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AC Milan vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
AC Milan will entertain Roma in their next Serie A fixture on Sunday. This match will mark the two teams’ final activity of the year, and their first meeting of the season. Rossoneri have been on a strong run at home and predictions for this match back them to prevail against I Giallorossi.
Milan come into this match in eighth place in the standings and are seven points clear of their 10th-placed visitors. Roma have won the last two competitive meetings with Milan but are not favoured by the bookies here.
Both teams are seeking to stay alive in the race for European spots which is expected to add to the intensity of this traditional rivalry. It is rare to see these rivals go head-to-head when sitting so low in the Serie A standings. Based on where either side is coming from, these two sides can afford to look at their recent runs and feel they are getting consistent. The big question is: who will blink here?
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Roma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.25 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.23 | 3.38 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.23 | 3.38 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.1 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.19 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.19 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.25 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.19 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.25 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.19 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.1 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.25 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Roma?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Roma match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2024 between AC Milan and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.49% for a win of AC Milan against Roma with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Roma is 25.88% with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs AC Milan with odds of 3.45 at Vbet.
AC Milan - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 50.49% | 2.62 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.24% | 2.17 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : AC Milan/AC Milan | 20.5% | 4.2 at Betsson |
AC Milan vs Roma Form
AC Milan and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
35 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
|
9
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
AC Milan and Roma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2024 - Serie A
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
14 Jan 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2023 - Serie A
29 Apr 2023 - Serie A
AC Milan - Roma: Form Analysis
Milan earned a 1-0 victory away to Verona last weekend. This was their seventh league win of the season and moved them to 26 points. Unbeaten in their last three matches Paulo Fonseca’s men sit five points off the top six.
A win here will hugely boost their quest for European qualification. The Rossoneri are in strong form. They have claimed seven wins in their last 11 games across all competitions and lost just once in this spell.
Key to their success has been their potent attack which has scored 23 goals in this strong run.
AC Milan have beaten Roma 79 times; that’s more than any other Serie A club.
Roma are also in a rich vein of form. Claudio Ranieri’s men have won four times in their last five games. They scored at least three goals a game in each of those wins.
After a 4-1 home win against Sampdoria in the Coppa Italia, Roma returned to winning ways in the league with a 5-0 drubbing of Parma. The Giallorossi now seem to have found the right balance under Ranieri.
They will therefore arrive for this match confident of maintaining their strong recent run against Milan. The win over Parma, their fifth of the league campaign, moved Roma to 19 points, five clear of the relegation zone.
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AC Milan against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
A. Florenzi
MidfielderR. Loftus-Cheek
AC Milan & Roma Squad Analysis
Milan have a long list of absentees and Paulo Fonseca will not field his preferred starting XI here. Rafael Leao, Noah Okafor, Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Yunus Musah are all ruled out due to injuries.
Christian Pulisic, Luka Jovic and Ismael Bennacer have all missed time recently and could once again be sidelined for this game.
However, Alvaro Morata and Tijjani Reijnders are available and will carry the goal-scoring load for the hosts.
Paulo Dybala last scored at San Siro 10 years ago and has another chance here.
Roma are faring much better than their hosts on the injury front and only Bryan Cristante is sidelined. Alexis Saelemaekers is on loan from Milan and might have restrictions on lining up against his parent club.
Artem Dovbyk has scored five league goals and together with Paulo Dybala, will be tasked to lead the line in the fashion capital. Dybala has had 12 goal involvements against Milan previously and will be fired up for this
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Roma
C. Pulisic
(10 Goals)
, 
T. Reijnders
(10 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(10 Goals)
Y. Fofana
(6 Assists)
S. El Shaarawy
(3 Assists)
,
A. Dovbyk
(3 Assists)
, 
P. Dybala
(3 Assists)
AC Milan - Roma Key Points
- Eight of the last 10 meetings between Milan and Roma have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Roma have scored at least three goals a game four times in their last five fixtures.
- Five of Milan’s last seven matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Milan’s 16 league matches so far have produced 2.5 goals on average.
- An average 2.7 goals were scored in Roma’s 17 league matches so far.
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Our AC Milan vs Roma Prediction
Our prediction for AC Milan v Roma is for over 2.5 goals to be scored. Both Roma and Milan are in strong form and will each arrive fully confident of a win here. Roma have returned to form in recent weeks and key to their success has been their explosive attack.
The visitors have scored at least three goals a game four times in their last five fixtures. Their opponents on the other hand are also in a rich vein of form offensively. As both teams are seeking to end the year on a high, we should see another high-scoring game between these two.
AC Milan vs Roma - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
For our second prediction, we pick both teams to score. Roma and Milan are excellent attacking teams but they have also shown inconsistencies in their rearguards.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Roma
| AC Milan vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 1.73 | 2.3 | +32.9% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.3 | -13.2% |
| Roma wins | 4.5 | 3.2 | -28.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 32.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 43.5% (-14.3%)
Use £30 free bets for the AC Milan vs. Roma game!
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AC Milan vs Roma match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Sunday 29 December.
This match will be played at Milan’s San Siro Stadium in Milan, Italy.
This match will be available for viewing on TNT Sports 1 and on One Football for UK residents. Fans can also check out minute-by-minute updates of this match and other fixtures this weekend on Sportytrader’s Serie A livescores tab.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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