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Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax
16/03/2025 11:45
AZ Alkmaar

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

 by Thobelani Moyo in Eredivisie Predictions

Ajax FC will play host to AZ Alkmaar at Johan Cruijff ArenA on matchday 26 in the Eredivisie. Ajax are first in the league table, while AZ lurk in sixth place. Here's our match prediction.

Ajax went into the second leg of the UEFA Europa League last 16 tie against Eintracht Frankfurt aiming to overturn a 2-1 deficit from the first leg. Unfortunately, they lost 4-1 at Deutsche Bank Park, bringing the aggregate score to 6-2.

The Amsterdammers return to league action where their last match saw them beat PEC Zwolle 1-0 on the road. This saw them maintain their eight-point lead at the top over second-placed PSV. 

In the Eredivisie, they have been impressive. They are unbeaten in ten league games all resulting in wins. During this period, they registered eight clean sheets.

AZ suffered the same fate as their Eredivisie counterparts in Europe. They failed to protect their one-goal advantage against Tottenham Hotspur in the second leg of the UEFA Europa League losing 3-1 away from home.

The Cheese Farmers must now try to reignite their confidence by completing a league double over Ajax. However, a rare 3-1 away defeat against Heerenveen last time out raises doubts about their abilities to achieve such a feat.

That defeat comes after recording three consecutive wins in the league without conceding. Away from home, they have lost just one of their last six matches (W3, D2).

Up to $150 to bet on Ajax - AZ Alkmaar! 

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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v AZ Alkmaar Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.8 3.8 4.2
Betfred
1.73 3.6 4.33
Ladbrokes
1.73 3.75 4.6
1xbet
1.78 3.8 4.43
22bet
1.78 3.8 4.43
Betobet
1.84 3.6 4.1
Betwinner
1.78 3.78 4.4
LSbet
1.78 3.78 4.4
Stake
1.72 3.75 4.7
Melbet
1.78 3.78 4.4
Tonybet
1.8 3.75 4.5
Vbet
1.77 3.79 4.9
Betway
1.78 3.5 4.33
Unibet
1.83 3.25 4.75
Betfair
1.75 3.6 4.5
William Hill
1.75 3.6 4.4
Check all Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar odds
Up to $150 to bet on Ajax - AZ Alkmaar! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar?

Our prediction for the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2025 between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.12% for a win of Ajax against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 1.84 at Betobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar is 17.16% with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.72% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax with odds of 4.9 at Vbet.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Form

Ajax and AZ Alkmaar's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Ajax
Ajax
63 25 20 3 2 35
6
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
43 24 13 4 7 16

Ajax and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches

Ajax
Ajax Last matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Ajax

9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  1
Ajax

6 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Ajax
1 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Almere City
0 :  1
Ajax

23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Go Ahead Eagles

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Ajax
1 :  2
Union Saint-Gilloise
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Ajax
1 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Go Ahead Eagles

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Ajax
1 :  2
Union Saint-Gilloise

16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
4 :  0
Heracles

2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  1
Feyenoord

30 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Ajax
2 :  1
Galatasaray
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Ajax

9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  1
Ajax

2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Almere City
0 :  1
Ajax

13 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  2
Ajax

9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
0 :  2
Ajax

23 Jan 2025 - Europa League

FK Rigas Futbola Skola
1 :  0
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Last matches
D W D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Tottenham
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

6 Mar 2025 - Europa League

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Tottenham

2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

27 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker

Heracles
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Fortuna Sittard

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Galatasaray
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Mar 2025 - Europa League

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Tottenham

23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Fortuna Sittard

13 Feb 2025 - Europa League

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  1
Galatasaray

9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  0
Zwolle

6 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  1
Quick Boys

26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  2
Sparta Rotterdam
L W D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Tottenham
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

27 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker

Heracles
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Galatasaray
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Willem II
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

30 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Ferencvarosi Budapest
4 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

0 %

Draw

17 %

AZ Alkmaar

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  0
Ajax

8 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Ajax

25 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  0
Ajax

8 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

6 May 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

18 Sep 2022 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Ajax
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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar last Lineups

Ajax

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
Matheus
2
L. Rosa
24
D. Rugani
13
A. Kaplan
36
D. Janse
18
D. Klaassen
31
J. Mokio
21
B. Van den Boomen
23
S. Berghuis
59
D. Konadu
17
O. Edvardsen
21
E. Poku
9
T. Parrott
11
I. Sadiq
6
P. Koopmeiners
28
Z. Buurmeester
8
J. Clasie
18
D. Wolfe
5
A. Penetra
3
W. Goes
16
S. Maikuma
1
R. Owusu Oduro

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

AZ Alkmaar

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ajax
CD Huachipato AZ Alkmaar
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands K. Taylor (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland T. Parrott (16 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands J. Hato (6 Assists)
Netherlands B. Brobbey (6 Assists)
Netherlands K. Taylor (6 Assists)
Best assists
Norway D. Wolfe (5 Assists)

Ajax and AZ Alkmaar Stats in Eredivisie

Ajax
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
80%
Victories
54%
12%
Draw
17%
8%
Defeats
29%
2.84
Total goals per match
2.67
2.12
Goals scored per match
1.67
0.72
Goals conceded per match
1
52%
Over 2.5
58%
48%
Under 2.5
42%
44%
BTTS
54%
56%
No goals conceded
42%

Ajax - AZ Alkmaar Key Points

  1. Ajax FC have seen five of their last six home league games end with over 2.5 goals.
  2. AZ Alkmaar conceded three goals in their previous league game.
  3. Ajax FC and AZ Alkmaar have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last seven encounters.
  4. AZ Alkmaar have scored first in each of their last four encounters against Ajax FC.
  5. Ajax FC averages 2.5 goals per game when playing at home and AZ Alkmaar averages 1.42 goals per game when playing away.
Up to $150 to bet on Ajax - AZ Alkmaar! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Ajax FC are favourites to secure maximum points in this encounter even though they've failed to win in their last seven encounters against AZ Alkmaar. 

Ajax are averaging 2.83 points per game when playing at home - the highest in the league. It is fair to say they are worthy of three points here. However, we expect AZ Alkmaar to present a tough challenge for them leading to an entertaining affair filled with goals at both ends of the pitch. Our Ajax FC vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is for over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Up to $150 to bet on Ajax - AZ Alkmaar! 

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