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Europe - Champions League

AC Milan
22/01/2025 15:00
Girona

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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AC Milan vs Girona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions

Italian giants AC Milan will be at home when the UEFA Champions League resumes, welcoming Girona to the iconic San Siro Stadium. Going into the matchday seven fixtures Milan sit 12th in the league phase standings and have a nine-point advantage over their visitors who are down in 30th place. In this preview we will break down the stats and offer at least two predictions for the match.

Debutants Girona are seeking to avoid an early exit from the tournament while Milan, favorites for the knockout rounds are still recovering from a slow start. This is the first ever meeting between these two sides.

Milan are favoured by the bookies here, considering their experience vis a vis their visitors’. The seven-time European champions are targeting a fifth straight win in this competition while Girona are only targeting their second win in Europe. Will the giants prevail, or can the Spanish first-timers pull a shock win. Read on for our prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Girona Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.45 4.33 7
Betfred
1.4 4.2 6.5
Ladbrokes
1.7 2.9 5.5
1xbet
1.51 4.72 6.91
22bet
1.51 4.72 6.91
Betobet
1.44 4.6 6.75
Betwinner
1.45 4.62 6.8
LSbet
1.45 4.62 6.8
Stake
1.46 4.7 7
Melbet
1.45 4.62 6.8
Tonybet
1.46 4.7 7
Betfair
1.44 4.75 7.5
Betsson
1.46 4.8 6.9
William Hill
1.44 4.4 7
Vbet
1.47 4.75 7
Betway
1.45 4.5 6.5
Unibet
1.43 4.9 6.75
Check all AC Milan vs Girona odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Girona?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Girona match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/01/2025 between AC Milan and Girona in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.1% for a win of AC Milan against Girona with odds of 1.7 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Girona is 32.21% with odds of 4.9 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Girona vs AC Milan with odds of 7.5 at Betfair.

AC Milan vs Girona Form

AC Milan and Girona's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
AC Milan
AC Milan
12 6 4 0 2 3
30
Girona
Girona
3 6 1 0 5 -6

AC Milan and Girona Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
D W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
AC Milan

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
AC Milan

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Cagliari

6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  3
AC Milan

3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Juventus
1 :  2
AC Milan

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Roma
W W W D D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Cagliari

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Roma

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Genoa

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
2 :  1
Red Star Belgrade

3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
6 :  1
Sassuolo

30 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Empoli
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
AC Milan

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
AC Milan

6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  3
AC Milan

3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Juventus
1 :  2
AC Milan

20 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
AC Milan

6 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
AC Milan
Girona
Girona Last matches
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  2
Sevilla

11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Girona

20 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
3 :  0
Valladolid

14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Mallorca
2 :  1
Girona

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Girona
0 :  1
Liverpool

7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Real Madrid
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  2
Sevilla

20 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
3 :  0
Valladolid

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Girona
0 :  1
Liverpool

7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Real Madrid

23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
4 :  1
Espanyol

2 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
4 :  3
Leganés
W L D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Girona

14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Mallorca
2 :  1
Girona

4 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey

UD Logrones
0 :  0
Girona

1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  2
Girona

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
Girona

10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Girona
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AC Milan - Girona: Form Analysis

AC Milan currently sit outside the automatic qualification places for the round of 16. Sergio Conceicao’s men can still finish amongst the top six as they are only a point off.

As things are tight going into this stage, they might have to win both of their remaining matches, starting with Girona’s visit to stand a chance. Only five points separate the team in third place from the team down in 24th.

The Rossoneri, who have amassed 12 points, have won their last four games in Europe. They defeated Red Star Belgrade 2-1 at home on matchday six.

Milan are, however, coming off a 2-0 league defeat to Juventus that snapped an eight-game unbeaten run.

Girona’s hopes in Europe hang by a thread after winning once in six matches.

This is a must-win match for Girona as defeat here will end their hopes of progressing to the second round of the competition. Miguel Michel’s men have won just one of their six matches and sit tied on three points with three other teams.

