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AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
The new-look Champions League gets underway with Milan hosting Liverpool. Rather than the usual group stage, we now have a 36-team league phase with each club playing eight matches.
Liverpool's season had been going well until the weekend. Their unbeaten record disappeared when being surprisingly beaten 1-0 at home by Nottingham Forest. That has left them second in the table after Saturday's matches.
The Reds are back in the Champions League after failing to qualify last season. Instead, they played in the Europa League and were beaten in the quarter-finals. Liverpool last won this competition five years ago.
Milan also lost in the Europa League quarter-finals last season. The Red and Blacks ended up in that competition after only finishing third in their Champions League group. They have only won one of their four league games played this season.
This should be a fascinating match between these two giants of European football. Here's our Milan v Liverpool match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.62 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.99 | 4.05 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.99 | 4.05 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.68 | 3.82 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.68 | 3.82 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.85 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.82 | 3.96 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.9 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.8 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.7 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.74 | 3.79 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.6 | 2 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.85 | 1.97 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Liverpool match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2024 between AC Milan and Liverpool in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.94% for a win of AC Milan against Liverpool with odds of 3.99 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Liverpool is 30.19% with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs AC Milan with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
AC Milan - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 37.88% | 2.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.51% | 1.65 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time : AC Milan / Full-time : Liverpool | 14.2% | 25 at Vbet |
AC Milan vs Liverpool Form
AC Milan and Liverpool's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
|
12
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
AC Milan and Liverpool Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - Serie A
11 May 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
AC Milan vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Dec 2022 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Dec 2021 - Champions League
15 Sep 2021 - Champions League
AC Milan - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Milan finally got their first league win of the new season at the weekend. They beat bottom-of-the-table Venezia 4-0 with all their goals being scored in the first 29 minutes ot the match.
Before that. they had drew two and lost one of their first three Serie A games. Their opening league game saw them draw 2-2 at home with Torino after trailing 2-0 going into the 89th minute and leveling in the 95th.
A 2-1 loss at Parma was followed by a 2-2 draw at Lazio in which they both led and trailed at one stage. This is their fifth game against Liverpool with only one being won. All four previous games have seen both teams score.
Liverpool need to bounce back from Saturday's loss.
Liverpool have made a better start to the season with wins at Ipswich Town and home to Brentford. A 3-0 win at Manchester United followed before Saturday's surprise defeat at home to Nottingham Forest.
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AC Milan against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Florenzi
MidfielderI. Bennacer
ForwardL. Jovic
AC Milan & Liverpool Squad Analysis
New signing Federico Chiesa is being given a slow introduction to life at Anfield. He wasn't in the squad for their latest Premier League game against Nottingham Forest. He could possibly feature in this Champions League match.
Definitely out for Liverpool is Harvey Elliott who has a foot fracture and will be out for a few weeks. Liverpool failed to score for the first time in a game this season on Saturday. Cody Gakpo and Darwin Nunez might be left out of the starting line-up.
Several injury problems for Milan.
There are also selection problems for the home side in this match. Milan will be without Marco Sportiello (ligament injury), Alessandro Florenzi (ACL) and Ismael Bennacer who has an ankle problem.
Also unlikely to play is their defender Malick Thiaw who has an ankle sprain. There are doubts over the fitness of Davide Calabria who didn't play against Venezia at the weekend. Mike Maignan will be between the sticks for Milan.
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Liverpool
C. Pulisic
(8 Goals)
M. Salah
(16 Goals)
R. Leao
(5 Assists)
,
C. Pulisic
(5 Assists)
, 
Y. Fofana
(5 Assists)
M. Salah
(13 Assists)
AC Milan - Liverpool Key Points
- All four Milan league games this season have seen both teams score.
- Each of the previous four games played between Milan and Liverpool have seen both teams score a goal.
- Both teams have scored in the last two Milan home Champions League matches.
- Four of the last seven Liverpool away Champions League games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction
These two sides have had contrasting starts to the new season, especially at the weekend. Liverpool got off to a great start under Arne Slot but then lost at home to Nottingham Forest 1-0 on Saturday.
Milan had been struggling in Serie A this season before the weekend when finally getting their first league win of the season. This should be a fascinating match and our Milan v Liverpool prediction is both teams to score.
AC Milan vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Liverpool
| AC Milan vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 3.1 | 3.6 | +16.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.75 | +7.1% |
| Liverpool wins | 2.2 | 1.95 | -11.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 51.3% (5.8%)
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AC Milan vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
Milan begin their 2024-25 Champions League campaign with a home game against Liverpool. That means this match is being played at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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