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Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
02/02/2025 09:00
Inter Milan

Prediction :

 

Inter Milan wins the match

 
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AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

The month of February starts with a number of blockbuster matches in the Italian Serie A. One of them will be the Derby della Madonnina! AC Milan and Inter Milan meet for the third time this season. This time it will be AC Milan’s chance to host and they will be looking to extend their recent fine run in this fixture.

Inter Milan arrive here in second place in the Serie A standings, three points behind the league leaders Napoli. Seventh placed AC Milan will come into this game also seeking to strengthen their European qualification hopes.

As things stand, they are 16 points adrift of Inter Milan, though a win here could lift the Rossoneri into European football positions. Both teams are coming off contrasting outings in Europe, Inter winning and Milan suffering defeat. As the giants of Milan battle for three points, below is our preview and two predictions of the match.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Inter Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4 3.5 1.91
Betfred
4 3.6 1.9
Ladbrokes
3.7 2.5 2.2
1xbet
4.06 3.73 2
22bet
4.06 3.73 2
Betobet
3.9 3.6 1.9
Betwinner
3.88 3.56 1.94
LSbet
3.88 3.56 1.94
Stake
3.9 3.65 1.97
Melbet
4.08 3.6 1.88
Tonybet
3.95 3.6 1.95
Betsson
3.7 3.7 1.95
William Hill
3.9 3.5 1.91
Vbet
4.1 3.64 1.94
Betway
3.8 3.6 1.91
Unibet
4 3.4 1.93
Betfair
4.2 3.6 1.91
Check all AC Milan vs Inter Milan odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Inter Milan?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Inter Milan match is: Inter Milan wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/02/2025 between AC Milan and Inter Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.58% for a win of AC Milan against Inter Milan with odds of 4.2 at Betfair.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Inter Milan is 22.27% with odds of 3.73 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs AC Milan with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Form

AC Milan and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
50 21 15 5 1 37
7
AC Milan
AC Milan
34 21 9 7 5 9

AC Milan and Inter Milan Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
D W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
2 :  1
AC Milan

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Parma

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  0
Girona

18 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
AC Milan

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
AC Milan

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Cagliari
W D D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Parma

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  0
Girona

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Cagliari

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Roma

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Genoa

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
2 :  1
Red Star Belgrade
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
2 :  1
AC Milan

18 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
AC Milan

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
AC Milan

6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  3
AC Milan

3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Juventus
1 :  2
AC Milan

20 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
AC Milan
Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Monaco

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Inter Milan

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Sparta Prague
0 :  1
Inter Milan

19 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Empoli

15 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bologna

12 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  1
Inter Milan
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Monaco

19 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Empoli

15 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bologna

6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  3
AC Milan

2 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

23 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Como 1907
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
0% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Inter Milan

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Sparta Prague
0 :  1
Inter Milan

12 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  1
Inter Milan

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  3
Inter Milan

16 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  6
Inter Milan

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
Inter Milan

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

33 %

Draw

0 %

Inter Milan

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  3
AC Milan

22 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  2
AC Milan

22 Apr 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Inter Milan

16 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  1
AC Milan

16 May 2023 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
AC Milan

10 May 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Inter Milan
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AC Milan - Inter Milan: Form Analysis

AC Milan are slowly getting into their stride in a season hampered by inconsistency which led to a change in management. Now under Sergio Conceiçao Milan have a lot to play for here.

This match will be viewed as the perfect chance to re-enter the European football positions. Milan are coming from a disappointing outing in the Champions League, losing to Dinamo Zagreb 2-1.

That result saw Milan miss a top eight finish in the competition and will have to contend with a two-legged play-off. Domestically, they had to battle from behind in their last match, scoring twice in stoppage time, to dispatch struggling Parma 3-2.

This marks the third meeting between these two this season.

Inter Milan have been much more solid than their hosts and with that, they will feel capable of collecting three points here. This match marks the third meeting between the two giants this season.

In the earlier two, AC Milan claimed straight wins, and Inter Milan will be out to stop this run. Before losing to Milan in September, Inter hadn’t tasted defeat in the league.