Their only chance of qualifying for the round of 16 proper is through the playoffs and they are currently five points off. The Spanish side, who are making their Champions League debut, are on a three-match losing run in the competition.

In all three losses, they failed to find the back of the net. The Red and Whites were defeated 1-0 at home by Liverpool on matchday six.

Most recently Girona lost 2-1 at home to Sevilla in domestic league action that snapped a two-match winning run.

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AC Milan vs Girona last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
22
Emerson
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
19
T. Hernandez
4
I. Bennacer
29
Y. Fofana
80
Y. Musah
14
T. Reijnders
10
R. Leao
90
T. Abraham
9
A. Ruiz
20
Bryan Gil
23
I. Martin
14
O. Romeu
8
V. Tsygankov
10
Y. Asprilla
17
D. Blind
18
L. Krejci
5
D. Lopez
4
M. Arnau
13
P. Gazzaniga

Formation : 4 - 5 - 1

Girona

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

M. Thiaw

Midfielder

S. Chukwueze

R. Loftus-Cheek

Forward

C. Pulisic

Girona
Girona
Defender

M. Gutierrez

Forward

B. Miovski

AC Milan & Girona Squad Analysis

Milan are set to have Alvaro Morata back for selection this week. The striker missed the loss to Juventus over the weekend due to suspension. While this is good news, Milan have some bad news to contend with.

Fikayo Tomori is unavailable through suspension while Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Malick Thiaw, Sammy Chukuweze are all out injured. Alessandro Florenzi remains a long-term absentee.

Christian Pulisic is listed as a doubt for this game through injury but Milan will hope he recovers from a muscular strain.

Girona are dealing with fewer injuries than Milan which should boost them.

Girona are faring much better on the injury front than their soon-to-be hosts which is a big boost.

Striker Arnaut Danjuma is likely to miss this match due to illness while Bojan Miovski is expected to shake off an ankle injury, which is also troubling defender Miguel Gutierrez.

Yaser Asprilla returned over the weekend after spending weeks out while Portu is also back in contention.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Girona
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (8 Goals)
Netherlands T. Reijnders (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay C. Stuani (4 Goals)
Best assists
France Y. Fofana (6 Assists)
Best assists
Spain M. Gutierrez (4 Assists)

AC Milan and Girona Stats in Champions League

AC Milan
AC Milan
Girona
Girona
67%
Victories
17%
0%
Draw
0%
33%
Defeats
83%
3.5
Total goals per match
2.33
2
Goals scored per match
0.67
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.67
83%
Over 2.5
33%
17%
Under 2.5
67%
83%
BTTS
17%
0%
No goals conceded
17%

AC Milan - Girona Key Points

  1. Four of Girona’s last six matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
  2. Milan’s last five matches averaged three goals per game.
  3. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Milan’s last five games.
  4. Milan have scored three goals a game in three of their last four matches in Europe.
  5. Girona have conceded 10 goals in six outings in the Champions League.
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Our AC Milan vs Girona Prediction

Our prediction for AC Milan v Girona on the goals market is for this match to see over 2.5. Milan have been in terrific form in Europe and key to this has been their vibrant attack. They have registered 11 of their 12 goals in their last four outings, scoring three goals on three separate occasions.

With goal difference expected to be a huge factor at the end of the group stage, Milan will seek a big win here. We are likely to see a high-scoring outcome given that Girona have this as a must-win match for them.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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AC Milan vs Girona - Other Interesting Predictions

Milan to win

Odds 1.45

As a second prediction, we will pick Milan to win. The hosts have won each of their last four matches in Europe whereas their visitors have lost three consecutive games in the competition.

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bet365 welcome offer

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AC Milan vs Girona match : Frequently asked questions

This match will be played on Wednesday 22 January

This match will be played at Milan’s San Siro Stadium in Milan, Italy.

If watching from Italy, you can catch the game on Sky and Amazon Prime. In Spain, the game will be aired on Telefonica. UK audiences can catch this game live on TNT Sports. For live minute-by-minute updates of this game and other CL matches this week, check out Sportytrader’s Champions League livescores portal.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Girona Prediction
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