Italy - Serie A
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AC Milan vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
AC Milan will welcome Parma to the San Siro Stadium for their next Serie A match this Sunday. Coming into the match, Milan are eighth in the standings, eight places ahead of visiting Parma. We have a prediction for this match below.
While Milan are eyeing three points here, they’ll also be seeking revenge after a shock 2-1 loss to Parma earlier this season. Rafael Leao’s sole strike ensured they returned to winning ways, beating Girona 1-0 in the Champions League.
The last time in Serie A, they suffered a 2-0 loss at Juventus and are now eight points below the top four.
Parma are coming into this game as clear underdogs, having gone winless in their last three matches. Their 1-1 draw with Venezia in the last match marked the first time in the three matches that they scored.
The visitors’ only win in the last seven matches was at home to struggling Monza. The one area that will bother Fabio Pecchia is the team’s diminishing returns in attack away from home.
Parma failed to score in each of their last three away matches. For a side sitting just a point above the drop zone, this is one stat Gialloblu should be keen to address.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Parma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 6.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.57 | 9.48 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.57 | 9.48 |
|
|
1.29 | 6.25 | 10 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.8 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.8 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.6 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.8 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.29 | 6 | 9 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.25 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.3 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.29 | 6.2 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Parma?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Parma match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/01/2025 between AC Milan and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.81% for a win of AC Milan against Parma with odds of 1.3 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Parma is 31.84% with odds of 6.8 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs AC Milan with odds of 11.5 at Betwinner.
AC Milan - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 55.81% | 1.3 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.6% | |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan | 26.63% | 4.35 at Unibet |
AC Milan vs Parma Form
AC Milan and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
44 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
|
17
|
24 | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -14 |
AC Milan and Parma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
14 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
10 Apr 2021 - Serie A
13 Dec 2020 - Serie A
15 Jul 2020 - Serie A
1 Dec 2019 - Serie A
20 Apr 2019 - Serie A
Players list
M. Maignan
DefenderL. Jovic
M. Gabbia
S. Pavlovic
D. Bartesaghi
MidfielderY. Musah
S. Chukwueze
T. Reijnders
ForwardC. Pulisic
T. Abraham
I. Bennacer
Z. Suzuki
DefenderE. Del Prato
A. Vogliacco
L. Valenti
E. Valeri
MidfielderA. Haj Mohamed
S. Sohm
ForwardP. Almqvist
A. Hainaut
M. Lovik
D. Camara
Substitutes
M. Sportiello
DefenderD. Bartesaghi
A. Jimenez
F. Tomori
MidfielderS. Chukwueze
K. Zeroli
I. Bennacer
F. Terracciano
ForwardN. Okafor
T. Abraham
L. Jovic
F. Camarda
E. Corvi
M. Moretta
DefenderN. Trabucchi
G. Leoni
M. Lovik
M. Keita
E. Plicco
D. Camara
N. Estevez
A. Hainaut
J. Ondrejka
ForwardP. Almqvist
A. Haj Mohamed
Missing players
Emerson
A. Circati
Y. Osorio
MidfielderA. Bernabe
ForwardM. Kowalski
G. Charpentier
A. Benedyczak
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Parma
C. Pulisic
(12 Goals)
A. Bonny
(5 Goals)
R. Leao
(8 Assists)
E. Valeri
(4 Assists)
, 
D. Man
(4 Assists)
AC Milan - Parma Key Points
- Parma’s last three matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Three times in the last five matches, Parma failed to score.
- Three of Milan’s last four matches had under 2.5 goals.
- In Parma’s last three away matches, they failed to score.
- Only seven goals were scored in Milan’s last five home league games.
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Our AC Milan vs Parma Prediction
Parma are coming into this game as underdogs and will know Milan are seeking revenge after the first leg result. The visitors haven't scored in their last three away matches and are generally weak in attack.
However, Milan aren’t the strongest in attack, having failed to score twice in the last five home league games. Milan have only managed more than a goal once in their last seven home league games. We expect a low scoring game here, and our prediction for AC Milan v Parma on the goals market will be under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Parma
| AC Milan vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 1.3 | 1.29 | -0.8% |
| Draw | 6 | 6.5 | +8.3% |
| Parma wins | 8.5 | 9 | +5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 77.5% (0.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the AC Milan vs. Parma game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between AC Milan and Parma? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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