Europe - Champions League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
Milan look to boost their hopes of automatic qualification for the last 16 of the Champions League. The Red and Blacks are 16th in the league phase and are home to Red Star Belgrade who are struggling down in 30th position. Milan started slowly in this new format with their first two games being lost at home to Liverpool and away to Bayer Leverkusen. Since then, they have fought back well and won three successive matches and are only a point behind the top eight. After this match at home to Red Star Belgrade, they host Girona and then travel to Dinamo Zagreb for their last game.
Red Star Belgrade have one win in this league phase. They lost their first four games before getting a 5-1 home win over Stuttgart. They are still three points behind an unseeded play-off position. Their two final games are at home to PSV and then away to Young Boys. Here's our match prediction below.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Red Star Belgrade Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 6.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.79 | 13 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.79 | 13 |
|
|
1.24 | 7 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.3 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.3 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 7.2 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.2 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 7 | 11 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.1 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.1 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 10 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.75 | 13 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Red Star Belgrade?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade match is: Milan to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2024 between AC Milan and Red Star Belgrade in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.75% for a win of AC Milan against Red Star Belgrade with odds of 1.25 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade is 19.77% with odds of 7.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Red Star Belgrade vs AC Milan with odds of 13 at 1xbet.
AC Milan - Red Star Belgrade Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Red Star Belgrade Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 41.75% | 1.25 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.35% | 1.64 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 1.76 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : AC Milan/AC Milan | 16.21% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade Form
AC Milan and Red Star Belgrade's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
|
31
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 |
AC Milan and Red Star Belgrade Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
4 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
30 Nov 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
4 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
18 Oct 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
10 Nov 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
30 Oct 2024 - Serbia Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6 Oct 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Feb 2021 - Europa League
18 Feb 2021 - Europa League
AC Milan - Red Star Belgrade: Form Analysis
Milan lost at Atalanta on Saturday and are only seventh in Serie A, five points behind sixth place. They are the only side to score against Liverpool in the Champions League this season. That was in their opening league game and it came after just three minutes. However, they went on to lose that game 3-1 and then lost their next match at Bayer Leverkusen.
Milan are closing in on automatic qualification.
Their hopes of reaching the play-offs have been boosted by three successive victories. Wins have come at home to Club Brugge and away at Real Madrid and Slovan Bratislava. They are only a single point behind the top eight now.
Red Star Belgrade are three points behind the final unseeded play-off position. They beat Bodo/Glimt in the play-off round to reach the league phase. That wasn't easy for them and they did lose the away leg.
Their first four games in the league phase all ended in defeat with 16 goals conceded. Three of those matches saw them concede at least four goals, including a 4-0 loss at Inter and 5-1 loss in Monaco.
They finally got some points on the board with a 5-1 home win over Stuttgart. Their last seven away games in this competition have all been lost.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
AC Milan against Red Star Belgrade Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Florenzi
MidfielderI. Bennacer
ForwardL. Jovic
AC Milan & Red Star Belgrade Squad Analysis
Milan will be without Christian Pulisic for this match. He's been in good scoring form for the Serie A so far this season but was injured in their 2-1 loss at Atalanta on Saturday. He only played for 38 minutes before having to be substituted.
Also missing for Milan will be Ismael Bennacer, Luka Jovic and Alessandro Florenzi. With Pulisic out of contention, Milan will be looking for more goals from Alvaro Morata, Rafael Leao and midfielder Tijani Reijnders who has already scored seven goals for them this season.
Red Star will be without their first-choice goalkeeper.
Red Star Belgrade also have selection problems. They will be missing their first-choice goalkeeper Omri Glazer and Ivan Gutesa should be between the sticks for this match. Also out injured is Peter Olayinka who has an Achilles problem.
Rade Krunic will be making his return to Milan, he played for them between 2019 and 2024. A start for 17-year-old Andrija Maksimovic would be his fifth in a row and that would equal the Champions League record currently held by Vincent Kompany when he was with Anderlecht.
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Red Star Belgrade
C. Pulisic
(8 Goals)
N. Radonjic
(3 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(5 Assists)
, 
R. Leao
(5 Assists)
R. Krunic
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Young-woo
(2 Assists)
, 
T. Elsnik
(2 Assists)
AC Milan - Red Star Belgrade Key Points
- Only one of Milan's last seven home matches have ended in defeat.
- Red Star have lost their last seven away Champions League matches.
- Red Star have conceded at least twice in each of those seven losses.
- Milan have won their last three Champions League games.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction
Milan will be aiming to make it four successive wins in the Champions League. They are in with a chance of automatic qualification for the last 16 and wouldn't have thought that after losing their first two matches. Home form is good with only one loss in their last seven games.
Red Star Belgrade lost their first four games in the league phase and an away match in the play-off round. Their away form is pretty terrible and our Milan v Red Star Belgrade prediction is Milan to win and lead at half and full time.
AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade - Other Interesting Predictions
Tijana Reijnders to score
Tijana Reijnders has been in good scoring form for Milan with three goals in his last three matches, including two in the home win over Empoli.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Red Star Belgrade
| AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 1.22 | 1.25 | +2.5% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 6.25 | +8.7% |
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 13 | 11 | -15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 80.0% (-2.0%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
