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Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
by Joseph King in Eredivisie Predictions
The Ajax vs PSV rivalry will ignite once more on Saturday as these two teams face off for another edition of De Topper. Will de Godenzonen be able to slow down the seemingly unstoppable Boeren train? We’ve got a few predictions on this match that are sure to help you out!
PSV have been red-hot to start the season and have reeled off a perfect 10 wins from 10 so far. This has them already sitting eight points clear of second-place Ajax as we enter into matchday 11. Ajax, for their part, have had a fairly strong start with seven wins, one draw and one defeat. They do have a game in hand over PSV, meaning the gap could be reduced to five points.
Last season saw PSV take four points of a possible six against Ajax in the league. They romped to a 5-2 win on their home patch but were held to a 1-1 draw at the Johan Cruyff Arena. Will we see a repeat on Saturday?
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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v PSV Eindhoven Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.7 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.75 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.85 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.85 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.7 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.88 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.88 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.75 | 2.16 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.84 | 2.33 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.8 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.81 | 3.47 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.55 | 2.43 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.55 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven match is: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2024 between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.26% for a win of Ajax against PSV Eindhoven with odds of 3.3 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven is 15.97% with odds of 3.88 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.77% chance ⭐ for a win of PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax with odds of 2.55 at Vbet.
Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax PSV Eindhoven Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 42.77% | 2.55 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.8% | 1.8 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | 1.53 at William Hill |
| Half-time : Ajax / Full-time : PSV Eindhoven | 18.27% | 29 at Betsson |
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Form
Ajax and PSV Eindhoven's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
33 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 31 |
|
3
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
Ajax and PSV Eindhoven Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
27 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
18 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2024 - Europa League
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
5 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
5 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
24 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie
30 Apr 2023 - KNVB beker
23 Apr 2023 - Eredivisie
6 Nov 2022 - Eredivisie
30 Jul 2022 - Johan Cruijff Schaal
Ajax - PSV Eindhoven: Form Analysis
Ajax have been clicking into top gear lately and they come into this key league fixture riding a five-match winning streak.
Most recently, the 36-time league champions secured an excellent 2-0 away win over Feyenoord thanks to two goals scored before the half hour mark. With a 3-0 win over Qarabag in the Europa League last week, the team has now gone on to win with a clean sheet in their last three straight.
Ajax have won seven of their eight home matches across all competitions, including all four in the league.
They’ll now be tasked with trying to slow down a rampaging PSV squad that leads the league in scoring and fewest goals conceded.
PSV have scored an incredible 35 goals so far in the Eredivisie, 14 more than the next highest.
They’ve been somwhat tamed in the Champions League, however, as PSV have scored just three goals in three outings while collecting two points. PSV returned to league action following a 1-1 away draw with PSG last week to blast six goals past Zwolle in a 6-0 home win.
The result extended PSV’s unbeaten run to seven matches with the Rood-Written’s last defeat coming at the hands of Juventus in mid September.
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Ajax against PSV Eindhoven Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Ajax & PSV Eindhoven Squad Analysis
Ajax will be without defender Gaston Avila who his ACL back in February and is still a few months away from a return. Sivert Mannsverk is also set to miss out here as the 22-year-old recovers from an ankle injury suffered in September.
They also could be without regular starter Kenneth Taylor who had to come off early in his team’s midweek win over Feyenoord.
Also in the treatment room are a trio of youngsters in Julian Rijkhoff, Kristian Hlynsson and Amourricho Van Axel-Dongen.
Ricardo Pepi, Malik Tillman and Luuk de Jong lead PSV’s scoring with five goals a piece in the league!
One of the reasons PSV have been so effective on the attacking side of the ball has been their balanced scoring. The visitors have no fewer than six players who have all chipped in at least three goals so far.
Manager Peter Bosz will be unable to call upon four players for his team’s trip to Amsterdam. USA international Sergiño Dest suffered an ACL tear at the end of April and will be out until 2025.
Mexican winger Hirving Lozano is dealing with a muscle injury and will miss out on his 10th consecutive game here. Also out are a pair of midfielders in Joey Veerman (groin) and Jerdy Schouten (hamstring).
Most goals and assists
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
D. Klaassen
(6 Goals)
R. Pepi
(6 Goals)
,
M. Tillman
(6 Goals)
,
L. De Jong
(6 Goals)
J. Hato
(4 Assists)
,
B. Brobbey
(4 Assists)
J. Veerman
(5 Assists)
, 
I. Saibari
(5 Assists)
Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Key Points
- Seven of the last eight meetings between these two teams have seen both teams score (BTTS).
- BTTS + over 2.5 has come through in eight of PSV’s 14 competitive fixtures so far this season (57%).
- PSV are the top scoring side in the division with 35 goals (3.5 average per match).
- Ajax have only been kept off the scoresheet once in their 18 matches this season across all competitions.
- PSV have scored in all 14 games they’ve played.
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Our Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction
De Topper rarely disappoints and we look like we could be in for another classic with both teams in scorching form. Ajax will know that a loss here could well decide the title based on how good PSV have been up to this point.
Despite being at home, the oddsmakers have the hosts as slight favorites. The match dynamic shapes up well for goals, which is the market that we’re going to back on Saturday. Our Ajax vs PSV prediction: both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven - Other Interesting Predictions
PSV to win
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax PSV Eindhoven
| Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 2.88 | 2.63 | -8.7% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0% |
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 2.3 | 2.45 | +6.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSV Eindhoven is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 40.8% (-2.7%)
Use £30 free bets for the Ajax vs. PSV Eindhoven game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Eredivisie! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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