Netherlands - Eredivisie
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Ajax vs Willem II Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
by Joseph King in Eredivisie Predictions
The Dutch Eredivisie enters matchday 10 of the 2024/25 season with third-place Ajax hosting eighth-placed Willem II. Let’s dive into the match statistics for this clash between de Godenzonen and the Tricolores.
Ajax come into this fixture off the back of a 3-0 away win over Qarabag in the Europa League, extending their winning streak to three matches. The Dutch giants are starting to pick up steam as they’re now on an unbeaten run of 10 matches across all competitions.
Ajax’s last outing in the Eredivisie ended in a wild 4-3 win over Hercules with Wout Weghurst netting the winner in the 82nd minute. The hosts will now look to extend their perfect home record in the league to four straight wins.
The 36-time league champions have accrued 16 points through seven fixtures, putting them six points behind rivals PSV but with a few games in hand.
Willem II have experienced a solid start to the season with three wins and three draws from their nine games. Last time out, Willem were fortunate to escape with a 0-0 draw at home against Fortuna after giving up three clear cut chances and nearly 3.00 expected goals.
The visitors have managed only a single win from their last four outings but were able to secure a 1-0 away win over Almere City in their last away trip.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v Willem II Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.25 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.13 | 7.44 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.13 | 7.44 |
|
|
1.19 | 7 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.25 | 8.3 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.25 | 8.3 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 8 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.2 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.2 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.25 | 10 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.9 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Willem II?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Willem II match is: Ajax to win + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/10/2024 between Ajax and Willem II in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.74% for a win of Ajax against Willem II with odds of 1.43 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Willem II is 28.23% with odds of 7 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Willem II vs Ajax with odds of 15 at William Hill.
Ajax - Willem II Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Willem II Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 56.74% | 1.43 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.73% | 1.83 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.92% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax | 28.69% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
Ajax vs Willem II Form
Ajax and Willem II's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
|
9
|
15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Ajax and Willem II Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
18 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2024 - Europa League
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
15 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
15 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
18 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
25 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Ajax vs Willem II Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Feb 2022 - Eredivisie
2 Dec 2021 - Eredivisie
23 Dec 2020 - Eredivisie
6 Dec 2019 - Eredivisie
5 May 2019 - KNVB beker
6 Apr 2019 - Eredivisie
Ajax against Willem II Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Willem II
D. Klaassen
(6 Goals)
C. Sandra
(4 Goals)
,
K. Vaesen
(4 Goals)
J. Hato
(4 Assists)
,
B. Brobbey
(4 Assists)
R. Behounek
(1 Assists)
,
C. Sandra
(1 Assists)
,
K. Vaesen
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Sigurgeirsson
(1 Assists)
Ajax - Willem II Key Points
- Ajax have won with over 2.5 goals in their last three consecutive matches across all competitions.
- Ajax home Eredivisie matches are averaging 3.00 goals scored per game.
- The hosts have won eight of their last 10 outings.
- Ajax have won their last two meetings with Willem at home, scoring eight goals and conceding once.
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Our Ajax vs Willem II Prediction
Willem II have exceeded expectations so far but a match against Ajax in Amsterdam is always a tough proposition. Ajax have been in fine form for most of the season and they return to the Amsterdam Arena seeking a ninth win in their last 11 games.
With 10 goals scored in their last three matches, Ajax have found their scoring touch which doesn’t bode well for the visitors. Our Ajax vs Willem II prediction: Ajax to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Willem II
| Ajax vs Willem II | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 1.33 | 1.38 | +3.8% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5 | -9.1% |
| Willem II wins | 8 | 7.5 | -6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 72.5% (-2.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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