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Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Adelaide United
18/04/2025 05:35
Wellington Phoenix

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 & BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions

Saturday’s A-League action gets underway at Coopers Stadium, where Adelaide United will be playing host to Wellington Phoenix. The Reds are seventh in the league standings, while the Nix are 11th after 23 games. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

After an excellent first half of the season, Adelaide United have experienced a dismal run of form since the turn of the year and slipped out of the top six last week when they lost 4-1 to Perth Glory. 

That result marked the Reds’ fourth consecutive league defeat - a period during which they conceded two or more goals in each match - and eighth game without victory. 

At home, the hosts are winless in their last four games (W0 D1 L3) and have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last 10, dating back to the end of November.

Meanwhile, Wellington Phoenix have experienced a major fall from grace this season. After finishing as runners-up last term, they are 13th in this campaign with just 24 points and three games to play. 

The Nix suffered their 11th league defeat of the season last week, going down 3-2 to Melbourne Victory at home. They have only won one of their last 10 top-flight matches. 

The visitors won their last away game 2-1 against the Newcastle Jets, but it followed a four-match winless run, which included three defeats. They have not kept a clean sheet on the road in their last nine matches. 

The Best Betting Odds for Adelaide United v Wellington Phoenix Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.45 4.75 5.75
Betfred
1.4 4.6 5.5
Ladbrokes
1.67 3.3 4.6
NetBet
1.36 4.6 5
1xbet
1.5 4.85 5.64
Check all Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix?

Our prediction for the Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix match is: over 2.5 and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2025 between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.1% for a win of Adelaide United against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 1.67 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix is 22.38% with odds of 5.25 at Betobet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United with odds of 5.85 at Melbet.

Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:

Adelaide United Wellington Phoenix Prediction Probability Odds
Adelaide United wins 43.1% 1.67 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 70.26% 1.43 at Stake
Both Team To Score 82.29% 1.44 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Adelaide United/Adelaide United 18.9% 2.25 at Betfair

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Form

Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
36 24 10 6 8 -2
11
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
24 24 6 6 12 -13

Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches

Adelaide United
Adelaide United Last matches
D D L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

6.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
3.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
4 :  1
Adelaide United

5 Apr 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  3
Sydney

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United

14 Mar 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
4 :  5
Macarthur FC

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

28 Feb 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
4 :  4
Adelaide United
D W L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  3
Sydney

14 Mar 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
4 :  5
Macarthur FC

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

15 Feb 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

7 Feb 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  0
Melbourne City

22 Jan 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  2
Auckland FC
D L L D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
3.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
4 :  1
Adelaide United

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United

28 Feb 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
4 :  4
Adelaide United

23 Feb 2025 - A-League

Western United
3 :  0
Adelaide United

1 Feb 2025 - A-League

Sydney
4 :  1
Adelaide United

28 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Adelaide Olympic FC
1 :  1
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix Last matches
L L D D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

6 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  2
Western Sydney Wanderers

16 Mar 2025 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Western United
4 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

28 Feb 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Melbourne City
D D D L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  2
Western Sydney Wanderers

28 Feb 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Melbourne City

5 Feb 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

15 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Sydney
W L L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

16 Mar 2025 - A-League

Sydney
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Western United
4 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

21 Feb 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
6 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

14 Feb 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

20 Jan 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Adelaide United

75 %

Draw

0 %

Wellington Phoenix

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
75%
BTTS
2.75
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.25
Goals scored (Team 2)
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

10 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  2
Adelaide United

2 Mar 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  2
Adelaide United

5 May 2023 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

17 Mar 2023 - A-League

Adelaide United
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix
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Adelaide United against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11

Adelaide United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
M. Vartuli
20
D. Pierias
3
B. Vriends
51
P. Kikianis
7
R. Kitto
14
J. Barnett
55
E. Alagich
10
Z. Clough
6
S. Mauk
19
Y. Dukuly
26
A. Goodwin
9
H. Ishige
7
K. Barbarouses
15
I. Hughes
14
A. Rufer
27
M. Sheridan
19
S. Sutton
18
L. Kelly-Heald
4
S. Wootton
3
C. Piper
6
T. Payne
1
J. Oluwayemi

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Wellington Phoenix

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Adelaide United
CD Huachipato Wellington Phoenix
Top Goalscorer
Australia A. Goodwin (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
New Zeland K. Barbarouses (10 Goals)
Best assists
England Z. Clough (9 Assists)
Best assists
Japan H. Ishige (8 Assists)

Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Key Points

  1. Nine of Adelaide United’s last 10 games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Adelaide United have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last 10 home league games.
  3. Both teams have scored in 11 of Adelaide United’s 12 home games this season.
  4. Four of Wellington Phoenix’s last five league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  5. Wellington Phoenix have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine away league games.

Our Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Adelaide United looked as though they were going to challenge for a top-two spot during the first half of the season, but since the New Year, their form has taken a nosedive, and they are conceding goals in bulk week on week lately. 

That should give Wellington Phoenix some confidence coming into this match, but they have been in very poor form themselves this season, which makes it difficult to back them with much confidence. With two poorly performing defences on display here, we’re expecting a few goals. Our Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is over 2.5 and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 & BTTS

 
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$200 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Adelaide United Wellington Phoenix

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Adelaide United wins 1.53 1.45 -5.2%
Draw 4.33 4.75 +9.7%
Wellington Phoenix wins 5.5 5.75 +4.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Adelaide United is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 69.0% (3.6%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

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