After losing that unbeaten run, Inter Milan haven't lost another league game. Falling to their arch rivals in the Super Cup final came with its special pain and Inter Milan will hope to get their revenge here.

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AC Milan vs Inter Milan last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
19
T. Hernandez
29
Y. Fofana
80
Y. Musah
11
C. Pulisic
14
T. Reijnders
10
R. Leao
7
A. Morata
9
M. Thuram
10
L. Martinez
32
F. Dimarco
22
H. Mkhitaryan
21
K. Asllani
23
N. Barella
2
D. Dumfries
95
A. Bastoni
6
S. De Vrij
28
B. Pavard
1
Y. Sommer

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Inter Milan

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

M. Thiaw

A. Florenzi

Emerson

Midfielder

R. Loftus-Cheek

Y. Fofana

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

Defender

F. Acerbi

Midfielder

H. Calhanoglu

AC Milan & Inter Milan Squad Analysis

One player the hosts will want in his current shape is Christian Pulisic. He scored in both earlier matches against Inter Milan and was also on target in Milan’s last two games.

Rafael Leao has also chipped in with key goals for Milan. Twice in the last five matches he netted the winning goals.

Emerson Royal is injured and unavailable for this game, which means Kyle Walker, the new signing, could get his chance at right-back.

Apart from Emerson, the other injured players include Malick Thiaw, Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Alessandro Florenzi.

AC Milan’s Youssouf Fofana is suspended.

At Inter Milan, the injury bug hasn’t hit as badly as at their arch rivals. The only confirmed absentee for this game is Joaquin Correa.

Former AC Milan midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu is included in their injury report as a doubt with a calf issue. Another name on that list is defender Francesco Acerbi. The veteran is said to be nursing a hamstring injury.

Skipper Lautaro Martinez scored in the last meeting with Milan and he will be relied upon here too. He comes into this game in some form, having scored seven times in the last five matches.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Inter Milan
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France M. Thuram (14 Goals) Argentina L. Martinez (14 Goals)
Best assists
France Y. Fofana (6 Assists)
Best assists
Italy N. Barella (6 Assists)

AC Milan and Inter Milan Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
43%
Victories
71%
33%
Draw
24%
24%
Defeats
5%
2.62
Total goals per match
3.48
1.52
Goals scored per match
2.62
1.1
Goals conceded per match
0.86
57%
Over 2.5
67%
43%
Under 2.5
33%
52%
BTTS
48%
38%
No goals conceded
52%

AC Milan - Inter Milan Key Points

  1. AC Milan were beaten by Inter five times in the last seven meetings.
  2. Inter Milan have posted five straight wins away from home.
  3. Twice in their last four matches, AC Milan lost.
  4. In eight Serie A matches away from home, Inter posted straight wins.
  5. In 12 away league matches, Inter Milan are unbeaten.
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Our AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction

Inter Milan will come into this game charged, seeking revenge after back-to-back losses to AC Milan this season. The most recent came at the start of 2025 when they squared off in the Super Cup. Inter Milan let slip a 2-0 lead on that occasion and the memory is still fresh.

They have bounced back and come here as the favorites. With eight straight wins on the road, they will have the momentum. AC Milan are coming from a loss and haven't been entirely convincing. That’s why our prediction for AC Milan v Inter Milan is that Inter Milan wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Inter Milan wins the match

 
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AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Predictions

Christian Pulisic to score any time

Odds 5

While Milan are the underdogs coming into this game, we still expect them to breach the Inter Milan defence, which has been quite solid in recent matches. One player who could break Inter hearts is Christian Pulisic.

The American is in good form and scored in both earlier meetings with Inter. Heading into this game, he scored in the last two outings and in our second prediction, we pick him to score.

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AC Milan vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions

The AC Milan v Inter Milan match is scheduled for play on Sunday 2nd February.

The AC Milan v Inter Milan match will be played at the iconic San Siro Stadium in Milan.

Yes; Daniele Chiffi has been appointed the match referee. He will be assisted by Ciro Carbone and Giorgio Peretti. Livio Marinelli will serve as the fourth official.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction
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