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Ajax vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
Europa League high-flyers Lazio will put their unbeaten record on the line this week when they travel to the Johan Cruijff Arena to face Ajax on Thursday night. Le Aquile are currently perched atop the table in the League Phase while de Godenzonen are sixth after five matches. Check out our match prediction below!
This match marks the first-ever meeting between these two sides, but Lazio have come out on top in their last two encounters against Dutch opposition. Ajax, meanwhile, are winless in their last 12 home games against Serie A opponents (W0 D6 L6), with the most recent being a 6-1 defeat to Napoli in 2022.
Despite the standings heading into this match, the hosts are inserted as the favourites by bookmakers, but given the visitors' record in the competition, they certainly can not be written off just yet. Let’s take a look at some of the key stats at play in this top-half encounter.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v Lazio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.5 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.57 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.57 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.5 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.52 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.52 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.65 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.48 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.7 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.63 | 3.21 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.35 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Lazio?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Lazio match is: Ajax draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/12/2024 between Ajax and Lazio in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.98% for a win of Ajax against Lazio with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Lazio is 13.36% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Ajax with odds of 3.21 at Vbet.
Ajax - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Lazio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 49.98% | 2.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.68% | 1.87 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax | 20.35% | 3.75 at Betsson |
Ajax vs Lazio Form
Ajax and Lazio's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
|
11
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
Ajax and Lazio Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
4 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
24 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
27 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
10 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
30 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
Ajax - Lazio: Form Analysis
Ajax made a blistering start to their Europa League campaign, taking 10 points from their first four matches and scoring a very impressive 13 goals in that time while conceding just one.
However, they suffered their first defeat in the competition last time out 2-0 to Real Sociedad, marking the first time they have failed to score in a match across all competitions this season.
Since that defeat, de Godenzonen’s form has been questionable, as they have split their last three matches one win, one draw, and most recently, a 2-1 defeat to AZ over the weekend.
Still, Ajax are unbeaten at home across all competitions this season (W11 D1 L0)!
Meanwhile, Lazio dropped their first points in the Europa League in their last match, drawing goalless at home against Ludogorets.
However, that result did not dislodge them from the top of the table, as they were the only side to win their first four games and are now one of seven teams still unbeaten after five matches.
Key to the Eagles’ success in this competition has been their solid defence that has conceded the joint-fewest goals to date (2), including maintaining clean sheets in both away matches so far.
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Ajax against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Ajax & Lazio Squad Analysis
Ajax will have to make do without the services of Owen Wijnda for this match, with the centre-back forced to serve a one-match suspension after crossing the yellow card threshold against Real Sociedad.
In terms of injuries, Gaston Avila remains sidelined having undergone knee surgery earlier this year, while Sivert Mannsverk and Amourricho Van Axel-Dongen are ruled out with ankle issues.
Devyne Rensch and Benjamin Tahirovic have both missed the last three matches for the hosts due to a leg injury and concussion protocol respectively. They are doubts for this one as well.
Jordan Henderson is expected to return to Ajax’s midfield in this match!
Nuno Tavares missed Lazio’s last Europa League match due to an injury sustained on international duty with Portugal last month.
However, the left-back returned to the starting lineup for the Eagles over the weekend and featured for almost the entire match, which suggests he should be good to go in this one.
Marco Baroni is therefore only likely to be missing two players for this match due to injury, including Matias Vecino (thigh) and Luca Pellegrini (muscle), while Alessio Romagnoli is flagged as a doubt.
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Lazio
K. Taylor
(8 Goals)
T. Castellanos
(9 Goals)
B. Brobbey
(6 Assists)
,
K. Taylor
(6 Assists)
N. Tavares
(8 Assists)
Ajax - Lazio Key Points
- Ajax have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Ajax are unbeaten at home across all competitions this season.
- Ajax have not conceded at home in this season’s Europa League.
- Ajax have kept clean sheets in six of their last nine home matches.
- Lazio drew their last game in this competition 0-0 against Ludogoretes.
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Our Ajax vs Lazio Prediction
Lazio have been very good in this competition, and it’s hard to go against a side that are unbeaten after five matches, while having suffered just one defeat in their last 10 across all competitions.
However, Ajax have been a different beast when playing at home this season, still unbeaten after 12 games, while they are yet to concede on their home patch in this competition. We fancy the hosts here, but given the visitors form, we will opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw. Our Ajax vs Lazio prediction is Ajax draw no bet.
Ajax vs Lazio - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Both these sides have scored in four of their five Europa League matches to date. Additionally, Ajax have netted two or more goals in eight of their last nine home games, while Lazio have only failed to find the back of the net in one of their last 10 outings.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Lazio
| Ajax vs Lazio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 2.2 | 2.25 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
| Lazio wins | 3.25 | 3.1 | -4.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 44.4% (-1.0%)
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Ajax vs Lazio match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Europa League match between Ajax and Lazio will be played on December 12 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Europa League match between Ajax and Lazio will take place at the Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam.
The UEFA Europa League match between Ajax and Lazio will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Europa League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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