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27 September 2024 - 13:45 

- Day 6

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
VS
Lecce

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions

A buoyant AC Milan side will look to continue their winning momentum when they host a struggling Lecce in the 2024-25 Serie A season. This match at the San Siro on Friday comes with our prediction of a likely high scoring affair.

Milan starts this round in seventh place with eight points and just one adrift of the top four sides. Lecce is hovering around the relegation zone in 17th place with five points and only one point above the bottom-three. Milan defeated city rivals Inter at the weekend, with their 2-1 result coming via a late goal.

With that result, the Rossoneri are unbeaten in three league matches, winning two and drawing one. A crucial Champions League match against Bayer Leverkusen is on the horizon, so extending the winning momentum is crucial. Lecce are still just above the relegation zone, but an unbeaten run of three matches gives them confidence. They drew 2-2 with Parma in their last match, a game that saw both teams end one player short.

That result made it five points in three matches for the visitors, a sequence that started with a 1-0 win over Cagliari. They still need to improve their performances on the road, as Lecce are yet to score a goal away from home in the league this season.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Lecce Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.38 5.25 7.5
Ladbrokes
1.36 5 8
1xbet
1.4 5.49 8.55
22bet
1.4 5.49 8.55
Betobet
1.34 5.25 8.25
Betwinner
1.35 5.25 8.2
Stake
1.38 5.2 7.8
Melbet
1.35 5.25 8.1
Tonybet
1.38 5.4 8
Check all AC Milan vs Lecce odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Lecce?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Lecce match is: Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2024 between AC Milan and Lecce in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.64% for a win of AC Milan against Lecce with odds of 1.4 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Lecce is 35.81% with odds of 5.49 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs AC Milan with odds of 8.55 at 1xbet.

AC Milan vs Lecce Form

AC Milan and Lecce's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
AC Milan
AC Milan
8 5 2 2 1 4
17
Lecce
Lecce
5 5 1 2 2 -5

AC Milan and Lecce Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
D L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

22 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  2
AC Milan

17 Sep 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  3
Liverpool

14 Sep 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
4 :  0
Venezia

31 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
AC Milan

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Turin
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
L L W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

24 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
0 :  2
Sassuolo

21 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
Parma

15 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Turin
0 :  0
Lecce

31 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Cagliari

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

19 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Atalanta

AC Milan against Lecce : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

50 %

Draw

50 %

Lecce

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.17
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

6 Apr 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

11 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
AC Milan

23 Apr 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

14 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
AC Milan

22 Jun 2020 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  4
AC Milan

20 Oct 2019 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Lecce
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

Defender

A. Florenzi

Midfielder

I. Bennacer

Lecce
Lecce
Midfielder

M. Kaba

Forward

L. Banda

AC Milan and Lecce Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Lecce
Lecce
40%
Victories
20%
40%
Draw
40%
20%
Defeats
40%
3.6
Total goals per match
2.2
2.2
Goals scored per match
0.6
1.4
Goals conceded per match
1.6
100%
Over 2.5
40%
0%
Under 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
20%
20%
No goals conceded
40%

AC Milan - Lecce Key Points

  1. Milan’s last nine Serie A matches have all returned over 2.5 goals
  2. In their last seven home league matches, Milan have seen at least three goals scored
  3. Five of Lecce’s last six Serie A matches against AC Milan have seen more than two goals scored
  4. Lecce have conceded two goals in their last two league matches this campaign
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Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Milan surprised more than a few analysts with their win over city rivals Inter Milan at the weekend. That was their second league win in a row, and Rossoneri will now look to continue that momentum, especially with a key Champions League match against Leverkusen on the horizon. Lecce could have capitalized on this situation, but they have been struggling all through this season, scoring only three goals so far. They have also been involved in high-scoring encounters against Milan, which could continue here. Our prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction
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