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AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Daniel Ngulu in Serie A Predictions
One of the most intriguing fixtures in the 10th round of the Italian Serie A will take place at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milano. AC Milan will welcome Napoli to the San Siro as the two giants bring their title charges to the fore on Tuesday. This preview offers a look at the top stats and predictions for the latest upcoming meeting between Gli Azzurri and the Rossoneri.
The hosts could make a crucial leap into the top four with a win here, but the visitors, well in control, will hope to further stretch their lead. A massive eight points separate the two sides with Napoli on 22 at the league summit then Milan sixth on 14.
Milan’s placing might change upon the completion of the weekend matches. The hosts’ weekend game was postponed due to bad weather and they’ll hope for a winning return to action. While Milan rested, Napoli labored through their weekend win against struggling Lecce.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.2 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.4 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.56 | 3.69 | 2.83 |
|
|
2.56 | 3.69 | 2.83 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.56 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.56 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.54 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.89 | 3.32 | 2.67 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.2 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.35 | 2.92 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Napoli?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Napoli match is: AC Milan to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/10/2024 between AC Milan and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.52% for a win of AC Milan against Napoli with odds of 2.89 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Napoli is 29.45% with odds of 3.69 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs AC Milan with odds of 2.95 at Betobet.
AC Milan - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 40.52% | 2.89 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.23% | 1.97 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.5% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : AC Milan/AC Milan | 16.66% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
AC Milan vs Napoli Form
AC Milan and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
|
7
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
AC Milan and Napoli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Serie A
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
27 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 May 2024 - Serie A
6 May 2024 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2023 - Serie A
18 Apr 2023 - Champions League
12 Apr 2023 - Champions League
2 Apr 2023 - Serie A
18 Sep 2022 - Serie A
AC Milan - Napoli: Form Analysis
Good fortune has thrown Milan a third straight home match as they face the league leaders. They were supposed to travel to Bologna for a Saturday game but adverse weather saw the match postponed.
The last time they took to the pitch, Milan easily dispatched Club Brugge 3-1 in the Champions League.
Paulo Fonseca’s men will have a full week of recovery by the time they go into the next match, and are targeting a sixth unbeaten outing against Napoli.
They also have an opportunity to win four straight home league matches for the first time since January. In beating Udinese last week, Milan set a seven-game undefeated run in the league at home. That was also their second win against a top five opponent.
Milan have only lost once in their last 18 home matches in Serie A!
Napoli are so far the best performing team in Serie A. They enhanced this with a 1-0 win against Lecce on Saturday. There are a lot of arguments towards their ability to sustain the coming pressure as Napoli haven't faced many tough sides.
Milan will actually be their second opponent inside the top six. They drew 0-0 with Juventus, their first. Seven wins in the last eight matches place Napoli on the right footing coming into this game.
Having struggled to dispatch Lecce on Saturday left a few fans fuming and Napoli will eye a better performance in Milan. That will call on a massive shift from their recent struggles on the road.
Antonio Conte’s side has four wins only in 16 away league matches.
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AC Milan against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Florenzi
MidfielderI. Bennacer
ForwardL. Jovic
AC Milan & Napoli Squad Analysis
Cristian Pulisic will be among the highlighted players in this game as the American seeks to add to his five league goals so far. He is on the right track, after netting 12 times for Milan in his first season in Serie A.
Tijani Reijnders will sit out this one as he serves suspension, having scored twice in the Champions League win. Theo Hernandez will also be suspended for this match.
Ismael Bennacer and Alessandro Florenzi are ruled out through injury.
Milan have had a player sent off in each of their last three league matches!
The departure of Victor Osimhen has thrown the focus off just one attacking player at Napoli. They are doing well, having only failed to score in only three of their 11 matches this season.
David Neres, netting against Como, was their 11th different scorer this season.
However, with four goals so far, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is their lead scorer, with one goal ahead of Romelu Lukaku.
Lukaku is on the brink of Serie A history. With 73 goals and 26 assists, the Belgian could hit a century of goal involvements here.
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Napoli
C. Pulisic
(7 Goals)
K. Kvaratskhelia
(5 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(4 Assists)
, 
R. Leao
(4 Assists)
R. Lukaku
(4 Assists)
AC Milan - Napoli Key Points
- Napoli have one win in seven matches against AC Milan.
- Milan are unbeaten in the last five matches against Napoli.
- Milan have beaten two top five sides already this season.
- In the last 18 home matches in Serie A, Milan lost only once.
- Napoli managed just four wins in 16 away Serie A matches.
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Our AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction
This match will be Napoli’s second against any of the top six sides. It is telling that in their only one so far, they failed to score as they were held by Juventus. As they face another real title contender, Napoli’s resolve will be tested to the core against a team they haven't beaten a lot lately.
Milan will be bidding to beat a third top five side, and having had a full week of rest, they’ll be confident of doing it. This works in their favor too, that they’ll be playing at home against a team with a history of struggling on the road. Our prediction for Milan v Napoli is for Milan to win.
AC Milan vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions
Milan to win with a clean sheet
Napoli failed to score in half of their last 16 away matches in Serie A. This striking stat goes hand in hand with their struggles on the road. It will not be made any better by the fact they failed to score three times in the last five meetings with Milan.
That includes in their most recent fixture. On the other hand, a well-rested Milan will come into this game with three straight home wins in Serie A. In all those wins, Milan kept clean sheets. Our second prediction for this match will, therefore, be for Milan to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Napoli
| AC Milan vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 2.15 | 2.75 | +27.9% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.2 | -11.1% |
| Napoli wins | 3.1 | 2.63 | -15.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 27.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 36.4% (-10.1%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
AC Milan vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions
The AC Milan v Napoli match will be played on Tuesday 29th October.
The AC Milan v Napoli match will be played at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan.
Yes. Milan will miss the services of Theo Hernandez and Tijani Reijnders, who are both serving suspensions.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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