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AC Milan vs Feyenoord Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
The knockout phase play-off in the Champions League resumes this week at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with the second leg clash between AC Milan and Feyenoord on Tuesday night. De club aan de Maas lead the tie having beaten the Rossoneri 1-0 at De Kuip in the first leg last week. The winner of this tie will face either Inter Milan or Arsenal in the round of 16. Check out our match prediction below!
Following last week’s defeat in Rotterdam, AC Milan have now lost two of their last three matches against this opponent in European competition, though both defeats were away from home. The only match they have played at home against the Dutch giants ended in a 1-0 victory back in 1969. Feyenoord, on the other hand, have lost five of their last six matches against Italian opposition in Europe, with the exception being a victory over Lazio in 2000.
This week’s hosts are the clear favourites to qualify for the last 16 - let’s take a look at the key stats at play in this opening match of the week.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Feyenoord Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.75 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.27 | 11 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.27 | 11 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.25 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.05 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.05 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 6 | 9.2 |
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1.26 | 6.05 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 6.2 | 9.4 |
|
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1.25 | 6 | 10 |
|
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1.27 | 6.3 | 11 |
|
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1.29 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.29 | 6 | 9 |
|
|
1.27 | 6 | 10.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Feyenoord?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Feyenoord match is: under 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/02/2025 between AC Milan and Feyenoord in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.94% for a win of AC Milan against Feyenoord with odds of 1.32 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Feyenoord is 23.57% with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Feyenoord vs AC Milan with odds of 11 at Bet365.
AC Milan - Feyenoord Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Feyenoord Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 50.94% | 1.32 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.18% | |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : AC Milan/AC Milan | 20.15% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
AC Milan vs Feyenoord Form
AC Milan and Feyenoord Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
14 Jan 2025 - Serie A
6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
15 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker
AC Milan vs Feyenoord Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
AC Milan - Feyenoord: Form Analysis
AC Milan were set on the backfoot early on in the first-leg matchup last week, conceding what turned out to be the winning goal in the contest just three minutes after the first whistle.
The Rossoneri grew into the match and registered more shots at goal (12) and on target (6) than their opponents, while also having the lion’s share of possession (54%), but they could not find a leveller.
Following that defeat, they bounced back with a 1-0 victory over Verona in the Serie A over the weekend, meaning their two losses in their last eight games have both come in Europe.
However, AC Milan are unbeaten at home in their last 12 matches across all competitions!
Meanwhile, Feyenoord’s spectacular start to the first leg of this contest was thanks to Igor Paixao’s strike, and they did brilliantly to hold off their opponents throughout the remainder of the contest.
Across the 90, De club aan de Maas registered 11 attempts at goal but only two of those were on target. They are now aiming to reach the European Cup/ Champions League last 16 for the first time since 1974-75.
The visitors were held to a goalless draw by NAC Breda at the weekend, which extended their winless run on the road to five matches across all competitions (W0 D3 L2).
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AC Milan against Feyenoord Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
Emerson
A. Florenzi
MidfielderR. Loftus-Cheek
AC Milan & Feyenoord Squad Analysis
AC Milan’s ‘Fab Four’ - Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao, Santiago Gimenez and Joao Felix - all struggled to influence proceedings in Rotterdam and will need to improve on their home patch this week.
Leao, in particular, could be one to watch in this match, having scored in each of the Rossoneri’s last two home games in Europe, including the winner against Girona last month.
Kyle Walker made his Champions League debut for his new employers and will need to be at his best to handle the threat of Paixao who will be bombing down the left flank for the visitors.
Christian Pulisic has scored four goals in eight Champions League games this season!
Timon Wellenreuther will be a crucial player for Feyenoord this week. Last week’s clean sheet was only his second in eight matches in the competition, while he has conceded 20 to date.
Pascal Bosschaart will likely have to make a big decision in attack after Ayase Ueda was forced off through injury last week. Julian Carranza is the most likely to get the nod and the Argentine has a 0.59 xG and 0.22 xA.
Antoni Milambo has been the major attacking threat from midfield for Feyenoord having scored three times in this competition already. The 19-year-old averages 1.1 shots per game and 0.5 shots on target per 90.
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Feyenoord
S. Gimenez
(15 Goals)
I. Paixao
(8 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(7 Assists)
I. Paixao
(11 Assists)
AC Milan - Feyenoord Key Points
- Each of AC Milan’s last four Champions League games have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- AC Milan have only conceded more than one goal in one of their last 10 home games.
- Feyenoord have kept clean sheets in each of their last three matches across all competitions.
- Feyenoord have failed to score in their last two away games.
- Feyenoord have not scored more than one goal in any of their last five away matches.
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Our AC Milan vs Feyenoord Prediction
While matches involving Feyenoord have typically produced goals in this competition, last week’s encounter proved to be a very balanced affair where clear-cut chances were at a premium, and that is expected to be the case again in this second leg.
Being a goal down, AC Milan will know that shutting out their opponents will be crucial to overturning the scoreline in this tie, thus we feel they will prioritise maintaining a clean sheet. Our AC Milan vs Feyenoord prediction is under 3.5.
AC Milan vs Feyenoord - Other Interesting Predictions
Antoni Milambo over 0.5 shots
Antoni Milambo has scored three goals for Feyenoord in the Champions League and averages 1.1 shots per game and 0.5 shots on target per 90.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Feyenoord
| AC Milan vs Feyenoord | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 1.5 | 1.25 | -16.7% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 6 | +38.6% |
| Feyenoord wins | 6 | 11 | +83.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 80.0% (13.3%)
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AC Milan vs Feyenoord match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between AC Milan and Feyenoord will be played on February 18 at 17:45 GMT.
The Champions League match between AC Milan and Feyenoord will take place at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan.
The Champions League match between AC Milan and Feyenoord will be broadcast live on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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