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AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
A buoyant AC Milan side will look to continue their winning momentum when they host a struggling Lecce in the 2024-25 Serie A season. This match at the San Siro on Friday comes with our prediction of a likely high scoring affair.
Milan starts this round in seventh place with eight points and just one adrift of the top four sides. Lecce is hovering around the relegation zone in 17th place with five points and only one point above the bottom-three. Milan defeated city rivals Inter at the weekend, with their 2-1 result coming via a late goal.
With that result, the Rossoneri are unbeaten in three league matches, winning two and drawing one. A crucial Champions League match against Bayer Leverkusen is on the horizon, so extending the winning momentum is crucial. Lecce are still just above the relegation zone, but an unbeaten run of three matches gives them confidence. They drew 2-2 with Parma in their last match, a game that saw both teams end one player short.
That result made it five points in three matches for the visitors, a sequence that started with a 1-0 win over Cagliari. They still need to improve their performances on the road, as Lecce are yet to score a goal away from home in the league this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Lecce Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.75 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.61 | 3 | 6 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.94 | 10.2 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.94 | 10.2 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.25 | 8.25 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.25 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.25 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.2 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.25 | 8.1 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.4 | 8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.45 | 8.9 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.4 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Lecce?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Lecce match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2024 between AC Milan and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.19% for a win of AC Milan against Lecce with odds of 1.61 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Lecce is 36.13% with odds of 6.4 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs AC Milan with odds of 10.2 at 1xbet.
AC Milan - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 43.19% | 1.61 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.13% | 1.64 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : AC Milan/AC Milan | 18.04% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
AC Milan vs Lecce Form
AC Milan and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
|
14
|
16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -18 |
AC Milan and Lecce Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2024 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Serie A
5 May 2024 - Serie A
21 Apr 2024 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2024 - Serie A
11 Nov 2023 - Serie A
23 Apr 2023 - Serie A
14 Jan 2023 - Serie A
22 Jun 2020 - Serie A
20 Oct 2019 - Serie A
Players list
M. Maignan
DefenderEmerson
M. Gabbia
F. Tomori
D. Bartesaghi
MidfielderY. Musah
T. Reijnders
ForwardS. Chukwueze
R. Loftus-Cheek
R. Leao
L. Jovic
W. Falcone
DefenderP. Dorgu
F. Baschirotto
K. Gaspar
A. Gallo
MidfielderR. Oudin
Y. Ramadani
H. Rafia
ForwardL. Banda
N. Krstovic
S. Pierotti
Substitutes
L. Torriani
N. Raveyre
DefenderS. Pavlovic
M. Thiaw
A. Jimenez
D. Bartesaghi
S. Chukwueze
K. Zeroli
Y. Musah
F. Terracciano
R. Loftus-Cheek
L. Jovic
C. Fruchtl
A. Borbei
J. Samooja
DefenderA. Pelmard
G. Jean
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
L. Hasa
S. Pierotti
E. McJannet
H. Rafia
R. Oudin
R. Burnete
L. Banda
Missing players
A. Florenzi
MidfielderI. Bennacer
ForwardN. Okafor
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Lecce
C. Pulisic
(8 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(4 Goals)
R. Leao
(5 Assists)
,
C. Pulisic
(5 Assists)
, 
Y. Fofana
(5 Assists)
A. Gallo
(2 Assists)
AC Milan - Lecce Key Points
- Milan’s last nine Serie A matches have all returned over 2.5 goals
- In their last seven home league matches, Milan have seen at least three goals scored
- Five of Lecce’s last six Serie A matches against AC Milan have seen more than two goals scored
- Lecce have conceded two goals in their last two league matches this campaign
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Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction
Milan surprised more than a few analysts with their win over city rivals Inter Milan at the weekend. That was their second league win in a row, and Rossoneri will now look to continue that momentum, especially with a key Champions League match against Leverkusen on the horizon. Lecce could have capitalized on this situation, but they have been struggling all through this season, scoring only three goals so far. They have also been involved in high-scoring encounters against Milan, which could continue here. Our prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Lecce
| AC Milan vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 1.33 | 1.29 | -3.0% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.75 | +15.0% |
| Lecce wins | 7.5 | 9.5 | +26.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 77.5% (2.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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