Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Thobelani Moyo in Eredivisie Predictions
Ajax FC will play host to AZ Alkmaar at Johan Cruijff ArenA on matchday 26 in the Eredivisie. Ajax are first in the league table, while AZ lurk in sixth place. Here's our match prediction.
Ajax went into the second leg of the UEFA Europa League last 16 tie against Eintracht Frankfurt aiming to overturn a 2-1 deficit from the first leg. Unfortunately, they lost 4-1 at Deutsche Bank Park, bringing the aggregate score to 6-2.
The Amsterdammers return to league action where their last match saw them beat PEC Zwolle 1-0 on the road. This saw them maintain their eight-point lead at the top over second-placed PSV.
In the Eredivisie, they have been impressive. They are unbeaten in ten league games all resulting in wins. During this period, they registered eight clean sheets.
AZ suffered the same fate as their Eredivisie counterparts in Europe. They failed to protect their one-goal advantage against Tottenham Hotspur in the second leg of the UEFA Europa League losing 3-1 away from home.
The Cheese Farmers must now try to reignite their confidence by completing a league double over Ajax. However, a rare 3-1 away defeat against Heerenveen last time out raises doubts about their abilities to achieve such a feat.
That defeat comes after recording three consecutive wins in the league without conceding. Away from home, they have lost just one of their last six matches (W3, D2).
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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v AZ Alkmaar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.45 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.82 | 3.82 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.82 | 3.82 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2025 between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.88% for a win of Ajax against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar is 15.69% with odds of 3.82 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.42% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
Ajax - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax AZ Alkmaar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 48.88% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.46% | 1.91 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 65.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax | 18.88% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Form
Ajax and AZ Alkmaar's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
73 | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
|
6
|
46 | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 14 |
Ajax and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker
8 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
25 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie
8 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie
6 May 2023 - Eredivisie
18 Sep 2022 - Eredivisie
Players list
Matheus
DefenderA. Gaaei
J. Sutalo
Y. Baas
J. Hato
MidfielderD. Klaassen
J. Henderson
S. Berghuis
ForwardL. Rosa
D. Konadu
O. Edvardsen
R. Owusu Oduro
DefenderE. Dijkstra
W. Goes
A. Penetra
M. De Wit
MidfielderP. Koopmeiners
J. Clasie
B. Martins Indi
M. Meerdink
ForwardE. Poku
I. Sadiq
Substitutes
J. Gorter
C. Setford
DefenderJ. Mokio
D. Rugani
L. Rosa
A. Kaplan
D. Janse
MidfielderD. Klaassen
B. Van den Boomen
ForwardD. Konadu
O. Edvardsen
S. Berghuis
J. Zoet
H. Verhulst
DefenderE. Dijkstra
B. Martins Indi
M. De Wit
M. Dekker
MidfielderJ. Oerip
ForwardW. Bouziane
I. Sadiq
S. van Duijn
M. Meerdink
Most goals and assists
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
K. Taylor
(14 Goals)
T. Parrott
(18 Goals)
K. Taylor
(7 Assists)
D. Wolfe
(6 Assists)
Ajax - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- Ajax FC have seen five of their last six home league games end with over 2.5 goals.
- AZ Alkmaar conceded three goals in their previous league game.
- Ajax FC and AZ Alkmaar have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last seven encounters.
- AZ Alkmaar have scored first in each of their last four encounters against Ajax FC.
- Ajax FC averages 2.5 goals per game when playing at home and AZ Alkmaar averages 1.42 goals per game when playing away.
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Our Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Ajax FC are favourites to secure maximum points in this encounter even though they've failed to win in their last seven encounters against AZ Alkmaar.
Ajax are averaging 2.83 points per game when playing at home - the highest in the league. It is fair to say they are worthy of three points here. However, we expect AZ Alkmaar to present a tough challenge for them leading to an entertaining affair filled with goals at both ends of the pitch. Our Ajax FC vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is for over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax AZ Alkmaar
| Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 1.62 | 1.91 | +17.9% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.7 | -7.5% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 4.6 | 3.7 | -19.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 52.4% (-9.4%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Ajax vs. AZ Alkmaar game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Eredivisie!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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