarreal have the second-best away record in La Liga behind Barcelona (W7, D3, L3)
- Alaves have not won any of their last six home matches in La Liga.
- Villarreal beat Alaves 3-0 when the teams met earlier this season in the league.
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Our Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction
Our prediction for the Alaves vs. Villarreal La Liga match is: Villarreal wins the match.
This is one of the rare matches where the data seems unequivocal. Villarreal have superb away form, Alaves very poor home form. Villarreal are in form and flying high in the table, Alaves are struggling and languishing in the relegation places. The data looks so decisive that the generous odds on a Villarreal away win in this match make this one of the best value bets we've come across this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Villarreal
| Alavés vs Villarreal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 3 | 2.9 | -3.3% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.1 | -4.6% |
| Villarreal wins | 2.4 | 2.55 | +6.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Villarreal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 39.2% (-2.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Alavés vs. Villarreal game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Alavés and Villarreal? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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