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by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Rayo Vallecano’s hopes for European football have taken a hit in recent times and they’ll hope to revive them away to Alaves. Placed ninth in La Liga, Rayo travels to 17th placed Alaves on Saturday. Below is our prediction for the match.
Alaves are sitting dangerously above the bottom three. It is congested down there and only goal difference is keeping them out of the red zone.
A win here will do them a world of good. Having lost just once in five matches, they will be confident coming into this match. However, in that run they managed just one win.
They did win in their last home match as well, but three of the previous four matches had yielded defeats.
Rayo Vallecano’s fortunes have been dwindling in recent matches. They are coming into this one without a win in the last five outings.
Three of them ended in defeats but there was a bit of promise in their last game before the international break. While they will feel disappointed at a late concession, Rayo will be happy to have taken a point in the 2-2 draw with Real Sociedad and also scoring twice for the second time in 10 matches.
Having earlier lost 3-1 to Sociedad in the Copa del Rey, Rayo will look at that result positively as they seek improvement.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alavés v Rayo Vallecano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3 | 4.1 |
|
|
2.1 | 3 | 4 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.15 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.08 | 4.15 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.08 | 4.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/03/2025 between Alavés and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.32% for a win of Alavés against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano is 30.07% with odds of 3.08 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
Alavés - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 35.61% | 4.5 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.85 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 2.3 at Betway |
| Half-time : Alavés / Full-time : Rayo Vallecano | 13.14% | 67 at Betsson |
Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Alavés and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
40 | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 2 |
|
17
|
27 | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -12 |
Alavés and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
15 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2021 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2019 - LaLiga
Alavés against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Rayo Vallecano
K. Garcia
(11 Goals)
J. De Frutos
(4 Goals)
C. Vicente
(3 Assists)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Alavés - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Alaves drew three of their last seven home matches.
- Nine of Alaves’ last 15 matches ended in draws.
- Rayo managed just one win in the last five away matches.
- Two of Rayo’s last three matches were drawn.
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Our Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Rayo Vallecano and Deportivo Alaves clash in this match that rarely favors visiting teams. Alaves will love that particular stat, and will be looking at their recent run with some optimism. Though they lost just once in the last five matches, they have only one win in that run.
Three of their last five matches ended in draws. Rayo on the other hand, have no win in the last five matches, and two of the last three were draws. Sticking with that, our prediction for Alaves v Rayo Vallecano is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Rayo Vallecano
| Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 2.5 | 2.1 | -16.0% |
| Draw | 2.9 | 3 | +3.4% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 3.1 | 4.1 | +32.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 32.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 24.4% (-7.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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