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Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Steve Ashfield in Europa League Predictions
Ajax are in a strong position after the first leg of this Europa League Knockout Play-off. The Dutch side won the first leg away at Union-Saint Gilloise 2-0 and now host them in the return game. Can the Sons of the Gods maintain their lead? Here's our match prediction.
The home side top the Dutch Eredivisie and are in excellent form at present. You'll read more about their unbeaten run in the form guide section of this preview. They are the hot favorites to win this tie and meet either Lyon or Eintracht Frankfurt in the last 16.
It's going to be a tough night for the Apaches as they try to get back into this tie. The Belgian side are not in good form at present and face a tough time trying to reach the last 16 of the Europa League. They have won once in the Netherlands this season at Twente, but this is a tougher task.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v Union Saint-Gilloise Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.75 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.64 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.64 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.54 | 3 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.25 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Union Saint-Gilloise?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise match is: Ajax to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/02/2025 between Ajax and Union Saint-Gilloise in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.42% for a win of Ajax against Union Saint-Gilloise with odds of 2.35 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise is 5.37% with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Ajax with odds of 3.75 at Betfair.
Ajax - Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 66.42% | 2.35 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.7% | 1.99 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 1.72 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax | 32.37% | 4 at Betsson |
Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise Form
Ajax and Union Saint-Gilloise Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker
15 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker
5 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
2 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Dec 2024 - Jupiler Pro League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
11 Jan 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
8 Jan 2025 - Belgian Cup
26 Dec 2024 - Jupiler Pro League
Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
Ajax - Union Saint-Gilloise: Form Analysis
Ajax have won each of their last five games. The last three have all been won to nil, most recently a 4-0 home victory over Heracles. The Dutch side won the first leg of this tie 2-0 with both of their goals coming in the second half.
Ajax are in top form at home.
Home form for Ajax has seen them win their last six games with 15 goals scored. They have scored at least twice in all of those victories. In the Europa League this season, Ajax have played seven matches at home and over 90 minutes only been beaten by Lazio.
Union-Saint Gilloise are third in the Belgian Jupiler League but 14 points behind leaders Genk. They followed up the loss to Ajax with a 1-0 home defeat to Mechelen at the weekend, their third loss in five games.
On the road, the Old Lady has won four of their last six matches. In the Europa League though, USG have lost three out of four games with only two goals scored.
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Ajax against Union Saint-Gilloise Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Ajax & Union Saint-Gilloise Squad Analysis
Ajax take a 2-0 lead into this second leg so strong defensive skills will help them maintain that lead. Their defence has been strong in recent games and they have scored eight goals without reply since a 2-1 home win over Feyenoord. Three of their home games in the Europa League have seen a clean sheet kept by Ajax so it's going to be very difficult for USG to get back into this tie.
The home side wiill be relying on more goals to make the Belgian side's task even more difficult. USG will need to keep a close eye on Bertrand Traore. He'll be attempting to score for a fourth successive home Europa League game.
On the injury front, Ajax will be missing Wout Weghorst, Jordan Thompson, Youri Regeer and Branco van den Boomen. Owen Wijndal annd Kenneth Taylor will have fitness tests
Ivanovic needs to rediscover his form.
Union-Saint Gilloise need to score at least twice on Thursday. After two games wiithout a goal, they will be hoping for a return to goalscoring form by Franjo Ivanovic who has ten for the season. Their coach Sebastien Pocognoli says "nothing is lost yet" but speaking with honsety he says he has to be "realistic" and added: "We will need to be perfect." That's easier said than done.
Ross Sykes has served his suspension and is available for this match. Christian Burgess may return in defence.
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Union Saint-Gilloise
K. Taylor
(9 Goals)
, 
O. Edvardsen
(9 Goals)
F. Ivanovic
(14 Goals)
J. Hato
(6 Assists)
,
B. Brobbey
(6 Assists)
,
K. Taylor
(6 Assists)
C. Vanhoutte
(5 Assists)
Ajax and Union Saint-Gilloise Stats in Europa League
Ajax - Union Saint-Gilloise Key Points
- Ajax won the away first leg 2-0.
- Ajax have won their last five matches, the last three without conceding.
- Ajax have won their last six home fixtures with 15 goals scored.
- USG have lost three of their four away Europa League games.
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Our Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction
Ajax can finish the job off on Thursday and go into the last 16 of the Europa League. They are in far better form than their Belgian opponents and solid at the back too. That makes the chances of Union-Saint Gilloise scoring at least twice in this match look very unlikely.
The Belgians have struggled on the road in this competition and their last two league and cup games have both seen them fail to score. Our main Ajax v Union-Saint Gilloise prediction is Ajax to win.
Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise - Other Interesting Predictions
Bertrand Traore to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Union Saint-Gilloise
| Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 1.9 | 2.3 | +21.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.4 | -5.6% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise wins | 3.8 | 3.1 | -18.4% |
A few minutes before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 43.5% (-9.2%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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