Italy - Coppa Italia
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by Kennedy Kechula in Football Predictions
On Wednesday, for the fourth time this season, Inter Milan and AC Milan will be facing off. This time they meet in the Coppa Italia, with Milan hosting the opening leg of their semi-final. Milan have had a good ride in this fixture this season and will be looking to extend the same here. We have the preview and a prediction below as the two Milan giants clash for the 83rd time in history.
Milan have already shocked Inter this season in a cup game. Their win in the Super Coppa followed on from their win in Serie A then they drew the other league match. Inter Milan will come here seeking revenge.
While their hosts have this as their only chance of winning silverware, Inter are targeting a treble. Inter are seeking a 35th win in this fixture and Milan will be eyeing win number 28 against Inter. The aggregate winner from this tie will face Empoli or Bologna in the final.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Inter Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.2 | 2.42 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.2 | 2.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Inter Milan?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Inter Milan match is: Inter Milan wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/04/2025 between AC Milan and Inter Milan in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.7% for a win of AC Milan against Inter Milan with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Inter Milan is 27.84% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs AC Milan with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
AC Milan - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Inter Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 40.46% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 51.33% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | 1.78 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Inter Milan/Inter Milan | 17.18% | 4 at Betsson |
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Form
AC Milan and Inter Milan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
27 Feb 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
27 Feb 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
22 Apr 2024 - Serie A
16 Sep 2023 - Serie A
16 May 2023 - Champions League
AC Milan - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
Milan beat Sassuolo and Roma to get to this stage but aren’t coming here on a very good run. On the backdrop of an inconsistent campaign, home fans thought Milan had started a fine run after back-to-back wins over Lecce and Como.
However, the Rossoneri slithered back to losing ways against Napoli, falling 2-1 in the Sunday match. Milan will blame, among other things, Santiago Gimenez’s missed penalty in the match.
By the time Luka Jovic’s goal came, it was too late and Napoli managed to defend their points. That was the fourth defeat in six matches for Milan and they’ve registered just two wins in the last seven outings.
Inter Milan are winless in their last three matches against Milan.
Inter Milan, on their part, needed to defend with grit in a tense Sunday Serie A match at home to Udinese. They ended up winning 2-1 after enduring a barrage of attacks late in the game and manager Simone Inzaghi being sent off.
With a fifth straight win in the bag, Inter Milan’s target has shifted to this cup game. Their latest win strengthened their grip in Serie A. Inter have failed to win just once in eight matches and in their last 18 matches, they lost only twice.
This run should hand them the confidence needed for such an encounter.
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AC Milan against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
Emerson
D. Dumfries
MidfielderP. Zielinski
ForwardL. Martinez
AC Milan & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
With this being the only other available silverware, Milan will come ready for battle. Forward Santiago Gimenez will hope to atone for his penalty miss over the weekend.
He may have to do that off the bench as Tammy Abraham seems to be the preferred starter. The Englishman has found favor in the cup competition, hitting three goals already.
With an array of attack minded players, the coach has a good problem to deal with. Tijani Reijnders and Christian Pulisic have contributed to more than 25 goals this season and are also in line for starts.
Inter’s Valentin Carboni is ruled out for the season with an ACL.
Inter Milan skipper Lautaro Martinez is absent with a hamstring injury which is expected to keep him out for two more weeks. They will, however, be confident of progressing, given the availability of other attacking players.
Marko Arnautovic has his chance to shine here, and we expect that he will be paired upfront with Marcus Thuram. Arnautovic has two goals in this competition and having scored twice in the last four matches could earn him a starting berth.
Joaquin Correa will be another option should Inter need more attacking muscle.
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Inter Milan
C. Pulisic
(13 Goals)
, 
T. Reijnders
(13 Goals)
L. Martinez
(20 Goals)
R. Leao
(9 Assists)
,
C. Pulisic
(9 Assists)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
AC Milan - Inter Milan Key Points
- Inter Milan have five straight wins.
- AC Milan lost three of their last five matches.
- Milan lost two of five home Coppa Italia matches.
- Inter Milan are unbeaten in the last eight matches.
- Milan lost three of four when playing as hosts against Inter.
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Our AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction
AC Milan have dominated Inter Milan this season but we don’t think that will extend to this match. This is based on the two teams’ recent performances. Inter Milan have been doing well lately and overall, have the head-to-head advantage in this fixture.
Somehow, the magic of this derby rubs well on them when playing as the away side. Inter posted a draw and three wins in the last four matches when playing as the away team against Milan. Therefore, our prediction for AC Milan v Inter Milan is that Inter Milan wins the match.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
This fixture hasn’t produced a clean sheet in the last five meetings. The last time that happened was in 2023 as Inter won 1-0. In the teams’ matches also, both teams scoring has been a recurring stat.
At Milan for example, both teams scored in the last seven matches, and the same is the case in half of Inter’s last 10. Our second prediction will thus be for both teams scoring.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Inter Milan
| AC Milan vs Inter Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 3.5 | 2.9 | -17.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.2 | -5.9% |
| Inter Milan wins | 2 | 2.5 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 40.0% (-10.0%)
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AC Milan vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The AC Milan v Inter Milan match will be played on Wednesday 2 April.
The AC Milan v Inter Milan match will be played at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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